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Liga Portugal
Moreirense
09 Sep 2026 20:45
Benfica
Prediction:
Benfica to win 1.14
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips – 09/09/2026

09 Sep 2026 Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Louis Hecq

Benfica travel to the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on 9 September to face Moreirense in Liga Portugal action, with both sides harbouring very different ambitions. Sitting fifth, Benfica need maximum points to keep pace with the title race, while eleventh-placed Moreirense are battling for mid-table stability after an inconsistent run of results. Marco Silva's side have been devastating in front of goal this term, netting 28 times in eight outings, and their momentum makes this a stern examination for the hosts.

Our prediction
2: Benfica to win
1.14 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 07 Sep 2026 at 22:28 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Benfica arrive as overwhelming favourites at 1.14, backed by six unbeaten matches across all competitions, a stunning 4.50 league goals scored per game, and a H2H record that has seen them win three of the last four meetings against Moreirense.

  • 4.50 goals scored per Liga Portugal game this season, the most clinical attack in the division.
  • Three wins in the last four H2H meetings, including a 4-1 and a 0-4 at this exact venue.
  • Only 0.67 goals conceded per league game, combining elite attack with a near-impenetrable defence.
  • Unbeaten in six consecutive matches across all competitions, averaging 3 goals per game.

Moreirense face a daunting task at 15.00, sitting 10th in Liga Portugal with just 1.33 points per game and a winless run of six home matches against Benfica. Their defensive fragility, conceding 2.00 goals per league game, makes containment look near impossible.

  • 2.00 goals conceded per league game, a catastrophic mismatch against Benfica's attack.
  • No home win against Benfica in six attempts, a deeply ingrained psychological and tactical barrier.
  • Mixed form of 2W, 2D, 2L in their last six across all competitions signals chronic inconsistency.

Key point: With both Over 2.5 odds unavailable and Benfica hitting Over 2.5 in 100% of league games, backing the away side to win by a comfortable margin via 1.14 remains the sharpest single angle.

Form & Statistics: Moreirense vs Benfica

Moreirense

Recent form

LWLDL
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

2.6Total goals
49%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded

Benfica

Recent form

WWWWW
Wins5/5 (100%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

4.1Total goals
71%Both teams score
3.1Goals scored
1Goals conceded

Moreirense vs Benfica: Head-to-Head

Moreirense 0 % Draws 25 % Benfica 75 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4Total goals
75%Both teams score
2Home goals
2Away goals
75%Over 2.5 goals
25%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Moreirense vs Benfica

Moreirense

4-3-3
  1. 1 André Ferreira
  2. 2 Gilberto Dambi Batista
  3. 3 Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
  4. 4 Leandro Santos
  5. 5 Kevyn Monteiro
  6. 6 Nile John
  7. 7 Guilherme Liberato Tomas de Aquino
  8. 8 Rodrigo Alonso Martín
  9. 9 Landerson
  10. 10 Afonso Vieira
  11. 11 Alexandre Parsemain

Benfica

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Samuel Soares
  2. 2 Alexander Bah
  3. 3 Clément Lenglet
  4. 4 Tomás Araújo
  5. 5 Samuel Dahl
  6. 6 Enzo Barrenechea
  7. 7 Leandro Barreiro
  8. 8 Georgiy Sudakov
  9. 9 Rafa Silva
  10. 10 Vangelis Pavlidis
  • Gianluca Prestianni (suspended)
  • Gonçalo Oliveira (injury)
  • Jaden Umeh (Right thigh injury)

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 4-2-3-1 shapes the tactical contest at Moreira de Cónegos, with Benfica's double pivot of Enzo Barrenechea and Leandro Barreiro tasked with screening a back four that includes the experienced Clément Lenglet. Moreirense will look to press high and exploit any hesitancy in transition.

Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, with Benfica's XI backed by the stronger sourcing across multiple credible outlets. Vangelis Pavlidis leads the visitors' attack, and Moreirense's defensive shape will be tested early if Georgiy Sudakov finds space in the channels behind the Benfica front line.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Moreirense to win15.0017.0017.9917.009.009.00
Draw6.507.008.008.203.103.10
Benfica to win1.141.171.161.171.481.48
Under 2.5·2.50··2.602.60
BTTS Yes2.252.10·2.142.302.30

Odds recorded on 07 Sep 2026 at 22:28 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Benfica's blistering form makes the away win at 1.14 a compelling selection. Marco Silva's side have been unbeaten in their last six, scoring three goals per match on average, while Moreirense have conceded at a rate of 1.67 per fixture. The hosts have failed to beat Benfica at home in their last six encounters, and the Eagles have won by two or more goals in two of their last three visits here. With 28 goals in eight league outings this term, Benfica's firepower should prove decisive. Our prediction: Away Win.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Competition: Liga Portugal
Stage: Regular Season, 3
Date: 09 Sep 2026
Time: 20:45 BST
Stadium: Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Moreirense vs Benfica?

The evidence points firmly towards an away win for Benfica, available at 1.14. The visitors are unbeaten in six, averaging three goals per match, while Moreirense have conceded two per league fixture this season. With the head-to-head record heavily favouring Benfica and every data signal aligned, backing the away side is the standout selection.

What time does Moreirense vs Benfica kick off?

Moreirense vs Benfica kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 9th September 2026. The fixture takes place at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal. Supporters should check their local time zone to confirm the precise kickoff hour in their region.

Where can I watch Moreirense vs Benfica on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Liga Portugal fixtures vary by territory, so we recommend checking your local sports broadcasters and streaming platforms for live coverage of this match. Rights holders differ across markets, so consulting your regional television listings or official Liga Portugal channels is the most reliable way to confirm where to watch.

What is Moreirense's recent record against Benfica?

Moreirense's recent home record against Benfica makes for sobering reading. Benfica have won three of the last four meetings between the sides, including a 4-1 and a 0-4 victory at this very ground. Moreirense have not beaten Benfica at home in their last six encounters, a run that underlines the considerable gulf between the two clubs.