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Ligue 1
Brest
23 Oct 2026 19:45
Nice
Prediction:
Brest to win 2.25
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Brest vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips – 23/10/2026

23 Oct 2026 Stade Francis-Le Ble Louis Hecq

Stade Francis-Le Blé plays host to a compelling mid-table tussle on Friday evening as Brest welcome Nice in Ligue 1 action. Both sides are locked on eight points after six fixtures, separated only by goal difference, with seventh-placed Brest holding the slightest edge over their ninth-placed visitors. A win for either side could propel them towards the European conversation; defeat risks slipping into the bottom half. With form patchy on both sides and plenty at stake in the race for continental qualification, this one carries genuine weight.

Our prediction
1: Brest to win
2.25 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 21 Oct 2026 at 21:50 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Brest enter this Round 8 clash as clear favorites at 2.25, buoyed by a 5-1 demolition of Angers in their last home outing and a dominant 4-1 victory over Nice at Stade Francis-Le Blé in September 2025.

  • 2.0 goals scored per game for Brest, more than double Nice's 0.8 average.
  • 19.2 shots per game underlines relentless Brest attacking pressure at home.
  • 83% Over 2.5 rate in Brest home games signals a high-scoring environment.
  • 4-1 H2H win over Nice at Stade Francis-Le Blé earlier this season confirms local dominance.

Nice arrive at 3.00 as road underdogs, having only just snapped a lengthy winless run with a narrow 2-1 win over Strasbourg. A heavily depleted squad and a conservative attacking output make this a daunting assignment away from home.

  • 0.8 goals scored per game away from home makes Nice one of Ligue 1's most toothless attacks.
  • Four key absentees, including Abergel and Mendy on long-term ACL injuries, gut Nice's midfield.
  • 38% away BTTS rate suggests Nice rarely contribute offensively on the road.

Key point: With Brest's high shot volume and Nice's defensive frailties, the home win combined with Over 2.5 goals via 1.67 offers a compelling complementary angle to the straight result.

Form & Statistics: Brest vs Nice

Brest

Recent form

DWLLW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3.3Total goals
86%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Nice

Recent form

LWWLD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.2Total goals
57%Both teams score
0.9Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Brest vs Nice: Head-to-Head

Brest 25 % Draws 25 % Nice 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4Total goals
50%Both teams score
3Home goals
1Away goals
75%Over 2.5 goals
25%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Brest vs Nice

Brest

4-3-3
  1. 1 Egil Selvik
  2. 2 Kenny Lala
  3. 3 Gautier Lloris
  4. 4 Lucas Tousart
  5. 5 Bradley Locko
  6. 6 Joris Chotard
  7. 7 Kamory Doumbia
  8. 8 Mama Baldé
  9. 9 Ludovic Ajorque
  10. 10 Pathé Mboup
  • Brendan Chardonnet (injury)
  • Giovani Versini (injury)
  • Raphaël Le Guen (injury)
  • Romain Cagnon (Shoulder Injury)
  • Hugo Magnetti (Hamstring injury)

Nice

4-3-3
  1. 1 Yehvann Diouf
  2. 2 Jonathan Clauss
  3. 3 Youssouf Ndayishimiye
  4. 4 Mohamed Abdelmoneim
  5. 5 Niels Nkounkou
  6. 6 Axel Witsel
  7. 7 Gauthier Hein
  8. 8 Djibril Coulibaly
  9. 9 Mohamed Amoura
  10. 10 Elye Wahi
  11. 11 Sofiane Diop
  • Laurent Abergel (injury)
  • Morgan Sanson (injury)
  • Antoine Mendy (injury)
  • Moïse Bombito (Tibia injury (long-term absentee, ruled out for several months))
  • Lumpungu (Leg Injury)

Low confidence

Both sides line up in a 4-3-3 mirror, though neither XI carries the certainty of a confirmed selection. The sources underpinning these predicted elevens are slim on both ends, so treat the shape and personnel as informed estimates rather than settled fact ahead of Friday evening's kickoff at Brest.

On the pitch, the tactical symmetry promises a contest fought through the central midfield corridor, where Joris Chotard will look to impose himself for the hosts against a Nice engine anchored by the experience of Axel Witsel. How each side transitions from that midfield battle into their respective front threes may well decide the match.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsCoralLadbrokesVirgin Bet
Brest to win2.252.202.282.602.602.10
Draw3.603.303.652.372.373.30
Nice to win3.003.003.253.303.302.90
Under 2.5·2.15·2.102.102.06
BTTS Yes1.571.57·1.571.571.55

Odds recorded on 21 Oct 2026 at 21:50 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Brest's home win at 2.25 represents the standout selection here. The hosts hammered Nice 4-1 at this ground last season and followed their 5-1 demolition of Angers with renewed attacking confidence. Sitting seventh, Brest's well-rounded tactical structure should exploit Nice's tendency to overload midfield, leaving gaps in transition. Nice have broken their winless run but remain inconsistent travellers, losing two of their last five away from home. The under 2.5 goals market at 2.15 lacks appeal given recent scorelines, so a home win is our pick.

Competition: Ligue 1
Stage: Regular Season, 8
Date: 23 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST
Stadium: Stade Francis-Le Ble

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Brest vs Nice?

The standout selection here is a Brest home win, available at 2.25. With an attacking average of 2.0 goals per match, a recent 5-1 demolition of Angers, and a 4-1 triumph over this very Nice side last September, Brest carry compelling form. Nice's away struggles and a goals-scored average of just 0.8 reinforce the case for the hosts.

What time does Brest vs Nice kick off?

This Ligue 1 fixture kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 23rd October 2026. The match takes place at the Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest's compact and atmospheric home ground in Brittany, where the hosts have demonstrated considerable strength this season.

Where can I watch Brest vs Nice on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Ligue 1 fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, beIN Sports typically holds rights to French top-flight football. Supporters are advised to check their local listings or streaming platforms for confirmed coverage of this particular fixture between Brest and Nice.

What is Brest's recent record against Nice?

The recent head-to-head record favours Brest in notable fashion. Most strikingly, they thrashed Nice 4-1 at the Stade Francis-Le Blé in September 2025, a result that underlines their dominance at home against this opponent. That victory will loom large in the memory of both sides as they prepare to meet again.