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UEFA Nations League
Denmark
17 Nov 2026 19:45
Norway
Prediction:
Denmark to win 2.50
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Denmark vs Norway Prediction & Betting Tips – 17/11/2026

17 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Denmark welcome Norway to a venue yet to be confirmed on 17 November 2026 for a League A fixture in the UEFA Nations League. The reverse meeting produced a thriller, with Norway claiming a memorable 3-2 victory in September. Both sides harbour realistic ambitions of progressing from a competitive group that also includes Portugal and Wales, making this return clash pivotal. Denmark's injury concerns and Norway's renewed confidence under Erling Haaland lend this Scandinavian derby genuine intrigue, with points at a premium heading into the final stretch of the group stage.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Norway
2.62 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 15 Nov 2026 at 20:35 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Norway arrive as the surprise favourite at 2.62, buoyed by their historic 3-2 win over Denmark in September 2026, their first competitive victory in this rivalry in 28 years, with Haaland and Ødegaard leading a dangerous attack.

  • 3-2 win in the reverse fixture, Norway's first competitive victory over Denmark in 28 years.
  • Haaland scored a brace in September, exposing the exact defensive frailties Denmark still carry.
  • Ødegaard and Nusa provide elite creativity behind Haaland against a patchwork backline.
  • 85% Over 2.5 rate in last 7 H2H meetings underlines Norway's ability to generate goals in this fixture.

Denmark face this Nordic derby at 2.50 severely undermined by injuries, with Christensen, Dorgu and Gaaei all confirmed out, while Damsgaard, Nartey and Schmeichel remain doubtful, leaving Riemer to field a structurally weakened XI across every line.

  • Christensen and Dorgu confirmed absent, stripping Denmark of key defensive and wide-back quality.
  • Up to 14 players reported missing across October and November windows, hollowing out the best XI.
  • 2-4 loss to Portugal on October 1 exposed Denmark's vulnerability against high-quality attacking sides.

Key point: The BTTS angle looks compelling given goals in 5 of the last 7 H2H meetings and Denmark's depleted defence facing Haaland; 1.40 offers a strong complementary play.

Form & Statistics: Denmark vs Norway

Denmark

Recent form

D
Wins0/1 (0%)
Draws1/1 (100%)
Losses0/1 (0%)

Season statistics (1)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Norway

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Denmark vs Norway

Denmark

4-3-3
  1. 1 Mads Hermansen
  2. 2 Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
  3. 3 Joachim Andersen
  4. 4 Oliver Provstgaard
  5. 5 Joakim Mæhle
  6. 6 Morten Hjulmand
  7. 7 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
  8. 8 Victor Froholdt
  9. 9 Gustav Isaksen
  10. 10 Rasmus Højlund
  11. 11 Mohammed Daramy
  • Andreas Jungdal
  • Filip Jörgensen
  • Victor Nelsson
  • Alexander Bah
  • Mads Bidstrup
  • Thomas Jørgensen
  • Andreas Skov Olsen
  • Adam Daghim
  • Kasper Høgh
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden
  • Andreas Christensen (Thigh injury, sidelined since September and not fit for November international matches.)
  • Patrick Dorgu (Injury sustained during the previous international break, not considered ready for international competition.)
  • Anton Gaaei (Knee injury, expected return late November 2026.)

Norway

4-3-3
  1. 1 Ørjan Nyland
  2. 2 Julian Ryerson
  3. 3 Kristoffer Ajer
  4. 4 Torbjørn Heggem
  5. 5 David Møller Wolfe
  6. 6 Sander Berge
  7. 7 Patrick Berg
  8. 8 Martin Ødegaard
  9. 9 Antonio Nusa
  10. 10 Erling Haaland
  11. 11 Alexander Sørloth
  • Egil Selvik
  • Sander Tangvik
  • Fredrik Bjørkan
  • Leo Skiri Østigård
  • Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
  • Kristian Thorstvedt
  • Fredrik Aursnes
  • Oscar Bobb
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen
  • Sondre Klingen Langås (Injury.)

Low confidence

Both sides line up in a 4-3-3 mirror, though it is worth stressing that neither XI carries strong sourcing, with both formations speculated rather than confirmed. The tactical shape sets up a fascinating midfield contest, where Morten Hjulmand and Martin Ødegaard figure to be the central creative forces for their respective sides.

Norway's attacking trident, anchored by Erling Haaland, gives them considerable threat on the break, while Denmark will look to press high and use the width of their own front three to unsettle a visiting backline that has yet to be confirmed. Treat both XIs as educated projections ahead of kickoff.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookVirgin BetLiveScore Bet
Denmark to win2.502.402.522.522.452.45
Draw3.603.404.104.103.503.50
Norway to win2.622.502.702.702.502.50
Under 2.5·2.38·2.222.332.28
BTTS Yes1.401.50·1.531.471.47

Odds recorded on 15 Nov 2026 at 20:35 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Norway's 3-2 triumph in the reverse fixture demonstrated they possess the firepower to trouble Denmark, with Haaland's brace proving decisive. Denmark's injury woes compound matters; losing Christensen and Dorgu weakens their spine, while Norway's recent form reads three wins from five. The draw or away double chance at 2.62 represents the value pick here. Denmark's sole confirmed result is a draw, and their 4-2 hammering by Portugal exposed defensive frailties Norway can exploit. Our tip: X2, backing Norway to avoid defeat at a price that reflects genuine opportunity.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 6
Date: 17 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Denmark vs Norway?

The draw or away double chance looks the most compelling angle here. Denmark arrive severely depleted, with Christensen and Dorgu confirmed absent and several others doubtful, while Norway's Haaland and Ødegaard pose a constant threat against a patchwork backline. With Norway having won the reverse fixture 3-2, backing the away side or a share of the spoils, covered by 2.62, carries genuine appeal.

What time does Denmark vs Norway kick off?

This UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off at 19:45 UTC on 17 November 2026. The match takes place in Denmark, with the hosts looking to avenge their 3-2 defeat from the reverse fixture. Check your local time zone to confirm the precise kickoff hour in your region.

Where can I watch Denmark vs Norway on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this UEFA Nations League fixture will vary depending on your country of residence. Viewers in Scandinavia should check their primary sports broadcasters, whilst those elsewhere in Europe are advised to consult local listings. Streaming platforms holding Nations League rights in your territory may also carry the match live.

What is Denmark's recent record against Norway?

Denmark's overall head-to-head record against Norway is heavily in their favour across history, with 55 wins compared to Norway's 21. However, the last two meetings are split one apiece, most notably Norway's 3-2 victory on 24 September 2026, their first competitive win over Denmark in 28 years, with 1.40 reflecting the high-scoring nature of recent encounters.