18+ | Please gamble responsibly | Commercial content
The Football Faithful content may include affiliate links, which means we could earn a commission if you choose to register or make a purchase through one of our featured partners. This compensation does not influence our editorial integrity; all recommendations are made independently. However, it may impact the positioning and visibility of certain operators within our articles.
Serie A
Monza
28 Oct 2026 19:45
Napoli
Prediction:
Napoli to win 1.75
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/10/2026

28 Oct 2026 U-Power Stadium Louis Hecq

Monza welcome Napoli to the U-Power Stadium on Wednesday evening for a midweek Serie A fixture with contrasting ambitions at stake. The hosts, sitting fourteenth, need points to keep clear of the relegation places after a mixed run of results. Napoli, ninth but harbouring top-six aspirations, arrive in Lombardy knowing a victory would strengthen their push up the table. The Partenopei hold a commanding head-to-head advantage, having won the last three league meetings between these sides, and Monza will need to produce something special to reverse that trend.

Our prediction
2: Napoli to win
1.75 on William Hill · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 21:25 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Napoli arrive as clear favorites at 1.75, backed by the best defensive record in this fixture. Conceding just 1.00 goals per game and winning three consecutive Serie A meetings against Monza, Antonio Conte's side carry genuine authority into this trip.

  • 1.00 goals conceded per game away from home, the best defensive average in this matchup.
  • 4 wins in 6 Serie A H2H meetings, including three consecutive victories over Monza.
  • 50% clean sheet rate in away fixtures, signaling a disciplined and organized backline.
  • McTominay, Lobotka, and Giovane provide creative midfield depth even without the injured Neres.

Monza face this fixture at 4.00 with a severely depleted squad. Captain Pessina is out long-term with a knee injury, Ciurria and Ziolkowski are also unavailable, and their attacking depth is thinner than any squad sheet suggests heading into this difficult home test.

  • Monza concede 2.14 goals per game at home, leaving them highly exposed defensively.
  • At least 4 confirmed absentees, including captain Pessina, gutting leadership and creativity.
  • Monza have failed to score in 2 of 6 recent H2H Serie A meetings against Napoli.

Key point: With Monza's leaky defense and Napoli's controlled away style, the double chance covering an away win pairs well with 1.75 as the primary value angle in this fixture.

Form & Statistics: Monza vs Napoli

Monza

Recent form

LWLWL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

4.2Total goals
88%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
2.3Goals conceded

Napoli

Recent form

DLWDW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.9Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.6Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Monza vs Napoli: Head-to-Head

Monza 0 % Draws 0 % Napoli 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1.5Total goals
0%Both teams score
1Home goals
0.5Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Monza vs Napoli

Monza

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 N. Tornqvist
  2. 2 E. Kouadio
  3. 3 L. Lucchesi
  4. 4 A. Carboni
  5. 5 S. Birindelli
  6. 6 M. Folorunsho
  7. 7 E. Akinsanmiro
  8. 8 R. Mangas
  9. 9 C. Ngonge
  10. 10 E. Zeballos
  11. 11 G. Varela
  • Exequiel Zeballos (injury)
  • Patrick Ciurria (injury)
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio (injury)
  • Jan Ziolkowski (injury)
  • Matteo Pessina (injury)
  • Yvan Maye (injury)
  • Idrissa Touré (Injury)
  • Leonardo Colombo (Unknown injury)

Napoli

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 A. Meret
  2. 2 Amir Rrahmani
  3. 3 B. Badiashile
  4. 4 G. Di Lorenzo
  5. 5 B. Gilmour
  6. 6 S. Lobotka
  7. 7 L. Spinazzola
  8. 8 Giovane
  9. 9 S. McTominay
  10. 10 L. Lucca
  • Alessandro Buongiorno (injury)
  • David Neres (injury)
  • Alisson Santos (injury)
  • Costantino Favasuli (injury)
  • Antonio Vergara (injury)
  • Sam Beukema (Achilles tendon irritation)
  • Luca Marianucci (Inner ligament injury)

Low confidence

Both sides are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, setting up a mirror contest in the middle of the park, though it is worth treating these selections with caution: both XIs originate from a single source published a week before kickoff, leaving considerable room for change.

Lobotka's influence at the base of Napoli's midfield will be central to how Antonio Conte's side control tempo, while Monza's Folorunsho, familiar to Serie A observers, carries the responsibility of disrupting that rhythm and driving the home side forward in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture.

Odds comparison

William HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokesVirgin Bet
Monza to win4.004.304.404.204.203.85
Draw3.703.954.002.402.373.55
Napoli to win1.751.881.892.202.201.77
Under 2.52.10·2.202.052.052.00
BTTS Yes1.65·1.751.701.671.65

Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 21:25 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Napoli's away win at 1.75 represents the standout selection. The Partenopei have won the last three head-to-head meetings, and their defensive solidity, conceding just one goal per match on average, contrasts sharply with Monza's leaky backline. Crucially, Napoli have kept clean sheets in half their away fixtures this term. That record supports a Napoli victory with under 2.5 goals at 2.10 as a complementary pick. Monza's home form offers some resistance, but the quality gap and historical dominance tilt the balance firmly towards the visitors.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 9
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT
Stadium: U-Power Stadium

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Monza vs Napoli?

The away win for Napoli is the standout selection here, available at 1.75. Napoli's defensive solidity, conceding just 1.00 goals per match on average, combined with Monza's injury-ravaged squad, six players sidelined including captain Pessina, makes the visitors the clear favourite. The head-to-head record only reinforces that view.

What time does Monza vs Napoli kick off?

This Serie A fixture kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28th October 2026. The match takes place at the U-Power Stadium in Monza, Italy, which serves as Monza's home ground for their top-flight fixtures this season.

Where can I watch Monza vs Napoli on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, matches are typically shown live on Sky Sports. Viewers elsewhere should consult their local sports broadcasters or authorised streaming platforms to confirm coverage of this particular fixture between Monza and Napoli.

What is Monza's recent record against Napoli?

The head-to-head record is firmly in Napoli's favour. Across their last six Serie A meetings, Napoli have claimed four victories, including three consecutive wins. Most recently, they secured a 2-0 triumph at home in September 2024, followed by a 1-0 win at Monza in April 2025, leaving the hosts with little historical comfort.