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Premier League
Newcastle United
23 Aug 2026 15:30
Liverpool
Prediction:
Liverpool to win 2.00
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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips – 23/08/2026

23 Aug 2026 St. James' Park Louis Hecq

St. James' Park hosts a compelling early-season fixture on 23 August as Newcastle United welcome Liverpool for a Saturday afternoon kickoff in the Premier League. Both sides arrive with questions to answer. The Magpies, sitting eleventh after a torrid run of form, face a Liverpool outfit that, despite occupying third, have stumbled through their own difficult spell. With points at a premium and neither manager fully satisfied with his squad's readiness, this encounter carries significant weight for the opening weeks of the campaign.

Our prediction
2: Liverpool to win
2.00 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 22 Aug 2026 at 22:45 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Liverpool arrive at St. James' Park as clear favourites at 2.00, backed by overwhelming historical dominance and a squad that, despite some fitness caveats, is structurally superior to a Newcastle side in visible disarray on opening day.

  • 23 Premier League wins against Newcastle's 5 underlines Liverpool's historic dominance in this fixture.
  • 4-1 victory at Anfield in January 2026 confirms Liverpool's recent superiority over this opponent.
  • Attacking trio of Wirtz, Salah, and Gakpo represents a level above Newcastle's makeshift defensive line.
  • Newcastle missing 5 confirmed players including Joelinton, Gordon, and Schär, severely weakening the home XI.

Newcastle United face a daunting home opener at 3.30, with manager Jaissle openly admitting the side will 'not be at our peak', a 17-year-old set to debut at right-back, and key departures stripping the squad of experience.

  • Makeshift centre-back pairing after Botman and Schär both ruled out, exposing gaps against Liverpool's attack.
  • Midfield gutted by departures of Bruno Guimaraes and Sandro Tonali, leaving an inexperienced engine room.
  • Manager's own pre-match admission of unreadiness signals dangerously low confidence within the camp.

Key point: With Newcastle's depleted attack and Liverpool's own energy concerns, the draw double chance at 3.75 offers a value hedge if Liverpool underperform their expected dominance.

Form & Statistics: Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Newcastle United

Recent form

LDWLL
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.4Total goals
80%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
1.7Goals conceded

Liverpool

Recent form

DDLLL
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.7Total goals
58%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded

Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Head-to-Head

Newcastle United 20 % Draws 20 % Liverpool 60 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4.2Total goals
80%Both teams score
2.4Home goals
1.8Away goals
80%Over 2.5 goals
20%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Newcastle United

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Lukáš Hornícek
  2. 2 Mason Miley
  3. 3 Malick Thiaw
  4. 4 Lewis Hall
  5. 5 Sean Steur
  6. 6 Aladji Bamba
  7. 7 Anthony Elanga
  8. 8 Jacob Ramsey
  9. 9 Bazoumana Traore
  10. 10 Yoane Wissa
  • Sven Botman (injury)
  • Tino Livramento (injury)
  • Joelinton (Unspecified injury, out for at least two weeks.)
  • Lewis Miley (Broken leg (long-term).)
  • Anthony Gordon (Hip injury.)
  • Fabian Schär (Ankle injury (long-term).)
  • Emil Krafth (Knee injury (long-term).)

Liverpool

4-3-3
  1. 1 Alisson Becker
  2. 2 Jeremie Frimpong
  3. 3 Jeremy Jacquet
  4. 4 Virgil Van Dijk
  5. 5 Milos Kerkez
  6. 6 Ryan Gravenberch
  7. 7 Dominik Szoboszlai
  8. 8 Florian Wirtz
  9. 9 Rio Ngumoha
  10. 10 Alexander Isak
  11. 11 Cody Gakpo
  • Hugo Ekitiké (injury)
  • Joe Gomez (injury)
  • Conor Bradley (Knee injury/surgery (expected late September 2026).)
  • Giovanni Leoni (ACL tear (aiming for end of September 2026).)
  • Vitezslav Jaros (Knee injury (expected October 1, 2026).)
  • Jayden Danns (Sidelined.)

Low confidence

A 4-2-3-1 against Liverpool's 4-3-3 shapes up as an intriguing tactical contest at St James' Park, though Newcastle's XI carries a notable caveat: it remains speculated from a single source, whereas Arne Slot's side have a probable XI backed by recent friendly evidence and multiple credible outlets.

Liverpool's midfield triangle, anchored by Florian Wirtz operating in the front three, will demand a disciplined defensive response from Newcastle's double pivot. Whether the Magpies' speculated shape holds come kickoff, particularly with a teenager at right-back, remains the key uncertainty surrounding this opening-day fixture.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Newcastle United to win3.303.504.004.003.503.50
Draw3.753.804.004.002.602.60
Liverpool to win2.001.911.971.972.302.30
Under 2.5·2.50··2.602.60
BTTS Yes1.441.44·1.511.441.44

Odds recorded on 22 Aug 2026 at 22:45 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Liverpool's dominant head-to-head record, with 23 Premier League victories against Newcastle's five, provides the foundation for backing an away win at 2.00. Newcastle sit 11th after a dreadful run of four defeats in five, while Jaissle himself conceded his squad is not match-ready. Liverpool's own form has been poor, yet the structural gulf between these sides remains significant. The away win represents the strongest value pick here. Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 also appeals, given Liverpool scored four in their last visit to Tyneside.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: Premier League
Stage: Regular Season, 1
Date: 23 Aug 2026
Time: 15:30 UTC
Stadium: St. James' Park

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Liverpool to win is the standout selection here. Newcastle are severely depleted, fielding a patchwork side that includes a 17-year-old making his Premier League debut, while Liverpool boast superior squad depth and a dominant head-to-head record. The away win, available at 2.00, looks conservative given the injury crisis at St. James' Park.

What time does Newcastle United vs Liverpool kick off?

This Premier League fixture kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 23rd August 2026, with St. James' Park in Newcastle serving as the venue. It is the opening fixture of the 2026/27 Premier League season for both sides, and promises to be a compelling early test under two new managers.

Where can I watch Newcastle United vs Liverpool on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Premier League fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, live coverage is typically shared between Sky Sports and TNT Sports, while international viewers should consult their local rights holders. We recommend checking your regional listings ahead of kickoff to confirm which channel is carrying this particular match.

What is Newcastle United's recent record against Liverpool?

Newcastle's record against Liverpool in the Premier League makes for difficult reading. Liverpool have claimed 23 Premier League victories to Newcastle's five, winning three of the last five meetings between the sides. The most recent encounter, a 4-1 demolition at Anfield in January 2026, underlined the considerable quality gap that currently exists between these two clubs.