La Liga

Deportivo Alavés

23 Oct 2026 20:00

Málaga

Prediction:

Deportivo Alavés to win 1.80

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Deportivo AlavésDraw Málaga

Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Prediction & Betting Tips – 23/10/2026

Mendizorroza plays host to a fixture loaded with contrasting ambitions when Deportivo Alavés welcome Málaga on Friday 23 October in La Liga. Quique Flores's side sit seventh and harbour genuine European aspirations, while Juan Funes brings a Málaga outfit rooted to the foot of the table, still searching for a first league victory this season. For the visitors, every remaining fixture carries the weight of survival. For Alavés, three points would reinforce their credentials among the division's top half.

Our prediction

1: Deportivo Alavés to win

1.80 on Betfred · Confidence High

Odds recorded on 21 Oct 2026 at 21:57 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Deportivo Alavés enter this fixture as clear favorites at 1.80, sitting 7th in La Liga with a points-per-game ratio of 1.57 and a positive goal difference of +5 after eight rounds, underscoring their superiority.

• 1.57 PPG and 7th place confirm Alavés as one of La Liga's more consistent sides this term.
• 3 wins from 5 home games at Mendizorroza, making it a reliable fortress this season.
• +5 goal difference versus Málaga's -9, reflecting a substantial gap in attacking and defensive quality.
• Alavés absences are defensive; Málaga's 2.6 shots on target per game limits the threat to a stretched backline.

Málaga arrive as heavy outsiders at 4.60, the only winless team in La Liga after eight matches, carrying four draws and four defeats, a -9 goal difference, and a depleted squad ravaged by injuries to key attacking personnel.

• Málaga average just 0.43 goals per game, the lowest attacking output in the entire division.
• 4 confirmed absentees, including Juan Cruz and Julen Lobete, further gut an already toothless attack.
• Zero wins in eight La Liga matches; form reads DLLDD with no sign of a breakthrough.

Key point: With Málaga scoring under half a goal per game and both defenses stretched by injuries, backing the home win combined with 1.75 offers a compelling low-scoring angle.

Both lineups here carry a speculative tag, drawn from a single source, so some caution is warranted before kickoff. That said, the shape of this contest looks intriguing: Alavés appear set to deploy a compact 5-3-2 at home, looking to absorb pressure and threaten on the break through their twin strikers.

Málaga, for their part, line up in a 4-1-4-1, a structure that offers defensive solidity through a holding midfielder while giving their wide players licence to press and create. The battle between Alavés's wing-backs and Málaga's industrious midfield four could well define the tempo of the afternoon.

Our Verdict

Alavés at 1.80 represents the standout selection here. Seventh against twentieth tells its own story: Quique Flores's side boast a points-per-game ratio of 1.57, dwarfing Málaga's dire 0.43. The visitors remain the only winless side in La Liga, collecting just four draws from eight outings. At home, Alavés have won three of five, and that record should prove decisive against a side shipping goals freely. Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 also appeals, given Málaga's low-scoring tendencies. Prediction: home win.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

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