Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/10/2026
Monza welcome Napoli to the U-Power Stadium on Wednesday evening for a midweek Serie A fixture with contrasting ambitions at stake. The hosts, sitting fourteenth, need points to keep clear of the relegation places after a mixed run of results. Napoli, ninth but harbouring top-six aspirations, arrive in Lombardy knowing a victory would strengthen their push up the table. The Partenopei hold a commanding head-to-head advantage, having won the last three league meetings between these sides, and Monza will need to produce something special to reverse that trend.
Match Analysis
Napoli arrive as clear favorites at 1.75, backed by the best defensive record in this fixture. Conceding just 1.00 goals per game and winning three consecutive Serie A meetings against Monza, Antonio Conte's side carry genuine authority into this trip.
- 1.00 goals conceded per game away from home, the best defensive average in this matchup.
- 4 wins in 6 Serie A H2H meetings, including three consecutive victories over Monza.
- 50% clean sheet rate in away fixtures, signaling a disciplined and organized backline.
- McTominay, Lobotka, and Giovane provide creative midfield depth even without the injured Neres.
Monza face this fixture at 4.00 with a severely depleted squad. Captain Pessina is out long-term with a knee injury, Ciurria and Ziolkowski are also unavailable, and their attacking depth is thinner than any squad sheet suggests heading into this difficult home test.
- Monza concede 2.14 goals per game at home, leaving them highly exposed defensively.
- At least 4 confirmed absentees, including captain Pessina, gutting leadership and creativity.
- Monza have failed to score in 2 of 6 recent H2H Serie A meetings against Napoli.
Key point: With Monza's leaky defense and Napoli's controlled away style, the double chance covering an away win pairs well with 1.75 as the primary value angle in this fixture.
Form & Statistics: Monza vs Napoli
Monza
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Napoli
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Monza vs Napoli: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Lineups: Monza vs Napoli
Monza
Starters
- 1 N. Tornqvist
- 2 E. Kouadio
- 3 L. Lucchesi
- 4 A. Carboni
- 5 S. Birindelli
- 6 M. Folorunsho
- 7 E. Akinsanmiro
- 8 R. Mangas
- 9 C. Ngonge
- 10 E. Zeballos
- 11 G. Varela
Absent
- Exequiel Zeballos (injury)
- Patrick Ciurria (injury)
- Danilo D'Ambrosio (injury)
- Jan Ziolkowski (injury)
- Matteo Pessina (injury)
- Yvan Maye (injury)
- Idrissa Touré (Injury)
- Leonardo Colombo (Unknown injury)
Napoli
Starters
- 1 A. Meret
- 2 Amir Rrahmani
- 3 B. Badiashile
- 4 G. Di Lorenzo
- 5 B. Gilmour
- 6 S. Lobotka
- 7 L. Spinazzola
- 8 Giovane
- 9 S. McTominay
- 10 L. Lucca
Absent
- Alessandro Buongiorno (injury)
- David Neres (injury)
- Alisson Santos (injury)
- Costantino Favasuli (injury)
- Antonio Vergara (injury)
- Sam Beukema (Achilles tendon irritation)
- Luca Marianucci (Inner ligament injury)
Low confidence
Both sides are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, setting up a mirror contest in the middle of the park, though it is worth treating these selections with caution: both XIs originate from a single source published a week before kickoff, leaving considerable room for change.
Lobotka's influence at the base of Napoli's midfield will be central to how Antonio Conte's side control tempo, while Monza's Folorunsho, familiar to Serie A observers, carries the responsibility of disrupting that rhythm and driving the home side forward in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture.
Our Verdict
Napoli's away win at 1.75 represents the standout selection. The Partenopei have won the last three head-to-head meetings, and their defensive solidity, conceding just one goal per match on average, contrasts sharply with Monza's leaky backline. Crucially, Napoli have kept clean sheets in half their away fixtures this term. That record supports a Napoli victory with under 2.5 goals at 2.10 as a complementary pick. Monza's home form offers some resistance, but the quality gap and historical dominance tilt the balance firmly towards the visitors.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Monza vs Napoli?
The away win for Napoli is the standout selection here, available at 1.75. Napoli's defensive solidity, conceding just 1.00 goals per match on average, combined with Monza's injury-ravaged squad, six players sidelined including captain Pessina, makes the visitors the clear favourite. The head-to-head record only reinforces that view.
What time does Monza vs Napoli kick off?
This Serie A fixture kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28th October 2026. The match takes place at the U-Power Stadium in Monza, Italy, which serves as Monza's home ground for their top-flight fixtures this season.
Where can I watch Monza vs Napoli on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, matches are typically shown live on Sky Sports. Viewers elsewhere should consult their local sports broadcasters or authorised streaming platforms to confirm coverage of this particular fixture between Monza and Napoli.
What is Monza's recent record against Napoli?
The head-to-head record is firmly in Napoli's favour. Across their last six Serie A meetings, Napoli have claimed four victories, including three consecutive wins. Most recently, they secured a 2-0 triumph at home in September 2024, followed by a 1-0 win at Monza in April 2025, leaving the hosts with little historical comfort.
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