Germany
Serbia
>Germany vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips – 01/10/2026
Germany welcome Serbia to League A of the UEFA Nations League on 1 October 2026, with both sides desperate to kickstart stuttering campaigns in Group 2. Jürgen Klopp's men sit third after a draw and a defeat from their opening two fixtures, while Serbia prop up the table without a single point. Greece lead the way, making this a must-win affair for the hosts. With squad rotation and fresh faces expected in the German camp, the evening promises intrigue as much as intensity.
Match Analysis
Germany enter as commanding favorites at 1.25, with Jürgen Klopp seeking his first win as national team manager. Despite heavy rotation, the hosts boast a clear statistical edge and face a structurally depleted Serbian side.
- 12 goals scored in their last five matches, far outpacing Serbia's five.
- 57% average possession in recent games signals Germany's territorial dominance.
- Florian Wirtz leads an attack supported by Gnabry and Adeyemi, providing elite creative depth.
- Serbia have conceded 14 goals in five matches, exposing a fragile defensive structure.
Serbia arrive at 11.00 as heavy outsiders, sitting bottom of Group A2 with zero points and a squad gutted by absences. Mitrovic, Vlahovic, and Milenkovic are all out, leaving Jovic as a lone frontman and the defence reshuffled.
- Lost both openers 2-1, against Greece and the Netherlands, with morale critically low.
- Three key absentees in Mitrovic, Vlahovic, and Milenkovic strip Serbia of attacking and defensive spine.
- Milinković-Savić is a fresh injury doubt, potentially removing Serbia's sole creative midfield threat.
Key point: With both squads heavily rotated and defensive solidity uncertain on both sides, the double chance pairing the home win with over 2.5 goals offers a compelling complementary angle at 1.40.
Form & Statistics: Germany vs Serbia
Germany
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Serbia
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Lineups: Germany vs Serbia
Germany
Starters
- 1 Alexander Nübel
- 2 David Raum
- 3 Malick Thiaw
- 4 Waldemar Anton
- 5 Philipp Treu
- 6 Aleksandar Pavlovic
- 7 Anton Stach
- 8 Serge Gnabry
- 9 Florian Wirtz
- 10 Karim Adeyemi
- 11 Jonathan Burkardt
Bench
- Noah Atubolu
- Jonas Urbig
- Finn Jeltsch
- Maximilian Mittelstädt
- Nico Schlotterbeck
- Yannik Engelhardt
- Bambasé Conté
- Vitaly Janelt
- Felix Keidel
- Nick Woltemade
Absent
- Kai Havertz (muscle strain)
- Jamal Musiala (torn muscle fiber (3-4 weeks))
- Salim Musah (left thigh injury (several months))
- Marc-André ter Stegen (rest/rotation (sent home))
- Jonathan Tah (rest/rotation (sent home))
- Joshua Kimmich (rest/rotation (sent home))
- Leon Goretzka (unspecified)
Serbia
Starters
- 1 Vanja Milinković-Savić
- 2 Aleksa Terzić
- 3 Strahinja Pavlovic
- 4 Srdjan Babic
- 5 Kosta Nedeljkovic
- 6 Saša Lukić
- 7 Nemanja Gudelj
- 8 Filip Kostić
- 9 Dušan Tadić
- 10 Andrija Živković
- 11 Luka Jovic
Bench
- Dejan Joveljic
- Aleksandar Stankovic
- Strahinja Erakovic
- Mihajlo Cvetković
- Nemanja Maksimović
- Nikola Simić
Absent
- Aleksandar Mitrovic (absent)
- Dusan Vlahovic (unspecified)
- Nikola Milenkovic (absent)
- Mihailo Ivanovic (unspecified)
Medium confidence
Both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1, setting the stage for a tactically mirrored contest in which the midfield battle will likely prove decisive. Florian Wirtz operates as the creative fulcrum behind Burkardt, while Serbia's double pivot of Lukić and Gudelj will be tasked with limiting his influence.
For Serbia, Dušan Tadić carries the creative burden in behind Jović, and Kostić's delivery from the left flank offers a consistent outlet. Germany's high defensive line could invite pressure on the flanks, making the wide channels a key battleground from the first whistle.
Our Verdict
Germany's superior firepower and Serbia's wretched run make a home win at 1.25 the standout selection. Serbia have lost both Nations League fixtures and four of their last five across all competitions, conceding fourteen goals in that span. Even with Klopp rotating heavily, the hosts boast far greater squad depth. Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 appeals given Serbia's defensive frailties, while both teams to score at 1.80 offers value with Tadić and Jović returning to the Serbian attack. Prediction: Germany win. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Germany vs Serbia?
A Germany win is the standout selection here, priced at 1.25. Serbia arrive without Mitrovic, Vlahovic, and Milenkovic, gutting their attacking and defensive spine, while Wirtz and company offer clear technical superiority. Germany have netted 12 goals in their last five matches; a depleted Serbian side struggling for form looks ill-equipped to deny them at home.
What time does Germany vs Serbia kick off?
Germany vs Serbia kicks off at 18:45 UTC on 1st October 2026. The fixture takes place in Germany, with Jürgen Klopp's side hosting this UEFA Nations League League A encounter on home soil, where they will be eager to secure a first victory under their new manager.
Where can I watch Germany vs Serbia on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Germany vs Serbia will vary depending on your territory. In Germany, the match is typically carried by ZDF or ARD. UK viewers should check Channel 4 or TNT Sports. Supporters elsewhere are advised to consult their local listings, as UEFA Nations League rights differ across markets.
What is Germany's recent record against Serbia?
The head-to-head record between Germany and Serbia is perfectly balanced, with neither side holding a clear historical advantage over the other. That even rivalry suggests this UEFA Nations League fixture could be tighter than the odds imply, though Serbia's current injury crisis and poor run of form, four defeats in their last five, complicates any straightforward historical comparison.