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UEFA Nations League
Rep. Of Ireland
04 Oct 2026 19:45
Israel
Prediction:
Rep. Of Ireland to win 1.95
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Prediction & Betting Tips – 04/10/2026

04 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Republic of Ireland host Israel at the Gradski Stadion in Backa Topola, Serbia, on 4 October 2026 in a UEFA Nations League B Group 3 fixture played behind closed doors due to security concerns. With Ireland sitting second on four points and Israel rooted to the bottom with just one, the stakes could hardly be higher. Survival in League B hangs in the balance for both sides, though it is the visitors who arrive in far more desperate need of a result after a bruising week that included a three-nil defeat in the reverse fixture.

Our prediction
1: Rep. Of Ireland to win
1.95 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 02 Oct 2026 at 21:57 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Rep. Of Ireland enter this rematch as clear favorites at 1.95, riding a dominant 3-0 victory over Israel just seven days ago. Their Nations League scoring rate of 1.67 goals per match underlines a significant quality advantage.

  • 3-0 win over Israel just one week ago confirms tactical and quality superiority in the only H2H available.
  • Troy Parrott has scored in 4 consecutive international appearances, providing a consistent and dangerous attacking threat.
  • Ireland average 1.67 goals per match in the Nations League, compared to Israel's 0.33, a stark attacking contrast.
  • Ireland hold 1.33 points per game in the Nations League versus Israel's 0.33, reflecting a clear competitive gap.

Israel face a steep challenge at 3.60, returning just one week after a heavy 3-0 defeat with a further-depleted squad. Key absences of Daniel Peretz and Mohammad Abu Fani strip their already fragile attacking unit of crucial options.

  • Israel have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.33 per Nations League game.
  • Israel concede 2 goals per match in the Nations League, a defensive record Ireland already exploited last week.
  • 3 key players ruled out through injury, including goalkeeper Peretz and midfielder Abu Fani, weakening both lines.

Key point: With Israel scoring just once in five matches and both squads depleted, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.75 offers a complementary angle if Ireland control the tempo efficiently.

Form & Statistics: Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel

Rep. Of Ireland

Recent form

DW
Wins1/2 (50%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses0/2 (0%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Israel

Recent form

W
Wins1/1 (100%)
Draws0/1 (0%)
Losses0/1 (0%)

Season statistics (1)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel

Rep. Of Ireland

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Caoimhin Kelleher
  2. 2 Dara O'Shea
  3. 3 John Egan
  4. 4 Liam Scales
  5. 5 James Abankwah
  6. 6 Ryan Manning
  7. 7 Conor Coventry
  8. 8 Finn Azaz
  9. 9 Jack Moylan
  10. 10 Adam Idah
  11. 11 Troy Parrott
  • Max O'Leary
  • Jake O'Brien
  • Liam Kitching
  • Jimmy Dunne
  • Joel Bagan
  • Jayson Molumby
  • Jason Knight
  • Killian Phillips
  • Bosun Lawal
  • Owen Elding
  • Chiedozie Ogbene
  • Rocco Vata
  • Tom Cannon
  • Gavin Bazunu (Opted out due to personal stance on the Israel-Gaza conflict.)
  • Nathan Collins (Calf strain.)
  • M. Melia (Injury.)
  • J. McGrath (Injury.)
  • H. Vale (Injury.)

Israel

3-4-3
  1. 1 Omri Glazer
  2. 2 Raz Shlomo
  3. 3 Nikita Stoyanov
  4. 4 Idan Nachmias
  5. 5 Guy Mizrahi
  6. 6 Eilel Peretz
  7. 7 Oscar Gloukh
  8. 8 Anan Khalaili
  9. 9 Tai Baribo
  10. 10 Manor Solomon
  11. 11 Dor Peretz
  • Assaf Tzur
  • Eli Dasa
  • Yarin Levi
  • Yarden Shua
  • Liel Abada
  • Ilay Feingold
  • Ethane Azoulay
  • Idan Toklomati Jorno (Injury.)
  • Mohammad Abu Fani (Injury.)
  • Daniel Peretz (Groin injury.)

Medium confidence

A fascinating mirror of formations awaits at the Aviva Stadium, with both sides lining up in a 3-4-2-1 versus 3-4-3 shape that promises a compact, physically contested midfield battle. Adam Idah leads the Irish attack, supported by Finn Azaz and Jack Moylan in the pockets behind him.

For Israel, Manor Solomon and Oscar Gloukh provide the creative threat across a front three that will look to exploit the channels behind Ireland's wing-backs. Both probable XIs carry reasonable confidence from multiple credible sources, so the tactical picture is as clear as it is likely to get ahead of kickoff.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillCoralLadbrokesVirgin BetLiveScore Bet
Rep. Of Ireland to win1.951.952.502.501.951.95
Draw3.303.202.152.153.453.45
Israel to win3.603.603.903.903.703.70
Under 2.5·1.751.731.731.751.71
BTTS Yes1.801.851.831.831.811.81

Odds recorded on 02 Oct 2026 at 21:57 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Ireland's home win at 1.95 represents the standout selection here. The hosts dismantled Israel 3-0 just seven days ago, and the visitors have managed only one goal across their last five outings. That attacking frailty, combined with Troy Parrott's four-goal streak in international fixtures, tilts the balance firmly towards the Irish. Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 also merits consideration given Israel's blunt forward line, though Ireland's recent scoring form could push the total higher. Prediction: Republic of Ireland win. Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League B, 4
Date: 04 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

Ireland to win is the standout selection here, priced at 1.95. The Boys in Green thrashed Israel 3-0 just seven days ago, Troy Parrott has scored in four consecutive international appearances, and Israel arrive without Daniel Peretz and Mohammad Abu Fani. With Ireland averaging 1.67 goals per match in this Nations League campaign against Israel's meagre 0.33, the home side are clear value.

What time does Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel kick off?

Kickoff is at 18:45 UTC on Sunday, 4th October 2026. The match will not be played on Irish soil; instead, it takes place at Gradski Stadion in Backa Topola, Serbia, behind closed doors. The neutral venue was selected owing to operational and security concerns surrounding the fixture.

Where can I watch Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this fixture have not been confirmed in our available data. We would recommend checking with your domestic television provider or the Football Association of Ireland's official channels for the most up-to-date information on where to follow the match live.

What is Rep. Of Ireland's recent record against Israel?

Ireland's recent record against Israel makes for encouraging reading for the green half. Most notably, they recorded a commanding 3-0 victory over Israel just one week prior to this rematch, in their previous Nations League encounter. Ireland's points-per-match ratio of 1.33 against Israel's 0.33 in this campaign further underlines their clear superiority in the head-to-head.