Thun
Hajduk Split
>Thun vs Hajduk Split Prediction & Betting Tips – 22/10/2026
FC Thun welcome Hajduk Split to the Stockhorn Arena on Thursday evening for a Europa Conference League league stage fixture that carries real weight for both sides. Thun, sitting 29th in the standings after an opening defeat, desperately need points to keep their knockout hopes alive. Hajduk, by contrast, arrive 12th and brimming with confidence following a memorable victory over Ajax on matchday one. For the Croatian outfit, this represents a chance to build genuine momentum during their first sustained run in European competition for over a decade and a half.
Match Analysis
Hajduk Split arrive as the clear road favorites at 2.38, carrying elite momentum after stunning Ajax 2-1 on Matchday 1. Four wins from their last five across all competitions underline a Croatian side operating well above Conference League expectations.
- 2-1 victory over Ajax in ECL Matchday 1 signals top-level European readiness.
- 75% away win rate this season reinforces Hajduk's dangerous travelling form.
- Khalil Fayad returns fit, restoring the creative link in Gonzalo Garcia's settled European midfield.
- Hajduk rank 12th in their domestic league, far above Thun's 29th-place standing.
Thun face a steep challenge at 2.75, having lost four of their last six matches and suffering a chastening 1-0 defeat to Twente without registering a single shot on target in their ECL debut, exposing severe attacking limitations.
- Thun average just 1.00 goal per home game with zero clean sheets in their last seven.
- Seven confirmed absentees and suspensions, including Bamert, Kristal, and Bürki, strip the squad of depth.
- Zero shots on target against Twente reveals a worrying lack of attacking threat at home.
Key point: With Thun averaging under one home goal and both attacks depleted by injuries, the 2.30 market offers a compelling complementary angle to the away-win prediction.
Form & Statistics: Thun vs Hajduk Split
Thun
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Hajduk Split
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Thun vs Hajduk Split
Thun
Starters
- 1 Niklas Steffen
- 2 Fabio Fehr
- 3 Nicolas Bürgy
- 4 Lucien Dahler
- 5 Olivier Mambwa
- 6 Nils Reichmuth
- 7 Justin Roth
- 8 Mattias Käit
- 9 Nassim Zoukit
- 10 Furkan Dursun
- 11 Brighton Labeau
Absent
- Mats Seiler (injury)
- Marc Gutbub (injury)
- Fabio Saiz (injury)
- Jan Bamert (suspended)
- Genís Montolio (injury)
- Genís Montolio Lafuente (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
- Patrik Kristal (Red card suspension)
- Marco Bürki (Suspension (red card))
Hajduk Split
Starters
- 1 Toni Silić
- 2 Mathieu Acapandie
- 3 Dennis Hadžikadunić
- 4 Dario Marešić
- 5 Šimun Hrgović
- 6 Alberto del Moral
- 7 Khalil Fayad
- 8 Abdoulie Sanyang
- 9 Dalisson de Almeida
- 10 Marin Šotiček
- 11 Michele Šego
Absent
- Roko Brajkovic (injury)
- Marko Livaja (Hamstring injury)
- Ivica Ivušić (Injury)
Medium confidence
A 4-4-2 against a 4-2-3-1 shapes up as the tactical contest here, with Thun's compact midfield block likely to be tested by Hajduk Split's creative triangle behind the striker. Mattias Käit will be central to how the Swiss side look to press and transition in the middle third.
For the visitors, Alberto del Moral operating in the double pivot alongside Khalil Fayad gives Hajduk a platform to feed their attacking midfielders. Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, drawn from the same source, so minor adjustments at kickoff remain possible.
Our Verdict
Hajduk Split's away win at 2.38 represents the standout selection here. The Croatian side have won four of their last five, including that statement result against Ajax, while Thun's solitary victory in five outings hardly inspires confidence. Thun failed to register a single shot on target against Twente, exposing a blunt attack that Gonzalo Garcia's settled defensive structure should contain. Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 also merits consideration given Hajduk's recent scoring form, though the primary pick remains a Hajduk Split victory. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Thun vs Hajduk Split?
Hajduk Split to win is the standout selection here. The Croatian side arrive in superior form, boasting a 75% away win rate this season and a memorable Europa Conference League opener against Ajax. Thun, by contrast, have lost four of their last six and failed to register a single shot on target in their ECL debut. The away win, available at 2.38, represents genuine value.
What time does Thun vs Hajduk Split kick off?
Thun vs Hajduk Split kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22nd October 2026. The fixture is staged at the Stockhorn Arena in Thun, Switzerland, a compact and atmospheric venue that will nonetheless be tested by a Hajduk Split side brimming with European confidence following their victory over Ajax.
Where can I watch Thun vs Hajduk Split on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Europa Conference League fixtures vary by territory, so we recommend checking your local listings or the official UEFA platform for confirmed coverage details. Streaming services holding ECL rights in your region are your best port of call. Rights holders differ across Europe, so verifying availability with your provider ahead of the 19:00 UTC kickoff is advisable.
What is Thun's recent record against Hajduk Split?
There is no significant recent head-to-head record between Thun and Hajduk Split to draw upon, as the two clubs have rarely crossed paths in European competition. This fixture in the Europa Conference League league stage represents a relatively fresh encounter between the Swiss and Croatian sides, making current form and squad depth the most reliable indicators of likely outcome.