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Carabao Cup
Fulham
28 Oct 2026 19:45
Crystal Palace
Prediction:
Fulham to win 1.85
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Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/10/2026

28 Oct 2026 Craven Cottage Louis Hecq

Craven Cottage plays host to a tasty London derby on 28 October when Fulham welcome Crystal Palace in the Carabao Cup round of sixteen. Both sides harbour genuine ambitions of a deep cup run this season, and Fulham boss Álvaro Arbeloa has described the tie as a "final" for his squad. That rhetoric carries extra weight after Palace inflicted a 3-2 defeat on the Cottagers at this very ground in the Premier League barely two months ago. With a quarter-final place at stake, neither side can afford a sluggish evening under the lights.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Crystal Palace
3.60 on William Hill · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 21:28 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace arrive at Craven Cottage as the value pick at 3.60, backed by a historically dominant H2H record against Fulham. Three straight wins at this very ground underline their authority in this London derby fixture.

  • 4 wins in last 6 competitive H2H meetings, including three straight at Craven Cottage.
  • Three consecutive away wins at Craven Cottage, scorelines of 1-2, 1-2, and 0-3.
  • Fulham manager Arbeloa publicly flagged 'easy goals' conceded after the 3-2 September league defeat.
  • Hugo Larsson confirmed sidelined, removing Fulham's key midfield creator and tempo-setter.

Fulham enter this Carabao Cup last-16 tie at 1.85, carrying the weight of three consecutive home defeats to Palace. Arbeloa has framed the match as a 'final', yet defensive frailties and a key midfield absence complicate their path.

  • Fulham have lost 3 straight home games against Crystal Palace in competitive fixtures.
  • Hugo Larsson absent, stripping Fulham of their primary midfield creative outlet.
  • Arbeloa's side conceded 3 goals in 90 minutes against this same Palace attack in September.

Key point: With Mateta and Chilwell both doubtful and heavy rotation expected, a draw at 3.60 offers strong value given the cup context and Palace's blunted attack.

Form & Statistics: Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Fulham

Recent form

WWLDW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.6Total goals
56%Both teams score
1.3Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Crystal Palace

Recent form

LDLLW
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.7Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
2Goals conceded

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Head-to-Head

Fulham 14 % Draws 14 % Crystal Palace 71 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3Total goals
67%Both teams score
0.8Home goals
2.2Away goals
67%Over 2.5 goals
33%Under 2.5 goals

Odds comparison

William HillMatchbookCoralLadbrokesVirgin BetLiveScore Bet
Fulham to win1.851.872.302.301.861.86
Draw3.604.002.372.373.653.65
Crystal Palace to win3.604.203.903.803.453.45
Under 2.52.202.222.152.152.202.20
BTTS Yes1.571.651.601.601.551.55

Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 21:28 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

The X2 pick carries genuine weight here. Crystal Palace have won three consecutive matches at Craven Cottage, including that emphatic 3-0 rout, and four of the last six competitive meetings between these sides. Álvaro Arbeloa's own admission about conceding easy goals underlines Fulham's defensive fragility, a concern Pierre Sage will look to exploit again. The away win at 3.60 offers solid value, while the draw at 3.60 provides cover. Palace's recent form shows resilience, with two wins from their last three. Back the visitors to avoid defeat in this cup tie.

Competition: Carabao Cup
Stage: 8th Finals
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT
Stadium: Craven Cottage

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The double chance covering draw or away, aligned with our X2 prediction at 58% confidence, represents the most compelling option here. Crystal Palace's H2H dominance and Fulham's defensive frailty, highlighted by Arbeloa himself after conceding easy goals in September, make backing Palace or the draw, reflected in the away price at 3.60, the shrewdest approach.

What time does Fulham vs Crystal Palace kick off?

This Carabao Cup last-sixteen tie kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28th October 2026. The match takes place at Craven Cottage, Fulham's riverside ground in west London, setting the stage for a feisty capital derby with a place in the quarter-finals firmly at stake for both sides.

Where can I watch Fulham vs Crystal Palace on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Carabao Cup fixtures can vary across platforms and regions. In the United Kingdom, rights are typically shared between Sky Sports and TNT Sports, so we would recommend checking both broadcasters' schedules closer to kickoff. Supporters outside the UK should consult their local sports broadcaster or an authorised streaming service for regional availability.

What is Fulham's recent record against Crystal Palace?

Fulham's recent record against Crystal Palace makes for uncomfortable reading for the Cottagers. Palace have won four of the last six competitive meetings, including three consecutive victories at Craven Cottage, by scorelines of 1-2, 1-2, and 0-3. The most recent encounter, a 3-2 Premier League defeat in September 2026, extended that troubling trend for Fulham on home soil.