Derby County
Swansea City
>Derby County vs Swansea City Prediction & Betting Tips – 29/08/2026
Pride Park Stadium hosts a Championship fixture with contrasting early-season narratives when Derby County welcome Swansea City on 29th August 2026, kicking off at 12:30. The Rams remain winless after two rounds, sitting 16th and already under pressure to deliver in front of their home faithful. Swansea, by contrast, arrive in 10th with four points from their opening fixtures and an unbeaten record to protect. With both sides carrying defensive injury concerns, this early-season encounter could prove pivotal in shaping each club's trajectory through the autumn months.
Match Analysis
Swansea City arrive at Pride Park as the value pick at 3.10, sitting six places above Derby after two rounds and boasting a defensive record that dwarfs their hosts, conceding just 0.5 goals per game.
- 0.5 goals conceded per game for Swansea, the starkest defensive contrast in this fixture.
- 50% clean-sheet rate in the Championship so far, against Derby's 0% this season.
- 6-place league gap separates Swansea from Derby after the opening two rounds.
- Swansea's unbeaten Championship run intact; Derby yet to record a single league win in 2025-26.
Derby County, priced at 2.30, are still searching for their first Championship win of the season, having taken just one point from two outings. A makeshift defence missing Clarke, Murkin and Agyemang faces a stern test.
- 2.0 goals conceded per game for Derby, the worst defensive return in this matchup.
- Three confirmed defensive absentees (Clarke, Murkin, Agyemang) leave an inexperienced back four exposed.
- Rhian Brewster sidelined with a knee injury, thinning Derby's already limited attacking options.
Key point: With both forward lines depleted by injury and Swansea's 0-0 recent blank, the draw at 3.40 merits consideration as a standalone outcome rather than a pure away win.
Form & Statistics: Derby County vs Swansea City
Derby County
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Swansea City
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Derby County vs Swansea City: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Lineups: Derby County vs Swansea City
Derby County
Starters
- 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström
- 2 Max Johnston
- 3 Sondre Langås
- 4 Dion Sanderson
- 5 Charlie Taylor
- 6 Lewis Travis
- 7 Alex Mowatt
- 8 Bobby Clark
- 9 Oscar Fraulo
- 10 Corey Blackett-Taylor
- 11 Carlton Morris
Absent
- Derry Murkin (injury)
- Patrick Agyemang (injury)
- Matt Clarke (injury)
- Sammie Szmodics (injury)
- Rhian Brewster (Knee problem (4-5 weeks as of Aug 7, 2026))
Swansea City
Starters
- 1 Lawrence Vigouroux
- 2 Filip Lissah
- 3 Stephen Welsh
- 4 Joshua Key
- 5 Josh Tymon
- 6 Jay Fulton
- 7 Marko Stamenic
- 8 Joseph Opoku
- 9 Elijah Just
- 10 Ji-sung Eom
- 11 Adam Idah
Absent
- Cameron Burgess (injury)
- Gonçalo Franco (Thigh/Ankle injury (out until mid-September 2026))
- Ross Stewart (Muscle injury (long-term, reported April 2026))
Medium confidence
A mirror-image 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1 sets up a tactically fascinating Championship fixture at Pride Park. Derby's double pivot of Lewis Travis and Alex Mowatt will look to control the tempo, while Carlton Morris leads the line as the focal point of a fluid attacking unit behind him.
Swansea arrive with a slightly stronger source consensus behind their probable XI, lending their selection a touch more certainty. Adam Idah carries the visiting threat up front, and how the two midfield screens on either side manage the central corridors is likely to prove the decisive battleground.
Our Verdict
The double chance X2 represents the strongest value here. Swansea's defensive record, conceding just one goal in two league matches, contrasts sharply with Derby's alarming six goals shipped across three competitive outings. The away win at 3.10 carries appeal, though Derby's historic dominance at Pride Park in this fixture warrants caution. Backing the draw or Swansea win covers both outcomes neatly, with the draw priced at 3.40. Under 2.5 goals at 1.71 offers a solid secondary pick given Swansea's stingy defensive approach. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Derby County vs Swansea City?
The draw or away double chance looks the most compelling option here. Swansea sit three points and six places above Derby, conceding just 0.5 goals per match against Derby's alarming 2.0. With key defenders absent and Rhian Brewster added to the injury list, Derby's backline is badly exposed. The away side are worth backing via 3.10.
What time does Derby County vs Swansea City kick off?
This Championship fixture kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 29th August 2026, which corresponds to 12:30 BST. The match takes place at Pride Park Stadium in Derby, the Rams' home ground. It is the third round of regular-season Championship fixtures for both sides.
Where can I watch Derby County vs Swansea City on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Championship fixtures vary depending on your territory and subscription package. In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports and Sky Sports+ hold extensive rights to EFL Championship coverage. Supporters are advised to check their local listings and the official EFL website for the most up-to-date broadcast information regarding this particular fixture.
What is Derby County's recent record against Swansea City?
The head-to-head record between these two sides is remarkably evenly balanced, with the last ten meetings split four wins apiece, alongside two draws. Notably, Derby have claimed back-to-back home victories in this fixture, winning 2-1 in November 2025 and 2-0 in February 2026, underlining a credible home threat despite their difficult start to the current campaign.