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UEFA Nations League
Türkiye
12 Nov 2026 17:00
Belgium
Prediction:
Belgium to win 1.90
View Odds >
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Türkiye vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips – 12/11/2026

12 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Türkiye welcome Belgium to a venue yet to be confirmed on 12 November 2026 in a Nations League League A fixture that carries enormous weight for both sides. The hosts sit rock bottom of Group A without a single point, staring down the barrel of relegation. Belgium, third in the standings, need all three points to maintain any realistic hope of catching France at the summit. Their previous meeting ended in a commanding 3-0 Belgian victory, and Vincenzo Montella's men will be desperate to put that painful result right on home soil.

Our prediction
2: Belgium to win
1.90 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 18:26 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Belgium arrive as commanding away favourites at 1.90, backed by a 3-0 reverse-fixture victory and a statistical profile that dwarfs their hosts across every key Nations League metric this campaign.

  • 3-0 win in the reverse fixture on October 2 underlines Belgium's clear superiority over this Türkiye side.
  • 1.5 goals scored per match in the UNL versus Türkiye's 0.5, reflecting a dominant attacking output.
  • 50% clean-sheet rate in the Nations League; Belgium concede just 1.25 per game compared to Türkiye's 2.75.
  • Kevin De Bruyne confirmed available, providing the single biggest quality edge over a depleted Turkish midfield.

Türkiye sit bottom of Group A with zero points and face this must-win clash at 3.60 without nine players, including creative pillars Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız, leaving Montella severely short of options.

  • Nine absentees including Çalhanoğlu, Yıldız, Kadıoğlu and Kökcü gut Türkiye's midfield and defensive spine entirely.
  • 0% clean-sheet rate in the Nations League; Türkiye have conceded 2.75 goals per game this campaign.
  • 0 points from 4 matches confirms a structural gap that desperation alone is unlikely to bridge at home.

Key point: With both attacks depleted by injuries, the draw at 4.00 offers intriguing value as a hedge against Belgium's inconsistent possession control flagged by Van Bommel himself.

Form & Statistics: Türkiye vs Belgium

Türkiye

Recent form

WLLWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Belgium

Recent form

LWWWD
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillMatchbookCoralLadbrokesVirgin Bet
Türkiye to win3.603.403.753.503.503.50
Draw4.003.704.102.452.453.70
Belgium to win1.901.851.962.372.371.88
Under 2.5·2.50·2.502.452.43
BTTS Yes1.441.441.521.481.441.48

Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 18:26 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Belgium's away win at 1.90 represents the standout selection here. The Red Devils average 1.5 goals per match against Türkiye's meagre 0.5, while conceding just 1.25 compared to the hosts' alarming 2.75. That defensive gulf, combined with Türkiye's pointless campaign and the absence of Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız, tilts the balance firmly. Under 2.5 goals at 2.50 also merits consideration given Belgium's controlled, possession-heavy approach. The value pick remains a clean Belgium victory, with both teams to score "no" at 2.62 offering further support.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 5
Date: 12 Nov 2026
Time: 17:00 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Belgium away win is the standout selection here, available at 1.90. The Red Devils average 1.5 goals per match to Türkiye's 0.5, already won the reverse fixture 3-0, and face a Turkish side ravaged by injuries to Çalhanoğlu, Yıldız, Kadıoğlu, and Kökcü. With a six-point gap in the standings, Belgium's quality looks more than sufficient to prevail.

What time does Türkiye vs Belgium kick off?

This UEFA Nations League League A fixture kicks off at 17:00 UTC on 12 November 2026. The match takes place in Türkiye, with the hosts desperate for their first points of the campaign. Belgian supporters travelling to the fixture will need to account for the local time difference when planning their arrangements.

Where can I watch Türkiye vs Belgium on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary by territory, so we recommend checking your local listings for confirmed coverage. Typically, matches of this nature are carried by major sports broadcasters and streaming platforms holding UEFA rights in your region. Consulting your provider's schedule closer to kickoff will confirm the precise channel.

What is Türkiye's recent record against Belgium?

The head-to-head record between these two sides carries a degree of historical parity, though recent form tells a sharper story. Belgium inflicted a 3-0 defeat on Türkiye in the reverse fixture of this very Nations League campaign. That result underlines a current structural mismatch, even if the longer-term record suggests the rivalry has been more evenly contested over the years.