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How the bookies rate Brazil’s chances of success at the World Cup

Brazil are perennial contenders for World Cup success and will travel to Qatar as the tournament favourites.

Tite’s side are FIFA’s number-one ranked nation and secured qualification in unbeaten fashion, while the Selecao possess the usual mix of star names and top talents. It’s been two decades since Brazil won the last of their five World Cup trophies, but confidence is high that the South American superpower can extend their record as the tournament’s most successful side.

Let’s look at how the bookmakers assess Brazil’s chances at the World Cup.

To Win Outright

  • Brazil – 4/1
  • France – 6/1
  • Argentina – 11/2
  • England 8/1
  • Spain – 17/2

Brazil will begin the tournament as favourites to win the World Cup. The five-time winners were almost flawless in qualification, navigating South America’s treacherous process with ease. Brazil were unbeaten in 17 fixtures, in which Tite’s side scored 40 goals and conceded just five.

It is the kind of record at both ends of the pitch that will needed for success in Qatar, as Brazil look to be crowned world champions for the first time since 2002.

France are second favourites as Les Bleus look to become the first team to defend the trophy since 1962, while the bookmakers expect a challenge from Argentina. Just twice has a World Cup staged outside of Europe been won by a European side, with history favouring the South American giants.

Argentina are unbeaten since defeat in the 2019 Copa America semi-finals and could set a new international record for games unbeaten during the World Cup’s group stage.

To win the Group

Brazil have been drawn to face Serbia, Switzerland and Cameroon in the group stage and are expected to progress as group winners (4/11).

Serbia impressed to qualify ahead of Portugal and contain a forward line featuring Aleksandar Mitrovic and Dusan Vlahovic, while Switzerland and Cameroon are both regulars at this stage.

Brazil can be backed to progress with three wins from three at 2/1.

Stage of Elimination

  • Group Stage – 11/2
  • Last 16 – 12/5
  • Quarter-finals – 11/4
  • Semi-finals – 6/1
  • Runners-up – 8/1
  • Winners – 4/1

Brazil are the only side to have featured in every edition of the World Cup and just twice have failed to progress from the group stage. The first of those came during the first ever World Cup in 1930, before a dismal defence of their title in 1966.

Should progress be assured, Brazil will face one of the sides from Group H – Portugal, Ghana, Uruguay and South Korea – in a potentially tricky last-16 clash.

Brazil have reached at least the quarter-finals in seven straight tournaments and are odds of 11/4 to be eliminated in the last eight.

Golden Boot winner

  • Neymar – 12/1
  • Gabriel Jesus – 25/1
  • Vinicius Junior – 33/1
  • Richarlison – 33/1
  • Pedro – 33/1

Neymar’s phenomenal record on the international stage could see the forward become Brazil’s all-time record goalscorer in Qatar.

The Paris Saint-Germain superstar needs two goals to match Pele’s record for the Selecao, having scored 75 goals in 121 appearances for the national side. Neymar is 12/1 to win the Golden Boot, while Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus is the next best priced Brazilian.

Jesus – who has five goals and five assists for the Gunners in the Premier League this season – is priced at 25/1.

Golden Ball

  • Neymar – 12/1
  • Vinicus Junior – 16/1
  • Gabriel Jesus – 40/1
  • Richarlison – 50/1

Neymar is also the shortest odds of any Brazilian to win the Golden Ball as the tournament’s best player. Romario (1994) and Ronaldo (1998) are the Brazilian icons to have previously won the award, though remarkably the accolade has not been received by a player from the winning side since the former’s triumph in the mid-nineties.

Neymar’s PSG teammates Lionel Messi (Argentina – 10/1) and Kylian Mbappe (France – 10/1) are the favourites for the prize.

Vinicius Junior is at odds of 16/1, following his development for club and country. The 22-year-old was exceptional as Real Madrid won a La Liga and Champions League double in 2021/22, scoring the final winner against Liverpool in the latter triumph.

In terms of the Best Young Player accolade, Brazil’s best bets are found with Rodrygo and Gabriel Martinelli, each of who are 40/1.

Alternative odds

In terms of alternative odds, Brazil can be backed at 5/1 to be the tournament’s highest scoring team. The South Americans averaged 2.35 goals per game in qualification and are on a run of seven straight victories. Those seven wins have seen Brazil score 26 goals and conceded just twice.

Brazil can also be found at 11/2 to be eliminated on penalties, with the lottery of a shootout often a deciding factor in the World Cup’s knockout rounds.

Read – Iconic Performances: The night Zinedine Zidane dominated Brazil

Read Also – England World Cup preview and betting guide

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