Looking for reliable Serie A predictions for this weekend’s matches? You’re in the right place. Every matchweek, The Football Faithful team analyses all ten fixtures in Italy’s top flight to bring you free, data-driven tips, from the Scudetto race and the big derbies to the fight against relegation to Serie B.
Our Serie A predictions cover the markets punters use most: match result (1X2), both teams to score (BTTS), over/under goals, correct score, corners and cards. Each tip comes with the reasoning behind it, the key stats and the best available odds, so you can judge the value for yourself.
Today’s Serie A Predictions
Below are our Serie A predictions for the upcoming matchweek. Tap any match for the full preview, team news and head-to-head record.
How We Make Our Serie A Predictions
Good Serie A predictions start with data, not gut feeling. Each tip on The Football Faithful goes through the same five-step process before it’s published.
- Form and underlying numbers. We look past results to expected goals (xG), shots on target and chances conceded over the last 6–10 Serie A matches.
- Home and away splits. Some Italian sides are far more cautious on the road, so we treat home and away form as separate datasets.
- Team news. Injuries, suspensions and rotation around Champions League, Europa League and Conference League nights can shift a match more than any stat.
- Context. The Scudetto race, European places, relegation battles and derbies such as the Derby della Madonnina and the Derby d’Italia all feed into the final call.
- Odds and value. We compare our estimated probability with the bookmaker’s implied probability. We only publish a tip when we believe the price offers value.
Our Serie A predictions are written by our specialist tipsters with years of experience covering Italian football.
Football Predictions by League
Every league has its own rhythm, so we tailor our football tips to each competition. Choose a league below for dedicated predictions, stats and previews.
Premier League predictions
The Premier League is the most bet-on league in the world, and one of the hardest to call. Arsenal won the 2025/26 title, and the season averaged 2.75 goals per game. Tight mid-table matches and a strong home crowd factor make draw and BTTS markets worth a close look.
Champions League predictions
From the league phase to the final, we cover every Champions League night. Expect previews built around squad rotation, travel and the gap in quality between Europe’s elite and the rest.
LaLiga predictions
Barcelona took the 2025/26 LaLiga crown with 94 points, in a season averaging 2.69 goals per match. Outside the top three, LaLiga games are often tactical and low-scoring, which makes under markets a regular feature of our tips.
Bundesliga predictions
The Bundesliga is the goals league. It averaged 3.24 goals per match in 2025/26, while champions Bayern Munich scored a record 122 league goals. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS are our most common Bundesliga tips.
Ligue 1 predictions
PSG won a fifth straight Ligue 1 title in 2025/26, in a season averaging 2.82 goals per game. Beyond Paris, the league is wide open, so handicap and double chance markets often give better value than the straight win.
EFL and other leagues
We also publish predictions for the Championship, FA Cup, Carabao Cup, League One, League Two, the Scottish Premiership, Eredivisie, Liga Portugal, the Europa League, the Conference League and major international tournaments.
Serie A Betting Statistics: What the Numbers Say
The best Serie A predictions are built on base rates: how often a market actually lands. Use the figures below as a starting point, then adjust for the teams in front of you.
Match result (1X2) predictions
Serie A has been decisive so far this season. Of the first 50 games of 2026/27, home sides won 44%, away sides won 38% and only 18% ended level.
- Away sides are competitive. Visitors have won almost four in ten Serie A games this term, so away favourites deserve a close look.
- Double chance (X2) can offer value when a strong away side visits a mid-table team.
- Draw no bet protects your stake when you back a favourite in a tight fixture between two defensive sides.
Both teams to score (BTTS) predictions
BTTS is one of the most popular Serie A betting markets. Both teams have scored in 58% of Serie A matches so far in 2026/27.
- Back BTTS – Yes when both sides score freely but defend poorly (high xG for and against).
- Look at BTTS – No when Inter, Napoli or Roma host a side that rarely scores away from home.
- BTTS and over 2.5 pays bigger odds and suits fixtures between two attacking sides.
Over/under goals predictions
Serie A was the lowest-scoring of Europe’s big five in 2025/26, with 922 goals in 380 games, an average of 2.43 per match. This season has started much higher at 2.90 goals per game, with home sides scoring 1.48 and away sides 1.42 on average.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 82% of Serie A games so far this season.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 54%, a big jump on last season’s scoring rate.
- Over 3.5 goals has hit in just 28% of matches, so unders on higher lines remain a strong Serie A angle.
Corners and cards predictions
Corner counts rise when a favourite dominates possession against a low block, a common pattern when Serie A’s top sides face teams fighting relegation. Card markets depend heavily on the referee and on the intensity of Italian derbies, so check the referee’s average bookings before backing over cards.
How to spot value: implied probability
Odds tell you how likely the bookmaker thinks an outcome is. Convert decimal odds to implied probability with this formula:
Implied probability = (1 ÷ decimal odds) × 100
Example: odds of 2.00 on over 2.5 goals imply a 50% chance. If the stats suggest the game goes over 60% of the time, that price offers value. If they suggest 45%, skip it, however good the tip sounds.
How to Use Serie A Predictions to Bet Smarter
No tipster wins every bet. The goal is to make better decisions over a 380-game season, not to find a sure thing. These habits help you get the most from our Serie A predictions.
- Compare odds. The same tip can be priced at 1.85 with one bookmaker and 2.00 with another. Over a season, that gap decides whether you profit.
- Stick to markets you understand. If you know a handful of Serie A teams well, specialise in their games rather than betting on every fixture.
- Keep singles at the core. A ten-game Serie A acca is tempting, but every extra leg multiplies the bookmaker’s margin. Use accas for small stakes only.
- Check team news before kick-off. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before the game, and rotation after a European midweek can change a prediction completely.
- Use a staking plan. Bet a fixed percentage of your bankroll (for example 1–2%) per tip, and never chase losses.
- Track your results. Record every bet, the odds and the market, so you can see where you actually make money.
Serie A Predictions FAQ
Are your Serie A predictions free?
Yes. Every Serie A prediction on The Football Faithful is free to read, with no sign-up needed. We may earn a commission if you join a bookmaker through our links, but this never affects the tips we publish.
When are Serie A predictions published?
Most Serie A predictions go live 48 hours before kick-off and are reviewed on matchday once team news is confirmed. Midweek rounds follow the same schedule.
Who won Serie A in 2025/26?
Inter won the 2025/26 Serie A title, their 21st, sealing it with a 2–0 home win over Parma on 3 May 2026 with three games to spare. Napoli finished second and Roma third.
Who was Serie A’s top scorer in 2025/26?
Lautaro Martínez was the Capocannoniere with 17 goals for Inter.
Which teams were promoted to Serie A for 2026/27?
Venezia, Frosinone and Monza were promoted from Serie B, replacing Cremonese, Hellas Verona and Pisa.
Is Serie A a low-scoring league?
It was in 2025/26, when Serie A averaged 2.43 goals per game, the lowest of Europe’s big five. This season has started higher at 2.90 goals per game, but over 3.5 goals has still landed in only 28% of matches.
Can Serie A predictions guarantee a profit?
No. Serie A predictions improve your decisions, but they cannot remove risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and treat betting as entertainment, not income.