Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sweden
>Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips – 02/10/2026
Bosnia and Herzegovina welcome Sweden to a venue yet to be confirmed on 2 October 2026 in a fixture that could reshape UEFA Nations League B Group 4. The hosts sit second on four points, two behind the Swedes, meaning victory would send them top. Adding emotional weight, this is expected to be Edin Dzeko's final international appearance, a fitting stage for a player who has scored 73 goals across 151 caps. With both sides unbeaten in the group so far, the stakes could hardly be higher.
Match Analysis
Sweden enter this Nations League Group 4 decider as favorites at 2.05, leading the standings with 6 points and a 2.5-goal average per match. Viktor Gyökeres has scored in both outings, keeping the attack functional despite a crippling injury list.
- 6 points from two matches puts Sweden top of League B Group 4.
- 5 goals scored in two Nations League games, averaging 2.5 per match.
- Viktor Gyökeres netted in both Nations League appearances, anchoring the attack.
- Sweden conceded just 2 goals in two matches, matching Bosnia's defensive record.
Bosnia & Herzegovina face long odds at 3.10 despite genuine home advantages. Edin Dzeko's reported international farewell adds emotional intensity, while Esmir Bajraktarević brings five goal involvements in five appearances. Sweden's injury crisis makes a home upset more credible than the odds suggest.
- Bosnia average 4.5 yellow cards per Nations League match, risking red cards or set-piece concessions.
- No win in their last three competitive home matches against Nations League opponents.
- Haris Tabaković leads the attack but lacks Gyökeres's elite finishing consistency at this level.
Key point: With over and under odds unavailable, the draw double chance covering both teams sharing points suits Sweden's depleted squad and Bosnia's disciplined home setup; the draw is priced at 3.60.
Form & Statistics: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Sweden
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Starters
- 1 Martin Zlomislić
- 2 Tarik Muharemovic
- 3 Sead Kolašinac
- 4 Nikola Katić
- 5 Amar Memić
- 6 Ivan Bašić
- 7 Kerim Alajbegovic
- 8 Esmir Bajraktarević
- 9 Armin Gigovic
- 10 Ermin Mahmić
- 11 Haris Tabaković
Sweden
Starters
- 1 Viktor Johansson
- 2 Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 3 Victor Lindelöf
- 4 Carl Starfelt
- 5 Daniel Svensson
- 6 Lucas Bergvall
- 7 Yasin Ayari
- 8 Sebastian Nanasi
- 9 Benjamin Nygren
- 10 Patrick Walemark
- 11 Viktor Gyökeres
Absent
- Emil Holm (thigh injury)
- Alexander Isak (minor thigh problem)
- Hjalmar Ekdal (minor injury)
- Mattias Svanberg (injury (withdrew from squad))
- Taha Ali (injury (withdrew from squad))
- Gustaf Nilsson (injury (withdrew from squad))
Medium confidence
A mirror image of formations sets the stage in Sarajevo, with both sides lining up in a 4-2-3-1. Sweden's structure will look to funnel play through Viktor Gyökeres, whose movement in behind could prove the decisive factor against a Bosnian defensive block anchored by Kolašinac and Katić.
For Bosnia, the creative burden falls on the trio behind Tabaković, and how effectively they can press Sweden's double pivot will shape the contest considerably. Lucas Bergvall offers composure and range in midfield, and disrupting his rhythm early may be the hosts' clearest route to controlling the match.
Our Verdict
Sweden's superior goal output of five in two matches, combined with their group-leading six points, tilts the balance away from the hosts. Bosnia's recent form shows just one win in five outings, while Sweden have matched that record but carry greater attacking potency through Viktor Gyökeres. The draw or away double chance represents our pick at solid value; backing the away win outright at 2.05 offers the sharper angle. With under 2.5 goals priced at 2.05, the tighter nature of this group decider could also warrant consideration. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
The double chance covering Sweden or a draw looks the most compelling option here, reflected in the 2.05 market. Sweden lead Group 4 and Viktor Gyökeres has scored in both Nations League outings, yet a depleted travelling squad and the Edin Dzeko farewell atmosphere give Bosnia genuine hope, making a share of the spoils equally plausible.
What time does Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden kick off?
The match kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 2nd October 2026. Bosnia & Herzegovina are the home side, so the fixture will be played in Bosnia & Herzegovina, most likely at the Bilino Polje Stadium in Zenica or the Asim Ferhatović Hase Stadium in Sarajevo. Local kickoff time will depend on the Central European timezone.
Where can I watch Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for this UEFA Nations League fixture will vary by territory. Viewers in Sweden are likely to be served by SVT or TV4, while Bosnian audiences may find coverage on BHRT or Arena Sport. Supporters elsewhere should consult their local sports broadcasters or streaming platforms for confirmed rights information ahead of kickoff.
What is Bosnia & Herzegovina's recent record against Sweden?
The head-to-head record between these two sides is a modest one in terms of frequency. Their encounters have been relatively rare at international level, with Sweden generally holding the upper hand historically. The two nations have met in qualifying campaigns, with Sweden claiming victories in several of those fixtures. Bosnia have found it difficult to impose themselves against their Scandinavian opponents.