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DFB Pokal
Paderborn
28 Oct 2026 17:00
VfB Stuttgart
Prediction:
VfB Stuttgart to win 1.50
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Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/10/2026

28 Oct 2026 Home Deluxe Arena Louis Hecq

Paderborn welcome VfB Stuttgart to the Home Deluxe Arena on 28 October for a DFB Pokal second-round tie that doubles as a swift rematch. Stuttgart claimed a comfortable 2-0 victory in the Bundesliga meeting on 10 October, and the hosts will be desperate to settle that score on cup soil. For Paderborn, this represents a genuine shot at silverware and the kind of giant-killing occasion lower-league sides thrive on. Stuttgart, though, arrive with ambitions of their own, keen to build momentum across multiple fronts this season.

Our prediction
2: VfB Stuttgart to win
1.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 17:14 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

VfB Stuttgart arrive as commanding favourites at 1.50, having already beaten Paderborn 2-0 on their own ground just weeks ago in the Bundesliga. Even with notable absentees, Stuttgart's Bundesliga quality gives them a decisive edge in this DFB Pokal tie.

  • 4W-0L all-time against Paderborn, including a dominant 2-0 win on this same ground weeks ago.
  • Bundesliga pedigree ensures Stuttgart carry superior squad depth even against a rotated lineup.
  • Paderborn have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches, offering Stuttgart a highly exploitable backline.
  • Stuttgart's 68% confidence rating from predictive models reflects a structurally sound away win case.

Paderborn face a steep climb at 5.00, hosting a side that dismantled them weeks ago. The second-division hosts carry revenge motivation and home support, but their fragile defensive record and poor recent form make a cup upset a long shot.

  • Paderborn have recorded zero clean sheets in their last 4 league games, a critical vulnerability.
  • Recent form reads DLWLL, signalling a team lacking consistency and defensive organisation.
  • Four first-team players out injured, including Hoffmeier and Michel, further weakens Paderborn's options.

Key point: With no over/under odds available, the double chance covering Stuttgart via the away sign at 1.50 remains the sharpest single angle given Paderborn's porous defence and Stuttgart's H2H dominance.

Form & Statistics: Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart

Paderborn

Recent form

WDLWL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.5Total goals
40%Both teams score
1.3Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

VfB Stuttgart

Recent form

LDLWW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4Total goals
50%Both teams score
2.9Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart: Head-to-Head

Paderborn 0 % Draws 0 % VfB Stuttgart 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Home goals
2Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart

Paderborn

3-5-2
  1. 1 N. Noll
  2. 2 M. Hansen
  3. 3 T. Scheller
  4. 4 J. t. Horst
  5. 5 R. Obermair
  6. 6 G. Vidovic
  7. 7 S. Castañeda
  8. 8 L. Ulrich
  9. 9 L. Curda
  10. 10 M. Pieringer
  11. 11 S. Marino
  • Sebastian Klaas (injury)
  • Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (injury)
  • Lasse Eickel (injury)
  • Timur Gayret (injury)
  • Marcel Hoffmeier (injury)
  • Luca N. Awortwie-Grant (Injured / Outer ligament problems)
  • Sven Michel (Groin injury)

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 D. Seimen
  2. 2 R. Hendriks
  3. 3 J. Chabot
  4. 4 M. Mittelstädt
  5. 5 J. Vagnoman
  6. 6 A. Karazor
  7. 7 A. Stiller
  8. 8 C. Führich
  9. 9 J. Leweling
  10. 10 D. Undav
  11. 11 E. Demirovic
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt (injury)
  • Tiago Tomás (injury)
  • Dan-Axel Zagadou (injury)
  • Ameen Al-Dakhil (injury)
  • Stefan Drljaca (suspended)
  • Nikolas Nartey (injury)
  • Leonidas Stergiou (suspended)
  • Justin Diehl (suspended)
  • Justin Malanga (Injured / Abdominal muscle strain)
  • Angelo Stiller (Bruised knee)
  • Jarzinho Malanga (Abdominal muscle strain)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculative caveat, drawn from Bundesliga fixtures rather than confirmed Pokal selections, so treat the shape of this contest with appropriate caution. Paderborn's compact 3-5-2 will look to crowd the midfield and frustrate Stuttgart's more expansive 4-2-3-1 structure.

For Stuttgart, the fitness of Mittelstädt and Stiller adds a meaningful layer of uncertainty to their anticipated shape, and Sebastian Hoeneß may well reorganise accordingly. Paderborn, as the lower-division side, will rely on defensive discipline and set-piece threat to stay competitive in this second-round tie.

Odds comparison

BetfredVirgin BetLiveScore BetGrosvenorbetmgm.se
Paderborn to win5.005.005.005.105.30
Draw4.204.004.004.104.30
VfB Stuttgart to win1.501.471.471.501.54
Under 2.5·2.382.382.38·
BTTS Yes1.621.581.58··

Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 17:14 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Stuttgart's recent 2-0 triumph over Paderborn provides the clearest form guide here. The hosts have won just once in their last five outings, while Stuttgart's record across the same stretch is marginally stronger. With Mittelstädt and Nartey potentially absent, Sebastian Hoeneß may need to shuffle his pack, yet the Swabians still carry enough quality to prevail. The away win at 1.50 represents our primary pick. For supplementary value, consider over 2.5 goals at 1.53, given Paderborn's defensive frailties. Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: DFB Pokal
Stage: 2nd Round
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 17:00 GMT
Stadium: Home Deluxe Arena

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart?

Stuttgart to win is the standout selection here. The Bundesliga side carry a dominant all-time record, having beaten Paderborn 2-0 just weeks ago, and face a home side without a clean sheet in over a month. Even with notable absentees thinning their squad, a rotated Stuttgart XI should possess sufficient quality to advance. The away win is available at 1.50.

What time does Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?

This DFB Pokal second-round tie kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28th October 2026. The match takes place at the Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn's home ground, where the lower-division side will be hoping the backing of their own supporters can help produce a memorable cup upset against their Bundesliga visitors.

Where can I watch Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this DFB Pokal fixture have not been confirmed in our available data. We would recommend checking with your domestic broadcaster or streaming provider for the most up-to-date television and online coverage details, as rights for the DFB Pokal can vary considerably depending on your country of residence.

What is Paderborn's recent record against VfB Stuttgart?

The head-to-head record offers little comfort for Paderborn. Stuttgart hold a perfect all-time record of four wins from four meetings, with Paderborn yet to register a single victory. The most recent encounter, a 2-0 Bundesliga win for Stuttgart on 10th October 2026, only underlines the gulf in quality between these two sides.