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Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
15 Oct 2026 16:45
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Prediction:
AZ Alkmaar to win 1.29
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AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Prediction & Betting Tips – 15/10/2026

15 Oct 2026 AFAS Stadion Louis Hecq

AZ Alkmaar welcome Hapoel Be'er Sheva to the AFAS Stadion on 15 October for a Europa League league stage fixture that carries real urgency for both sides. The Dutch outfit sit 25th on nil points, while their Israeli visitors occupy 18th with a single point to their name. This is the first-ever competitive meeting between the two clubs, though the occasion is clouded by the decision to bar away supporters on security grounds. With qualification hopes already fragile, neither side can afford to leave Alkmaar empty-handed.

Our prediction
1: AZ Alkmaar to win
1.29 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 15:28 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

AZ Alkmaar enter this Europa League home fixture as commanding favorites at 1.29, backed by a 68% implied probability. Their statistical dominance this season, averaging 3.2 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game, makes them a formidable force at AFAS Stadion.

  • 3.2 goals scored per game for AZ this season, ranking among the competition's most clinical attacks.
  • Only 1.0 goals conceded per game, reflecting a defensively disciplined unit across all competitions.
  • 19.6 shots attempted per game for AZ, significantly outpacing most Europa League opponents in volume.
  • No Hapoel Be'er Sheva away fans permitted at AFAS Stadion, creating a fully hostile atmosphere for the visitors.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva arrive at 10.00 as heavy outsiders, burdened by a defensive record of 2.6 goals conceded per game. Their injury crisis, with three confirmed absentees plus a suspension, severely undermines any realistic hope of containing AZ's attack.

  • Rotman, Biton, and Ventura all absent, stripping Be'er Sheva of key first-team personnel.
  • Stoyanov suspended, further depleting a defensive unit already conceding at an alarming rate.
  • Be'er Sheva average just 1.8 goals scored per game, offering little threat to offset their defensive frailties.

Key point: With AZ averaging 3.2 goals scored against a side conceding 2.6 per game, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.50 offers a compelling complementary angle to the home win prediction.

Form & Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva

AZ Alkmaar

Recent form

L
Wins0/1 (0%)
Draws0/1 (0%)
Losses1/1 (100%)

Season statistics (1)

3.5Total goals
50%Both teams score
2.4Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Recent form

DLWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
AZ Alkmaar to win1.291.301.331.331.671.67
Draw5.505.006.206.202.872.87
Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win10.009.0010.0010.006.506.50
Under 2.5·2.50··2.502.50
BTTS Yes1.831.85·1.931.851.85

Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 15:28 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

AZ Alkmaar's prolific attack, averaging over three goals per match this season, makes the home win at 1.29 the standout selection. The Dutch side's firepower should prove too much for Hapoel Be'er Sheva, even accounting for the Israeli club's recent three-match winning run in domestic football. With AZ conceding just one goal per fixture on average, backing under 2.5 goals at 2.63 offers additional value as a secondary pick. The hosts should control proceedings comfortably in an empty-of-away-fans AFAS Stadion.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Competition: Europa League
Stage: League Stage, 2
Date: 15 Oct 2026
Time: 16:45 UTC
Stadium: AFAS Stadion

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

AZ Alkmaar to win is the standout selection here. The Dutch side average 3.2 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per match this season, while Be'er Sheva arrive with four first-team absentees and a deeply alarming defensive record of 2.6 goals conceded per fixture. The home win at 1.29 represents compelling value at 68% implied probability.

What time does AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva kick off?

This Europa League League Stage fixture kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 15 October 2026. The match is staged at the AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar, the Netherlands. Notably, Be'er Sheva supporters will not be in attendance, with away fans banned from the ground on public safety grounds by local authorities.

Where can I watch AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this Europa League fixture will vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, Europa League matches are typically carried by TNT Sports and streamed via the discovery+ platform. Supporters are advised to check their local listings, as rights holders differ across regions and some fixtures may only be available via streaming services.

What is AZ Alkmaar's recent record against Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

There is no recorded head-to-head history between AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Be'er Sheva. The two sides have not previously met in European or any other recognised competition, making this Europa League League Stage encounter a first between the clubs. Without prior meetings to draw upon, form and squad depth become the primary analytical guides.