Roma
Fiorentina
>Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips – 24/08/2026
Roma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday evening for their opening fixture of the 2026-27 Serie A campaign. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, the Giallorossi finished third last term and secured Champions League football, making this a statement occasion for the capital club. Fiorentina, by contrast, narrowly avoided relegation trouble under Paolo Vanoli after a dismal fifteenth-place finish. Both sides will field summer arrivals, and the hosts are keen to set an early marker. The reverse fixture last season ended 2-1 to Roma, a result the Viola will be desperate to avenge.
Match Analysis
Roma open the 2026-27 Serie A campaign as clear favourites at 1.53, backed by a 3rd-place finish last season, 23 wins, and a dominant recent H2H record that includes three consecutive victories over Fiorentina.
- 3 consecutive wins over Fiorentina, including a 4-0 and a 2-1 at the Olimpico.
- 23 wins and 1.55 goals scored per game last season, reflecting elite attacking output.
- 0.82 goals conceded per game last season, one of Serie A's most solid defensive records.
- Roma's absentees (Ferguson, Pisilli, Bah) are non-starters in Gasperini's system, limiting disruption.
Fiorentina arrive at the Olimpico as heavy outsiders at 6.00, following a troubled 2025-26 campaign that ended in 15th place with only 9 wins. Vanoli's side must also cope without key midfielder Mandragora from the first whistle.
- Fiorentina conceded 1.32 goals per game last season, the worst defensive rate among mid-table sides.
- Mandragora absent through injury, stripping Vanoli's midfield of its primary anchor on day one.
- Only 9 wins all last season against a Roma side that collected more than double that total.
Key point: With both squads integrating new signings and no goals markets available, the double chance covering Roma via 1.53 at current odds offers the most efficient entry point.
Form & Statistics: Roma vs Fiorentina
Roma
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Fiorentina
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Roma vs Fiorentina: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Lineups: Roma vs Fiorentina
Roma
Starters
- 1 Svilar
- 2 Mancini
- 3 Ndicka
- 4 Hermoso
- 5 Celik
- 6 Cristante
- 7 Kone
- 8 Wesley
- 9 Soule
- 10 Dybala
- 11 Malen
Absent
- Evan Ferguson (injury)
- Renato Marin (injury)
- Luigi Cherubini (injury)
- Muhammed Bah (injury)
- Niccolò Pisilli (injury)
Fiorentina
Starters
- 1 De Gea
- 2 Dodo
- 3 Pongracic
- 4 Ranieri
- 5 Gosens
- 6 Ndour
- 7 Fagioli
- 8 Harrison
- 9 Gudmundsson
- 10 Solomon
Absent
- Rolando Mandragora (injury)
- Fabiano Parisi (injury)
Low confidence
Both lineups carry a speculative tag at this stage, drawn from early pre-season projections rather than confirmed team news, so the picture may shift considerably before kickoff. That caveat aside, a 3-4-2-1 versus 4-3-3 contest shapes up as an intriguing opener to the Serie A campaign.
Roma's three-man defence will need to hold its shape against Fiorentina's wide threats, with Dybala and Soule tasked with finding pockets between the lines. For the visitors, Gudmundsson figures to be the creative fulcrum, looking to exploit any gaps left by Roma's attacking wing-backs pushing forward.
Our Verdict
Roma's home win at 1.53 represents the standout pick here. The Giallorossi finished third last term with 23 victories, conceding fewer than a goal per match, while Fiorentina limped to 15th and only avoided deeper trouble thanks to Vanoli's late appointment. Home form tells its own story: three wins from five for Roma, compared to a patchy away record for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals at N/A also merits attention given Roma's attacking intent under Gasperini. Prediction: Roma win. Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Roma vs Fiorentina?
Roma to win is the standout selection here. Gasperini's side finished third last season, conceding fewer than a goal per match, whilst Fiorentina scraped to 15th with a leaky defence. The H2H record is firmly in Roma's favour, and Mandragora's absence weakens Fiorentina's midfield considerably. The home win at 1.53 represents solid value.
What time does Roma vs Fiorentina kick off?
This Serie A fixture kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Monday, 24th August 2026, which corresponds to 20:45 local time in Rome. The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma's iconic home ground in the Italian capital, where Gasperini's side have won their last three encounters against this particular opposition.
Where can I watch Roma vs Fiorentina on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, DAZN and Sky Sport Italia typically hold rights to Serie A coverage. Supporters are advised to check their local listings and official broadcaster schedules to confirm which channel will carry this particular fixture live.
What is Roma's recent record against Fiorentina?
Roma's recent head-to-head record against Fiorentina is remarkably dominant. Across the last three meetings, Roma have claimed victory on each occasion: a commanding 4-0 triumph, followed by a 2-1 win, and a narrow but decisive 1-0 victory. All three matches ended in Roma's favour, and Fiorentina are yet to find an answer to their rivals in recent fixtures.