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La Liga
Sevilla
11 Sep 2026 20:00
Valencia
Prediction:
Sevilla to win 2.25
View Odds >
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Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips – 11/09/2026

11 Sep 2026 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Louis Hecq

Sevilla welcome Valencia to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Wednesday evening for a La Liga fixture that carries vastly different stakes for each side. The hosts, sitting seventh after a strong start, want to cement their place in the top half. Valencia, rock bottom with a solitary point from four matches, arrive in Andalusia amid mounting pressure on Carlos Corberan and growing supporter unrest. Despite the visitors' wretched form, their recent head-to-head record against Sevilla adds an intriguing layer to proceedings.

Our prediction
1: Sevilla to win
2.25 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 09 Sep 2026 at 22:55 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Sevilla enter this Round 5 clash as clear home favourites at 2.25, sitting 7th with 7 points from four games. Three consecutive wins and a 67% home win rate at the Sánchez Pizjuán underline their momentum heading into this fixture.

  • 3 consecutive wins have lifted Sevilla to 7th, with 7 points from 4 matches.
  • 67% home win rate this season makes the Sánchez Pizjuán a genuine fortress.
  • 7 goals scored in 4 games shows Sevilla carry a consistent attacking threat.
  • Valencia have conceded 9+ goals in 4 games, including a 5-0 demolition by Barcelona.

Valencia arrive as heavy underdogs at 3.30, rooted to the bottom of La Liga with just 1 point and a -8 goal difference. A catastrophic injury list, including Guido Rodriguez, Umar Sadiq, and Diego Lopez, leaves Carlos Corberan desperately short of options.

  • 4 confirmed absentees gut Valencia's attacking and defensive depth simultaneously.
  • Valencia have scored just 1 goal all season, making sustained pressure almost impossible.
  • A run of LLLDD and severe supporter unrest have severely dented squad confidence.

Key point: Despite Valencia's defensive fragility, Sevilla's own absences and the H2H caution make 1.55 a compelling alternative angle for risk-conscious bettors.

Form & Statistics: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla

Recent form

DLWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.4Total goals
64%Both teams score
1.4Goals scored
1Goals conceded

Valencia

Recent form

LLLDD
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

2.9Total goals
53%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Sevilla vs Valencia: Head-to-Head

Sevilla 17 % Draws 33 % Valencia 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2.2Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.3Home goals
0.8Away goals
17%Over 2.5 goals
83%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla

4-3-3
  1. 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos
  2. 2 Juan Iglesias
  3. 3 Andrés Castrín
  4. 4 Kike Salas
  5. 5 Gabriel Suazo
  6. 6 Giorgi Kochorashvili
  7. 7 Lucien Agoumé
  8. 8 Jon Guridi
  9. 9 Miguel Sierra
  10. 10 Lucas Stassin
  11. 11 Chidera Ejuke
  • José Ángel Carmona
  • Fofana
  • Robbie Ure
  • Isaac Romero (suspended)
  • Valentín Barco (injury)
  • Rubén Vargas (injury)
  • Adrià Pedrosa (suspended)
  • Arouna Sangante (Suspension (red card vs Espanyol) and mild ankle sprain (1-2 weeks out).)
  • Marcao (Injury.)

Valencia

5-3-2
  1. 1 Stole Dimitrievski
  2. 2 Pablo Maffeo
  3. 3 Arnau Martinez
  4. 4 Cordoba
  5. 5 Cesar Tarrega
  6. 6 Jose Gaya
  7. 7 Pepelu
  8. 8 Aliou Dieng
  9. 9 Jesus Vazquez
  10. 10 Hugo Duro
  • Arnaut Danjuma
  • Robin Ugrinic
  • Shintaro Sato
  • Javi Guerra (injury)
  • Justin de Haas (injury)
  • Sergi Canós (injury)
  • Diego López (injury)
  • Guido Rodriguez (Injury (not training with squad).)
  • Umar Sadiq (Hamstring injury.)
  • Jose Copete (Injury.)
  • Alberto Marí (Injury.)

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 5-3-2 sets up an intriguing tactical contest at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Sevilla's wide trio will look to exploit the flanks, with Chidera Ejuke a constant threat on the break, while Valencia's wing-backs must balance defensive solidity with the capacity to support Hugo Duro in attack.

Both lineups carry probable status, with Sevilla's selection backed by a broader range of credible sources than Valencia's, lending the home side's shape slightly more certainty at this stage. The visitors' compact defensive block will demand patience and precision from Giorgi Kochorashvili and his midfield colleagues if Sevilla are to find a way through.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Sevilla to win2.252.202.262.262.802.80
Draw3.253.003.353.352.052.05
Valencia to win3.303.403.703.703.753.75
Under 2.5·1.55··1.551.55
BTTS Yes2.002.00·2.041.951.95

Odds recorded on 09 Sep 2026 at 22:55 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Sevilla's home win at 2.25 represents the standout selection here. The hosts have won three of their last four league outings, scoring freely with seven goals, and the Sánchez Pizjuán factor should prove decisive against a Valencia side winless in five. While the visitors boast an impressive recent head-to-head record, their current form is dire, and that 5-0 mauling at Barcelona will have shattered confidence. Both teams to score at 2.00 offers secondary value given Sevilla's leaky defence and Valencia's likely counter-attacking approach. Prediction: Sevilla win. Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: La Liga
Stage: Regular Season, 5
Date: 11 Sep 2026
Time: 20:00 BST
Stadium: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Sevilla vs Valencia?

The strongest case points to a Sevilla home win, priced at 2.25. Sitting 7th with seven points and genuine home advantage at the Sánchez Pizjuán, they face a Valencia side rooted to the foot of the table, ravaged by injuries and carrying a -8 goal difference. Despite a troublesome recent H2H record, Valencia's depleted squad makes sustaining resistance for 90 minutes unlikely.

What time does Sevilla vs Valencia kick off?

The match kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 11 September 2026, which corresponds to 21:00 local time in Seville. The fixture takes place at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla's storied home ground in the south of Spain, where the hosts have won 67% of their La Liga fixtures so far this season.

Where can I watch Sevilla vs Valencia on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for La Liga fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, matches are typically shown across LaLigaTV and Premier Sports, while streaming via their respective platforms is also available. Supporters are advised to check their local listings and official broadcaster schedules ahead of kickoff to confirm coverage for this particular fixture.

What is Sevilla's recent record against Valencia?

Valencia hold a remarkable unbeaten run in their last five La Liga meetings with Sevilla, claiming two wins and three draws across that sequence. Most notably, they secured a 2-0 victory at the Sánchez Pizjuán as recently as March 2026. That record represents a genuine caution, though Valencia's current injury crisis is far more severe than in any of those previous encounters.