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Ligue 1
Auxerre
12 Sep 2026 19:45
Nice
Prediction:
Auxerre to win 2.50
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Auxerre vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips – 12/09/2026

12 Sep 2026 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Louis Hecq

Two sides desperate for their first win of the 2026/27 Ligue 1 campaign meet at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps on Friday evening in what already feels like a pivotal relegation fixture. Auxerre, pointless and rooted to the foot of the table, welcome a Nice side barely better off with a solitary point from their opening two matches. Neither club can afford another setback this early in the season, and the stakes could hardly be higher for two squads searching for any scrap of momentum before the international break arrives.

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Auxerre or Draw
2.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 10 Sep 2026 at 21:43 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Auxerre enter this relegation six-pointer as the home favorite at 2.50, desperate for their first points of 2026/27. Two consecutive H2H wins at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps and Nice's total attacking collapse make Will Still's side the logical side to back.

  • 2 home wins in the last 3 H2H meetings, both finishing 2-1 in Auxerre's favor.
  • 0 goals scored by Nice in 2 league matches makes Auxerre's leaky defense less exposed.
  • Home desperation factor: Auxerre are the only winless, pointless side in Ligue 1 this season.
  • Nice missing Abergel (cruciate) and doubts over Sanson and Abdi thin their already toothless attack.

Nice arrive at 2.75 having failed to score in any of their first two league matches and conceding three goals to Paris FC last time out. A squad depleted by injuries and a run of 11 consecutive low-scoring league games underlines their alarming attacking crisis.

  • Nice have scored 0 goals in 2026/27 and failed to score in their last 11 Ligue 1 outings of 2025/26.
  • Abergel ruled out until April 2027 alongside Bombito, stripping Nice of key experience and structure.
  • A 3-0 defeat to Paris FC in their last league game signals a side in genuine systemic crisis.

Key point: With Nice goalless in 13 combined league matches and Auxerre's home record offering structure, the double chance covering home or draw aligns with 3.50 as a complementary low-risk angle.

Form & Statistics: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre

Recent form

LLLWW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

2.5Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Nice

Recent form

DLDLL
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

2.2Total goals
38%Both teams score
1.3Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded

Auxerre vs Nice: Head-to-Head

Auxerre 40 % Draws 20 % Nice 40 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3.4Total goals
100%Both teams score
2.2Home goals
1.2Away goals
80%Over 2.5 goals
20%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre

4-3-3
  1. 1 Mamadou Diop
  2. 2 Lamine Sy
  3. 3 C. Makosso
  4. 4 E. Legros
  5. 5 Gideon Mensah
  6. 6 A. Piedfort
  7. 7 Kevin Danois
  8. 8 Naouirou Ahamada
  9. 9 Danny Namaso
  10. 10 Remy Labeau
  11. 11 C. Archer
  • Assane Dioussé (injury)
  • Ado Onaiwu (suspended)
  • Gabriel Osho (suspended)
  • Clément Akpa (injury)
  • Bryan Okoh (injury)
  • Oussama El Azzouzi (Hamstring/Knee injury (out for remainder of season))

Nice

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Y. Diouf
  2. 2 A. Mendy
  3. 3 X. Mandza
  4. 4 Juma Bah
  5. 5 N. Nkounkou
  6. 6 Axel Witsel
  7. 7 D. Coulibaly
  8. 8 Melvin Bard
  9. 9 Sofiane Diop
  10. 10 G. Hein
  11. 11 Elye Wahi
  • Laurent Abergel (injury)
  • Moïse Bombito (Leg/Tibia injury (second surgery, expected return November 2026))

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculative tag here, drawn from sources a week old and adjusted for injuries, so treat the projected shapes with appropriate caution. That said, a 4-3-3 against a 3-4-2-1 sets up an intriguing width battle, with Auxerre's wide forwards likely to probe Nice's wing-backs throughout.

For Auxerre, Naouirou Ahamada will be central to controlling the midfield tempo at the Abbé-Deschamps, while Nice's structure invites Elye Wahi to operate as a lone focal point, supported by two creative runners in behind. The tactical contest could hinge on which midfield unit imposes itself in the opening exchanges.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsCoralLadbrokesVirgin Bet
Auxerre to win2.502.502.703.003.002.45
Draw3.503.203.402.152.153.10
Nice to win2.752.702.783.203.102.65
Under 2.5·1.83·1.801.801.70
BTTS Yes1.731.75·1.731.701.77

Odds recorded on 10 Sep 2026 at 21:43 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

The double chance 1X represents the value pick here. Auxerre's home advantage is real, and Nice's goal drought is alarming: zero goals across two Ligue 1 outings, extending a barren run stretching back eleven matches from last season. Will Still's side need only tighten up defensively to claim something from this fixture, and the home win price at 2.50 underpins the 1X selection. A side that cannot score away from home will struggle to leave Burgundy with three points. Back Auxerre not to lose.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: Ligue 1
Stage: Regular Season, 4
Date: 12 Sep 2026
Time: 19:45 BST
Stadium: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Auxerre vs Nice?

The double chance covering home or draw is the most coherent wager here, with Auxerre's home desperation and Nice's complete attacking drought pointing away from a comfortable away win. Nice have failed to score in 11 consecutive Ligue 1 matches, while Auxerre claimed a 2-1 home victory over this very opponent in May 2026. Back the home side at 2.50.

What time does Auxerre vs Nice kick off?

Auxerre vs Nice kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026. The match takes place at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in Auxerre, a compact and atmospheric ground that traditionally lends the home side a notable advantage in tightly contested fixtures.

Where can I watch Auxerre vs Nice on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Ligue 1 fixtures vary depending on your territory. In France, matches are typically shown via the official Ligue 1 broadcast partners. Supporters outside France should consult their regional sports broadcaster or streaming provider for live coverage details. Always verify listings in advance, as scheduling changes can occur close to kickoff.

What is Auxerre's recent record against Nice?

Auxerre's recent head-to-head record against Nice offers genuine encouragement for the home faithful. They claimed a 2-1 victory over Nice in May 2026 and recorded an identical 2-1 home win back in August 2024. That back-to-back success at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps underlines a pattern that will concern the visiting side considerably.