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UEFA Nations League
Portugal
14 Nov 2026 19:45
Denmark
Prediction:
Portugal to win 1.50
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Portugal vs Denmark Prediction & Betting Tips – 14/11/2026

14 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Portugal welcome Denmark to League A, Group A4 of the UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026, with kickoff set for 19:45 GMT. The hosts need just a single point to seal top spot in the group, having already booked their quarter-final place. This fixture carries enormous significance beyond the table, though: it is Portugal's first match since Cristiano Ronaldo's retirement from international football, ushering in a new chapter under Jorge Jesus. Denmark, meanwhile, arrive nursing a crippling injury crisis, with 14 players reportedly unavailable for the trip.

Our prediction
1: Portugal to win
1.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 12 Nov 2026 at 20:43 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Portugal enter as commanding home favourites at 1.50, backed by a 4-1 H2H record over Denmark in their last five meetings and a Nations League campaign averaging 2.25 goals scored per match under Jorge Jesus.

  • 4-2 victory over Denmark in the reverse fixture on October 1, 2026 confirms recent dominance.
  • 2.25 goals scored per game in UNL 2026/27, reflecting Portugal's relentless attacking output.
  • 1.00 goals conceded per match in this Nations League campaign, the best defensive record of both sides.
  • 11 goals scored vs 5 conceded across the last five H2H meetings, a decisive aggregate edge.

Denmark arrive at 6.00 facing a catastrophic injury crisis, with 14 players reportedly unavailable including both senior goalkeepers Schmeichel and Filip Jørgensen, leaving Brian Riemer's squad severely depleted at every line.

  • Both senior goalkeepers absent, forcing Denmark to field an inexperienced third-choice stopper.
  • Key defenders Christensen, Kristensen, and Gaaei all out, exposing a structurally weakened backline.
  • Denmark concede 1.75 goals per game in UNL 2026/27, a vulnerability Portugal will ruthlessly exploit.

Key point: With Portugal needing only a point and Denmark's attack gutted by injuries, a controlled low-scoring home win makes 2.40 a compelling complementary angle.

Form & Statistics: Portugal vs Denmark

Portugal

Recent form

LWDWD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Denmark

Recent form

D
Wins0/1 (0%)
Draws1/1 (100%)
Losses0/1 (0%)

Season statistics (1)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillMatchbookCoralLadbrokesVirgin Bet
Portugal to win1.501.441.551.951.911.44
Draw4.604.204.902.502.504.40
Denmark to win6.005.506.205.005.006.10
Under 2.5·2.40·2.372.302.33
BTTS Yes1.671.651.751.671.671.71

Odds recorded on 12 Nov 2026 at 20:43 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Portugal's home win at 1.50 is the standout selection here. The hosts average over two goals per match in this campaign, Denmark are missing 14 players through injury, and the reverse fixture ended 4-2 in Portugal's favour. Jorge Jesus has fresh legs and hungry youngsters keen to impress in the post-Ronaldo era, while Brian Riemer's depleted squad lacks the firepower to threaten consistently. Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 also appeals given both sides' recent high-scoring encounters. Back a Portugal victory with confidence.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 5
Date: 14 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal to win is the standout selection here. With Denmark ravaged by injuries, including both senior goalkeepers and 14 players in total, and Portugal boasting a dominant home record in this campaign, the value is clear. The home win is priced at 1.50, reflecting a side that has averaged 2.25 goals scored while conceding just 1.00 per match.

What time does Portugal vs Denmark kick off?

Portugal vs Denmark kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 14 November 2026. The match is expected to be played in Portugal, with the hosts looking to seal top spot in their UEFA Nations League Group. Check local listings to confirm the precise kickoff time in your timezone.

Where can I watch Portugal vs Denmark on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary by territory. In Portugal, RTP typically holds rights to the national side's matches, whilst Danish viewers can look to TV 2. Elsewhere across Europe, rights are held by various national broadcasters. We recommend checking your local listings or a streaming platform for confirmed coverage details.

What is Portugal's recent record against Denmark?

Portugal's recent head-to-head record against Denmark makes for impressive reading. Across the last five meetings, Portugal have won four and lost one, scoring 11 goals to Denmark's five. Most recently, Portugal hammered Denmark 4-2 in the reverse UEFA Nations League fixture on 1 October 2026, underlining their clear superiority in this particular matchup.