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Serie A
Roma
27 Oct 2026 19:45
Cagliari
Prediction:
Roma to win 1.33
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Roma vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips – 27/10/2026

27 Oct 2026 Stadio Olimpico Louis Hecq

Roma welcome Cagliari to the Stadio Olimpico on Monday evening for a Serie A fixture that carries distinct weight for both sides. Sitting third and boasting a formidable home record, the Giallorossi are intent on cementing a Champions League berth. Cagliari, seventh but conscious of how quickly the table can shift, arrive in the capital buoyed by three consecutive wins and a desire to build on their surprise victory in the reverse fixture. With Roma's squad ravaged by injuries, this contest may prove more competitive than the standings suggest.

Our prediction
1: Roma to win
1.33 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 25 Oct 2026 at 20:41 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Roma enter this Round 9 fixture as commanding favorites at 1.33, sitting 3rd in Serie A with a 5-2-0 record, 16 goals scored, and just 3 conceded across seven league matches this season.

  • 3 consecutive clean sheets at Stadio Olimpico against Cagliari, who have scored 0 goals in those meetings.
  • Only 3 goals conceded in 7 Serie A games, the best defensive record among the top three.
  • 5-2-0 home league record this season, with Malen returning from suspension to bolster the attack.
  • Cagliari missing Felici, Trepy, Idrissi, and Nzola, severely limiting their counter-attacking threat.

Cagliari arrive at the Olimpico as heavy outsiders at 9.00, sitting 15th in Serie A and battling for survival. Their attacking injury crisis, combined with a historically barren record in Rome, makes a positive result extremely difficult to achieve.

  • 0 goals scored in the last 3 away meetings at Stadio Olimpico against Roma.
  • Four attackers unavailable, including Felici, Trepy, Idrissi, and Nzola, gutting their forward options.
  • 15th-place standing reflects a fragile away record against top-half Serie A opposition this season.

Key point: With Roma's depth stretched by injuries and Cagliari's attack decimated, a low-scoring, controlled home win makes 2.12 a compelling complementary angle to the home win prediction.

Form & Statistics: Roma vs Cagliari

Roma

Recent form

DWDDW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws3/5 (60%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

3.2Total goals
38%Both teams score
2.4Goals scored
0.8Goals conceded

Cagliari

Recent form

LLDWW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

1.9Total goals
25%Both teams score
0.8Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Roma vs Cagliari: Head-to-Head

Roma 50 % Draws 25 % Cagliari 25 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1Total goals
0%Both teams score
1Home goals
0Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Roma vs Cagliari

Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Pietro Terracciano
  2. 2 Gianluca Mancini
  3. 3 Evan Ndicka
  4. 4 Leonardo Balerdi
  5. 5 Nahuel Molina
  6. 6 Marten de Roon
  7. 7 Lorenzo Pellegrini
  8. 8 Wesley
  9. 9 Matías Soulé
  10. 10 Rodrigo Mora
  11. 11 Donyell Malen
  • Kjell Scherpen
  • Devyne Rensch
  • Santiago Castro
  • Niccolò Pisilli
  • Agustín Vásquez
  • Riccardo Lulli
  • Mattia Ghilardi
  • Paulo Dybala (injury)
  • Bryan Cristante (injury)
  • Manu Koné (injury)
  • Mile Svilar (injury)
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis (injury)

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
  1. 1 Elia Caprile
  2. 2 Pedro
  3. 3 Yerry Mina
  4. 4 Gastón Rodríguez
  5. 5 Adam Obert
  6. 6 Antoine Massolin
  7. 7 Harry Winks
  8. 8 Simone Romano
  9. 9 Michel Adopo
  10. 10 Daniel Maldini
  11. 11 Bafodé Mendy
  • Niccolò Fazzini
  • Alban Sherri
  • Boris Radunović
  • Gabriele Aurelio
  • Francesco Liteta
  • Gianluca Ciervo
  • Roberto Gagliardini
  • Tobias Kofler
  • Yael Trepy (injury)
  • Mattia Felici (injury)
  • Riyad Idrissi (injury)
  • M'Bala Nzola (fitness)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculated status ahead of this fixture, so a degree of caution is warranted before kickoff. The tactical shape, however, is reasonably clear: Roma's 3-4-2-1 sets up to press with width and verticality, while Cagliari's 4-3-2-1 offers a compact midfield block designed to frustrate the hosts.

Lorenzo Pellegrini operating in the engine room will be central to Roma's ability to circulate possession and unlock that Cagliari shape, with Daniel Maldini tasked with threading chances for the visitors on the counter. The contest between those two creative fulcrums could well define the tempo of the evening.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookVirgin BetLiveScore Bet
Roma to win1.331.351.341.341.301.30
Draw5.004.605.305.304.504.50
Cagliari to win9.008.5010.0010.507.507.50
Under 2.5·2.10·2.122.072.05
BTTS Yes2.002.00·2.101.951.95

Odds recorded on 25 Oct 2026 at 20:41 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Roma's home win at 1.33 represents the standout selection here. The Giallorossi have been formidable at the Olimpico, winning their last two home fixtures and conceding just three goals across seven league matches. Despite the injury crisis, Gasperini has depth through Malen, back from suspension, and the in-form Santiago Castro. Cagliari's reverse fixture victory adds intrigue, but replicating that result against a side third in the table is a tall order. Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 also appeals given Roma's prolific attack. Prediction: Roma win.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 9
Date: 27 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT
Stadium: Stadio Olimpico

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Roma vs Cagliari?

A Roma home win is the standout selection here. Sitting third in Serie A with five wins from seven, Roma's attacking output and defensive solidity far outclass a Cagliari side rooted in 15th. Even accounting for the injury crisis, Malen's return from suspension bolsters the hosts considerably. The 1.33 represents the most compelling wager on this fixture.

What time does Roma vs Cagliari kick off?

This Serie A fixture kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27th October 2026, which corresponds to 20:45 local time in Rome. The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma's iconic home ground in the Italian capital, where Cagliari have struggled considerably in recent visits.

Where can I watch Roma vs Cagliari on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, DAZN and Sky Sport Italia typically hold rights to Serie A matches. Supporters are advised to check their local listings and official broadcaster schedules ahead of kickoff to confirm which channel will be carrying this particular fixture live.

What is Roma's recent record against Cagliari?

Roma's home record against Cagliari at the Stadio Olimpico has been emphatic in recent seasons. The Giallorossi have kept clean sheets in each of the last three home meetings, with Cagliari failing to score in any of them. The most recent head-to-head encounter, played in February 2026, ended in a comfortable 2-0 victory for Roma.