Hajduk Split
Ajax
>Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips – 15/10/2026
Stadion Poljud hosts a momentous occasion on 15 October as Hajduk Split welcome Ajax in the Europa Conference League league stage. For Hajduk, this fixture represents their first appearance at this level of European competition in sixteen years, and the Split faithful snapped up every available ticket in under an hour. Ajax, meanwhile, begin their continental campaign on the road against a side buoyed by emphatic qualifying victories over Žalgiris and Raków. With both clubs harbouring ambitions of progressing deep into the tournament, the stakes could hardly be higher.
Match Analysis
Ajax arrive in Split as clear favourites at 2.00, backed by a dominant Eredivisie run and a significant Conference League standings gap. Their squad depth comfortably absorbs key absences against this level of opposition.
- W4D1 in their last five competitive matches, including two 5-1 victories.
- Ajax sit 16 places above Hajduk Split in the Conference League standings, signalling a clear quality gap.
- Bookmaker consensus across 30 books places Ajax at ~49.5% implied win probability versus Hajduk's ~20.6%.
- A 5-1 away win at Fortuna Sittard confirms Ajax can perform ruthlessly on the road.
Hajduk Split return to European group-stage football for the first time in 16 years, priced at 3.40, facing Ajax just five days after the high-stakes 'Eternal Derby' against Dinamo Zagreb, raising serious rotation and fatigue concerns.
- The 'Eternal Derby' vs Dinamo Zagreb falls just five days before this fixture, risking squad fatigue.
- Hajduk's European group-stage inexperience spans 16 years, a significant adaptation challenge at this level.
- Key absences including Brajkovic (ACL) and doubts over Del Moral further thin an already stretched squad.
Key point: With both defences under pressure and Ajax's attack reshuffled after Dolberg's ACL loss, the double chance pairing of a draw or away win at 2.00 offers a measured alternative angle.
Form & Statistics: Hajduk Split vs Ajax
Hajduk Split
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Ajax
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Our Verdict
Ajax's superior form and quality make the away win at 2.00 the standout selection here. The Dutch side have won four of their last five matches, scoring freely, while Hajduk face significant fatigue concerns after their Eternal Derby against Dinamo Zagreb just five days prior. That scheduling burden could prove decisive. With Hajduk's European pedigree limited to qualifying-round heroics and Ajax sitting 16 places higher in the standings, the visitors should have enough to prevail. Consider over 2.5 goals at 1.55 as a secondary pick, given both sides' attacking tendencies.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
An Ajax away win is the standout selection here. The Dutch side arrive in Split on the back of four wins from their last five Eredivisie fixtures, sit 16 places above Hajduk in the Conference League standings, and carry a significant quality advantage. With Hajduk fatigued from the Eternal Derby, the 2.00 represents compelling value.
What time does Hajduk Split vs Ajax kick off?
The match kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 15th October 2026, which corresponds to 18:45 local time in Split. The fixture takes place at the Stadion Poljud, Hajduk Split's atmospheric home ground on the Dalmatian coast, where a sell-out crowd is fully expected following remarkable ticket demand.
Where can I watch Hajduk Split vs Ajax on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for this Europa Conference League fixture will vary depending on your territory. We recommend checking with your local sports broadcasters and streaming platforms, as rights holders differ across markets. In the United Kingdom, TNT Sports typically holds Conference League coverage, so that would be the first port of call for British viewers.
What is Hajduk Split's recent record against Ajax?
There is no significant recent head-to-head record between these two sides to draw upon. Hajduk Split and Ajax have rarely crossed paths in European competition, and no meaningful recent meetings exist in the historical data available. This fixture therefore represents something of an unknown quantity in terms of direct historical precedent between the clubs.