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UEFA Nations League
Montenegro
12 Nov 2026 19:45
Latvia
Prediction:
Montenegro to win 1.30
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Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips – 12/11/2026

12 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Montenegro welcome Latvia to close out their League C, Group C2 campaign on 12 November 2026, with the hosts needing just three points to rubber-stamp promotion to League B. Sitting pretty on ten points from four outings, Mirko Vučinić's side have been the standout performers in this section. Latvia, by contrast, arrive with a solitary point to their name and nothing but pride left to play for. The reverse fixture in Riga ended in a 2-1 Montenegro victory, and the Balkan side will fancy their chances of completing the double here.

Our prediction
1: Montenegro to win
1.30 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 20:53 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Montenegro top Group C2 with 10 points from three wins and one draw, and a home victory here seals promotion to League B. Priced at 1.30, they carry maximum motivation and genuine attacking quality through Krstović and Jovetić.

  • 10 points from 4 matches (3W-1D-0L) puts Montenegro top of Group C2 unbeaten.
  • 2-1 win in Riga last month; H2H reads 2 wins and 1 draw for Montenegro across last 3 meetings.
  • Krstović, Jovetić and Adžić lead a 4-3-3 with clear superiority over Latvia's defensive 5-4-1 setup.
  • Stefan Savić returns to the backline and Adam Marušić rejoins the squad, boosting defensive solidity.

Latvia sit bottom of Group C2 with just 1 point from four matches, and their road record is alarming. At 9.00, they arrive having scored only 2 goals all campaign, with key attacker Varslavāns ruled out until the New Year.

  • 13 matches winless away from home across their last 16 away fixtures, a damning travel record.
  • Only 3 shots on target across their last two matches, exposing chronic attacking impotence on the road.
  • Varslavāns absent with a serious knee injury, further thinning a squad that has scored just 2 Nations League goals.

Key point: With Latvia averaging under one goal per game away and Montenegro's defence unbreached at home, 2.00 offers a complementary angle to the home win prediction.

Form & Statistics: Montenegro vs Latvia

Montenegro

Recent form

DW
Wins1/2 (50%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses0/2 (0%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Latvia

Season statistics

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Montenegro vs Latvia

Montenegro

4-3-3
  1. 1 Balša Popović
  2. 2 Marko Vešović
  3. 3 Stefan Savić
  4. 4 Igor Vujačić
  5. 5 Risto Radunović
  6. 6 Marko Janković
  7. 7 Andrija Bulatović
  8. 8 Vasilije Adžić
  9. 9 Milutin Osmajić
  10. 10 Nikola Krstović
  11. 11 Stevan Jovetić
  • Stefan Lončar (Suspension (red card))
  • Marko Perović (Knee injury (out until early 2027))

Latvia

5-4-1
  1. 1 Rihards Matrevics
  2. 2 Raivis Jurkovskis
  3. 3 Oskars Vientiess
  4. 4 Daniels Balodis
  5. 5 Deniss Meļņiks
  6. 6 Andrejs Cigaņiks
  7. 7 Eduards Dašķevičs
  8. 8 Lūkass Vapne
  9. 9 Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
  10. 10 Jānis Ikaunieks
  11. 11 Vladislavs Gutkovskis
  • Renārs Varslavāns (Serious knee injury (sidelined until New Year))

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 5-4-1 sets up a familiar tension between ambition and pragmatism. Montenegro will look to Nikola Krstović and Stevan Jovetić to stretch Latvia's back five, but finding pockets of space behind that compact defensive line will require patience and precision in the final third.

Latvia arrive content to absorb pressure and threaten on the counter, with Vladislavs Gutkovskis isolated up front as the focal point of their narrow structure. For Montenegro, the width offered by their full-backs and the movement of Vasilije Adžić through midfield could prove decisive in unlocking a disciplined visiting side.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillCoralLadbrokesVirgin BetLiveScore Bet
Montenegro to win1.301.301.751.731.341.34
Draw4.604.602.502.504.604.60
Latvia to win9.009.007.507.508.508.50
Under 2.5·2.001.951.951.911.87
BTTS Yes2.202.202.302.302.142.14

Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 20:53 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Montenegro's dominant group record, three wins and a draw from four outings, makes the home win at 1.30 a solid selection. Mirko Vučinić's side already beat Latvia 2-1 in Riga last month and carry genuine promotion incentive into this fixture. Latvia, bottom of the group with a solitary point, simply lack the quality to trouble a well-organised home side. The return of Adam Marušić bolsters Montenegro's options further. Backing Montenegro to win represents the standout value pick here.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League C, 5
Date: 12 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Montenegro vs Latvia?

Montenegro to win is the standout selection here, priced at 1.30. The home side top Group C2 with 10 points and need only victory to secure promotion to League B, while Latvia sit bottom with a single point and 13 matches without a win on the road. The motivation and quality gap make this a compelling home win at 78% confidence.

What time does Montenegro vs Latvia kick off?

Montenegro vs Latvia kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 12th November 2026. The match will be played in Montenegro, with the home side expected to enjoy strong partisan support as they chase a result that could seal promotion from UEFA Nations League C. Check your local time zone for the precise kickoff hour in your region.

Where can I watch Montenegro vs Latvia on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary considerably by territory. We recommend checking your local sports broadcasters, as rights holders differ across Europe and beyond. Streaming platforms affiliated with UEFA may also carry the match. Consult your regional television listings or the official UEFA website to confirm where this fixture is available live.

What is Montenegro's recent record against Latvia?

Montenegro hold the upper hand in recent meetings. Most notably, they defeated Latvia 2-1 in Riga just last month during the current Nations League campaign, demonstrating their superiority even on Latvian soil. That result underlines Montenegro's dominance in this fixture and will do little to bolster Latvian confidence ahead of facing the same opponents away from home.