Cyprus
Latvia
>Cyprus vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips – 05/10/2026
Cyprus welcome Latvia to League C Group 2 action on 5 October 2026, with both sides acutely aware of what is at stake. The hosts occupy second place and harbour genuine ambitions of promotion, while Latvia prop up the table without a single victory in the campaign. A home win here would strengthen Cyprus's grip on a top-two finish; defeat for Latvia could all but confirm their relegation. The reverse fixture ended goalless, but conditions have shifted considerably since then, and the pressure on both benches could hardly be greater.
Match Analysis
Cyprus enter this Nations League clash as clear favorites at 1.62, backed by genuine momentum: a 2-0 win over Armenia, an unbeaten two-game run, and a perfect historical record against Latvia with four meetings undefeated.
- 2-0 win over Armenia in their last outing confirms strong attacking form at home.
- 4 meetings unbeaten vs Latvia (2W, 2D) underlines a consistent psychological edge.
- Marcus Edwards has 1 goal and 7 free kicks won across his last five Cyprus appearances.
- Latvia captain Černomordijs is suspended, removing their key midfield organiser for this fixture.
Latvia arrive as heavy outsiders at 5.00, sitting bottom of Group C2 with just one point from three matches and no win under Nicolato. Their captain is suspended, key players are doubtful, and the tactical plan to avoid sitting deep risks leaving them exposed.
- Latvia are winless in 3 games under Nicolato, collecting just 1 point in Group C2.
- Černomordijs suspended and Savalnieks, Patijcuks both doubtful, depleting squad depth critically.
- Reverse fixture saw Latvia manage just 33% possession and a 77% passing accuracy against Cyprus.
Key point: Given H2H averaging just 1.0 goals per game and a 0-0 reverse fixture, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.75 offers a compelling complement to the home win prediction.
Form & Statistics: Cyprus vs Latvia
Cyprus
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Latvia
Season statistics
Lineups: Cyprus vs Latvia
Cyprus
Starters
- 1 Fabiano
- 2 Leonidas Konomis
- 3 Nikolas Panagiotou
- 4 Hector Kyprianou
- 5 Giorgos Malekkidis
- 6 Grigoris Kastanos
- 7 Panagiotis Andreou
- 8 Marcus Edwards
- 9 Loizos Loizou
- 10 Andronikos Kakoullis
- 11 Ioannis Pittas
Bench
- Kostakis Artymatas
- Marinos Tzionis
Absent
- Konstantinos Laifis (Muscle injury)
- Kostas Pileas (Red card suspension (against Armenia))
Latvia
Starters
- 1 Rihards Matrevics
- 2 Raivis Jurkovskis
- 3 Oskars Vientiess
- 4 Deniss Meļņiks
- 5 Dennis Cirkin
- 6 Andrejs Cigaņiks
- 7 Lukass Vapne
- 8 Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
- 9 Markuss Strods
- 10 Eduards Daskevics
- 11 Roberts Uldriķis
Bench
- Vladislavs Gutkovskis
- Kristers Čudars
- Albert Aleksanyan
Absent
- Antonijs Cernomordijs (Accumulated yellow cards suspension)
Medium confidence
A 4-2-3-1 against a 5-4-1 sets up a fascinating tactical contest in Nicosia. Cyprus will look to use the width afforded by their attacking shape, with Marcus Edwards a key figure in unpicking a Latvian defensive block that is built explicitly to frustrate.
Latvia's five-man backline and compact midfield four suggest Aldis Shishonoks's side are content to absorb pressure and threaten on the counter, with Roberts Uldriķis isolated up front as the focal point. Cyprus must find a way through a resolute structure if they are to take the points.
Our Verdict
Cyprus hold an unbeaten record across four previous meetings with Latvia, winning twice and drawing twice. That historical dominance, combined with their recent form and Latvia's winless campaign under Nicolato, makes the home win at 1.62 the standout selection. Nicolato's stated intention to avoid sitting deep could backfire, leaving gaps for Marcus Edwards to exploit. The under 2.5 goals market at 1.75 also appeals, given the goalless draw in the reverse fixture. A tight 1-0 or 2-0 Cyprus victory looks the likeliest outcome. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Cyprus vs Latvia?
Cyprus to win is the standout selection here. The hosts carry genuine momentum, Latvia sit bottom of Group C2 with a single point, and their captain Černomordijs is suspended. Cyprus have never lost to Latvia across four meetings, and the bookmakers agree, pricing the home side at 1.62. A confident recommendation.
What time does Cyprus vs Latvia kick off?
Cyprus vs Latvia kicks off at 16:00 UTC on 5 October 2026. The match is a UEFA Nations League League C fixture. For supporters in Cyprus, that represents an early evening kickoff. The venue will be in Cyprus, where the home side will be looking to capitalise on their familiar surroundings and recent strong form.
Where can I watch Cyprus vs Latvia on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary considerably by territory. We would recommend checking your local sports broadcaster's schedule, as rights holders differ across Europe. Streaming platforms affiliated with national football associations may also carry the match live. Always verify listings closer to kickoff, as schedules are subject to change.
What is Cyprus's recent record against Latvia?
Cyprus's record against Latvia is unbeaten across all four meetings, comprising two wins and two draws. The most recent encounter, the reverse fixture in this Nations League campaign, ended nil-nil, with Cyprus dominating possession at 67 per cent and recording a passing accuracy of 88.7 per cent, illustrating their clear technical superiority over this Latvian side.