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Champions League
Celje
11 Aug 2026 19:15
Ararat-Armenia
Prediction:
Celje to win 1.43
View Odds >
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Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & Betting Tips – 11/08/2026

11 Aug 2026 Stadion Z'dežele Louis Hecq

Celje welcome Ararat-Armenia to the Stadion Z'dežele on 11 August 2026 for the second leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie. The Slovenian champions trail 2-1 on aggregate and must overturn that deficit to keep their European campaign alive. For the winners, a place in the play-off round awaits, along with a guaranteed berth in the Conference League league phase at minimum. Ararat-Armenia, meanwhile, stand on the brink of their deepest ever run in this competition, carrying both momentum and a slender aggregate advantage into hostile territory.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Ararat-Armenia
5.80 on Virgin Bet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 09 Aug 2026 at 22:55 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Ararat-Armenia enter this second leg at 5.80 holding a 2-1 aggregate advantage and a perfect 2-0 record across all European meetings with Celje, including a decisive first-leg win secured by a second-half substitute goal.

  • 2-0 all-time European record against Celje provides clear psychological and structural dominance.
  • 1.2 goals conceded per match in Champions League qualifying, the tightest defensive record in this campaign.
  • Carlos França's substitute winner confirms coach Tulipa's decisive tactical depth from the bench.
  • Ararat need only a draw or a one-goal defeat to progress, giving them three results from three possible outcomes.

Celje face a steep uphill battle at 1.43, needing to overturn a one-goal deficit against a side that has beaten them in every European encounter. Their domestic form, with no wins in their new Slovenian league campaign, raises serious doubts.

  • Celje are winless in their last five competitive matches, including two domestic draws at 2-2 and 1-1.
  • 2.5 goals conceded per match in Champions League qualifying exposes a porous defensive record.
  • Injuries to Ajhmajer and Pisek further limit squad options in a must-win tie.

Key point: With both defenses under pressure from midweek fixtures and Celje forced to attack, the draw double chance covering Ararat via 3.95 offers a conservative complementary angle to the X2 prediction.

Form & Statistics: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

Celje

Recent form

LDD
Wins0/3 (0%)
Draws2/3 (67%)
Losses1/3 (33%)

Season statistics (3)

3Total goals
54%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

Ararat-Armenia

Recent form

WLWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3Total goals
60%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia: Head-to-Head

Celje 0 % Draws 0 % Ararat-Armenia 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.5Home goals
0.5Away goals
50%Over 2.5 goals
50%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

Celje

3-4-3
  1. 1 Z. Luk Leban
  2. 2 A. Tutyskinas
  3. 3 D. Hrka
  4. 4 P. Sirvys
  5. 5 V. Tusha
  6. 6 M. Zabukovnik
  7. 7 P. Daniel
  8. 8 M. Kvesic
  9. 9 M. Avdyli
  10. 10 A. Kucys
  11. 11 S. Seslar
  • L. Kolar
  • Z. Frelih
  • L. Koutris
  • A. Diounkou
  • D. Vuklisevic
  • Y. Dukuly
  • I. Calusic
  • A. Kotnik
  • R. Pozeg Vancas
  • B. Verbic
  • M. Ivansek
  • M. Poplatnik
  • Nejc Ajhmajer (injury)
  • Jost Pisek (injury)

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
  1. 1 J. Bravim
  2. 2 E. Grigoryan
  3. 3 A. Malis
  4. 4 B. Wilson
  5. 5 J. Junior Bueno
  6. 6 M. Carlier
  7. 7 K. Muradyan
  8. 8 H. Oliveira
  9. 9 Z. Banjaqui
  10. 10 S. Lima
  11. 11 A. Serobyan
  • A. Nersesyan
  • B. Martins Pereira
  • L. Felipe
  • A. Tera
  • Z. Shaghoyan
  • J. Balanta
  • Benny
  • M. Ayvazyan
  • C. Franca
  • A. Ndour
  • A. Eloyan
  • P. Ayongo

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculated status, extrapolated from the first leg rather than confirmed by the clubs, so some late changes remain possible before kickoff. The tactical contest shapes up as a 3-4-3 from Celje against Ararat-Armenia's 4-3-3, with the Slovenian side's wider midfield block likely to be tested by the Armenian outfit's front three.

Celje will look to exploit the extra body in central areas that their three-man midfield diamond affords, while Ararat-Armenia's S. Lima and the supporting forwards will probe the channels behind the home side's wing-backs. With aggregate progression at stake, the second leg promises a tightly contested, tactically deliberate affair.

Odds comparison

Virgin BetLiveScore BetGrosvenorbetmgm.se
Celje to win1.431.431.491.49
Draw3.953.954.104.10
Ararat-Armenia to win5.805.806.106.10
Under 2.51.981.98··
BTTS Yes1.831.83··

Odds recorded on 09 Aug 2026 at 22:55 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Ararat-Armenia's perfect head-to-head record against Celje across two European ties, combined with a 2-1 aggregate cushion, makes the draw or away double chance the standout selection. Celje's sluggish domestic start, winless in two league outings, hardly inspires confidence in a comeback. The visitors' away win at 5.80 offers decent value, while the draw at 3.95 also works within our X2 framework. Backing under 2.5 goals at 1.98 complements the pick, given Ararat-Armenia's incentive to sit deep and protect their lead.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: Champions League
Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 11 Aug 2026
Time: 19:15 BST
Stadium: Stadion Z'dežele

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

The draw or away win double chance looks the most compelling option here. Ararat-Armenia hold a 2-1 aggregate lead and have conceded just once throughout this qualifying campaign, while Celje have gone four competitive matches without a win. With the Armenian side well-organised defensively and psychologically ahead, backing them not to lose at 5.80 represents sound value.

What time does Celje vs Ararat-Armenia kick off?

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia kicks off at 18:15 UTC on Tuesday, 11 August 2026. The match takes place at the Stadion Z'dežele in Celje, Slovenia, where the home side will need to produce a significant comeback performance to overturn a 2-1 first-leg deficit and progress in the Champions League qualifying rounds.

Where can I watch Celje vs Ararat-Armenia on TV?

Broadcast details for this Champions League third qualifying round second leg have not been confirmed in our available data. We recommend checking your local sports broadcaster's schedule, as well as the UEFA website, for the most up-to-date television and streaming information closer to the 18:15 UTC kickoff on 11 August 2026.

What is Celje's recent record against Ararat-Armenia?

Celje's head-to-head record against Ararat-Armenia makes for difficult reading. The Armenian side have won both European encounters between the clubs: a 1-0 victory in the 2020 Europa League qualifying round, and a 2-1 first-leg triumph in this current 2026 Champions League third qualifying round tie. Celje are yet to register a single win against this opponent.