Toulouse
Le Havre
>Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips – 19/09/2026
Two sides rooted to the foot of the Ligue 1 table meet at the Stadium de Toulouse on Saturday evening in a fixture that already carries the weight of a relegation six-pointer. Neither Toulouse nor Le Havre have managed a single victory from their opening three matches of the 2026-27 campaign, each clinging to a solitary point. For the hosts, sitting 17th, and Le Havre in 16th, the stakes could hardly be higher this early in the season. Whoever blinks first risks being swallowed by the drop zone before autumn even arrives.
Match Analysis
Toulouse enter this Ligue 1 Round 5 clash as the logical home favourite at 1.73, backed by a commanding all-time H2H record of 22 wins in 41 meetings and the structural advantage of playing at home.
- 5 wins in the last 10 H2H meetings versus Le Havre's 3, including a 4-1 away victory in February 2025.
- 22 all-time wins in 41 encounters against Le Havre, establishing clear historical dominance in this fixture.
- Home advantage is significant here; Le Havre's recent form reads LDLLD, with no away win on the horizon.
- Le Havre missing at least 8 confirmed players, including Zagadou, Mambimbi, Mpasi-Nzau, and Ndiaye, severely depleting their squad.
Le Havre arrive at Toulouse priced at 4.60, a reflection of their dire squad situation and poor early-season form. Sitting 16th with just one point, they desperately need a result but face enormous structural obstacles on the road.
- Four confirmed absentees including Zagadou (cruciate) and Mambimbi (Achilles) strip Le Havre of key defensive and attacking options.
- Le Havre's away record this season is winless, and their recent LDLLD run signals a team lacking cohesion and confidence.
- Only 1 point from 3 Ligue 1 matches in 2026-27 places Le Havre in the relegation play-off zone with mounting pressure.
Key point: With both squads heavily depleted and neither side showing attacking fluency this season, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.85 offers a compelling complementary angle to the 1X prediction.
Form & Statistics: Toulouse vs Le Havre
Toulouse
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Le Havre
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Toulouse vs Le Havre: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Lineups: Toulouse vs Le Havre
Toulouse
Starters
- 1 Mathys Niflore
- 2 Seny Koumbassa
- 3 Mark McKenzie
- 4 David Odogu
- 5 Christ Tapé
- 6 Cristian Cásseres Jr.
- 7 Mathis Amougou
- 8 Thomas Jørgensen
- 9 Santiago Hidalgo
- 10 Jacen Russell-Rowe
- 11 Julián Vignolo
Bench
- Ismaïl Diallo
- Aymen Amaaouch
- Sion Oppong
- Casper Tengstedt
- Ilyas Azizi
Absent
- Aron Dønnum (suspended)
- Frank Magri (suspended)
- Alexis Vossah (suspended)
- Abu Francis (Muscle injury)
- Rafik Messali (Muscle injury)
- Guillaume Restes (Thigh injury)
- Yann Gboho (Thigh injury / Transfer negotiations)
- Aron Donnum (Personal reasons)
- Dayann Methalie (Suspension)
- Niko Sigur (Transfer negotiations)
- Rasmus Nicolaisen (Ankle injury)
- Niklas Schmidt (ACL injury)
Le Havre
Starters
- 1 G. Gallon
- 2 Ayumu Seko
- 3 V. Sasso
- 4 Ahmed Touba
- 5 Elias Jelert
- 6 Amir Richardson
- 7 Simon Ebonog
- 8 Enzo Koffi
- 9 Rayan Fofana
- 10 S. Nakamura
- 11 M. Samatta
Absent
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau (injury)
- Étienne Youté Kinkoué (injury)
- Felix Mambimbi (injury)
- Fodé Ballo-Touré (injury)
- Stephan Zagadou (injury)
- Samuel Grandsir (injury)
- Lionel Mpasi (Achilles tendon injury)
- Rassoul Ndiaye (Thigh injury)
- Timothee Pembele (Injury)
- Paul Argney (Injury)
- Junior Mwanga (Suspension)
- Abdoulaye Toure (Knee problem)
- Yanis Zouaoui (Thigh injury)
Low confidence
Toulouse's probable shape is drawn from weaker sourcing than Le Havre's, so treat their speculated 4-3-3 with a degree of caution ahead of kickoff. The visitors arrive with a more settled 3-4-2-1, with Amir Richardson expected to provide the midfield engine in what should be a compact, well-organised away structure.
The tactical contrast is intriguing: Toulouse's wider, more expansive formation invites pressure on the flanks, while Le Havre's three-man defence and wing-backs are designed to absorb and counter. Rayan Fofana operating in the pocket behind Samatta could be the key figure in unlocking a Toulouse side still finding its defensive shape this early in the season.
Our Verdict
Our pick is the double chance 1X, backing Toulouse to win or draw. The hosts have claimed 22 victories in 41 all-time meetings with Le Havre, losing just six, a commanding head-to-head record that tilts this fixture firmly in their favour. Toulouse's home price at 1.73 reflects that edge. Le Havre have managed just one draw and four defeats from their last five outings, offering little reason to trust them on the road. With both sides winless, home advantage could prove decisive at 3.75 for the stalemate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The double chance covering Toulouse or a draw represents the most prudent wager here. Both sides are winless after three fixtures, yet Toulouse hold the superior head-to-head record and the comfort of home advantage, while Le Havre arrive severely depleted by injuries. With the home side as clear favourite at 1.73, backing them not to lose offers measured value at 58% confidence.
What time does Toulouse vs Le Havre kick off?
Toulouse vs Le Havre kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 19 September 2026. The match is staged at the Stadium de Toulouse, in Toulouse, France. Be sure to account for your local time difference when planning ahead for this Ligue 1 fixture.
Where can I watch Toulouse vs Le Havre on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Ligue 1 fixtures vary by territory. In France, matches are typically shown on DAZN or beIN Sports. UK viewers should check TNT Sports or Canal+ availability. Supporters elsewhere are advised to consult their local listings or a reputable streaming guide to confirm live coverage of this match.
What is Toulouse's recent record against Le Havre?
Toulouse hold a clear edge in the recent head-to-head record, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings compared to Le Havre's 3, with 2 draws. Across all 41 encounters between the clubs, Toulouse have prevailed on 22 occasions. That historical dominance firmly establishes the home side as the logical favourite at 4.60 for their opponents.