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Serie A
Lecce
13 Sep 2026 14:00
Monza
Prediction:
Lecce to win 2.50
View Odds >
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Lecce vs Monza Prediction & Betting Tips – 13/09/2026

13 Sep 2026 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare Louis Hecq

Lecce welcome Monza to the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare on Saturday afternoon for a Serie A fixture carrying genuine relegation significance. Monza sit 17th, deep in the drop zone after a troubled start, while Lecce occupy 13th and will fancy their chances of pulling further clear. Both sides have endured inconsistent early-season form, though the hosts at least boast a recent head-to-head edge, having won the reverse fixture in December 2024. With points at a premium at this end of the table, neither side can afford to leave empty-handed.

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Lecce or Draw
2.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 11 Sep 2026 at 16:42 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Lecce enter this relegation-zone clash as clear home favorites at 2.50, backed by a dominant H2H record of 4-1 in wins over Monza and a 2-1 victory in the most recent home meeting in December 2024.

  • 4-1 H2H advantage over Monza across all Serie A meetings, with home dominance established.
  • 2-1 win against Monza in December 2024 at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare confirms recent home superiority.
  • Monza missing 4+ key players including captain Pessina, Ciurria, Akinsanmiro, and Colombo, gutting their midfield and attack.
  • 13th vs 18th positional gap gives Lecce a significant league-standing and morale advantage heading in.

Monza arrive at 2.88 in a genuine crisis, sitting 18th in Serie A and stripped of captain Pessina until October, plus Ciurria, Akinsanmiro, and Colombo, leaving coach Juric with severely limited creative and defensive options.

  • Captain Pessina out until early October, removing Monza's primary creative and leadership presence.
  • 3 additional absentees in Ciurria, Akinsanmiro, and Colombo further hollow out midfield and attacking depth.
  • Monza's new signings Folorunsho and Ziolkowski are untested in this system, offering uncertain compensation.

Key point: The H2H average of just 1.0 goals per game and a 0-0 February 2025 result make the under 2.5 goals market, at 1.62, a compelling complementary angle.

Form & Statistics: Lecce vs Monza

Lecce

Recent form

LLWLL
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses4/5 (80%)

Season statistics (5)

2.1Total goals
33%Both teams score
0.8Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Monza

Recent form

DWLLW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.8Total goals
54%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Lecce vs Monza: Head-to-Head

Lecce 50 % Draws 50 % Monza 0 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1.5Total goals
50%Both teams score
1Home goals
0.5Away goals
50%Over 2.5 goals
50%Under 2.5 goals

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Lecce to win2.502.502.862.863.103.10
Draw3.103.003.203.202.052.00
Monza to win2.882.802.942.943.303.30
Under 2.5·1.62··1.601.60
BTTS Yes1.911.91·1.961.911.85

Odds recorded on 11 Sep 2026 at 16:42 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

The double chance 1X represents the strongest value pick here. Lecce's positional advantage, sitting four places above a Monza side languishing in the relegation zone, is reinforced by a favourable head-to-head record, including a 2-1 home victory in December 2024. Monza's injury crisis, losing captain Pessina and striker Varela, further tilts the balance. The home win at 2.50 anchors this selection, while the draw at 3.10 provides a safety net. Back Lecce or Draw (1X) as the recommended pick.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 4
Date: 13 Sep 2026
Time: 14:00 BST
Stadium: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Lecce vs Monza?

The double chance covering Lecce or the draw is the standout selection here, backed by the home side's superior league position and a crippling Monza injury list that rules out Pessina, Ciurria, Bondo, and others. Lecce's H2H dominance and a low-scoring fixture trend reinforce the case. The home win is available at 2.50.

What time does Lecce vs Monza kick off?

The match kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 13th September 2026, which corresponds to 15:00 local time in Italy. The fixture is staged at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare in Lecce, a compact and atmospheric ground that has historically served the home side well.

Where can I watch Lecce vs Monza on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary by territory. In the United Kingdom, TNT Sports typically holds rights to selected Serie A matches, whilst Italian viewers can follow coverage via DAZN or Sky Sport. Supporters are advised to check their local listings ahead of kickoff to confirm which broadcaster is carrying this particular fixture.

What is Lecce's recent record against Monza?

Lecce hold a commanding record in recent meetings with Monza. The sides shared a goalless draw in February 2025, before Lecce claimed a 2-1 victory in December 2024. Across all competitive encounters, Lecce lead the all-time series with four wins to Monza's one, underlining a clear historical advantage for the home side.