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UEFA Nations League
Albania
06 Oct 2026 18:45
San Marino
Prediction:
Albania to win 1.02
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Albania vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips – 06/10/2026

06 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Albania welcome San Marino to League C of the UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026, with kickoff set for 19:45 local time. The hosts, eager to reclaim top spot in Group C1 after a chastening defeat to Finland last time out, need three points to keep their promotion ambitions alive. For San Marino, winless in 18 consecutive matches, the task could hardly be more daunting. Rolando Maran's side will be expected to dominate from the first whistle in what shapes up as a thoroughly one-sided fixture.

Our prediction
1: Albania to win
1.02 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 05 Oct 2026 at 06:56 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Albania enter as overwhelming favorites at 1.02, backed by a perfect five-from-five head-to-head record against San Marino and a current Nations League campaign averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Even without suspended goalkeeper Berisha, the quality gap remains enormous.

  • 5 wins from 5 all-time against San Marino, scoring 16 goals and conceding zero.
  • 2.0 goals per game scored by Albania in the current Nations League C campaign.
  • Key attackers Asllani, Uzuni, and Manaj all available despite five absentees through suspension and injury.
  • Albania motivated to reclaim top spot in Group C1 after a 2-1 defeat to Finland last round.

San Marino arrive at 34.00, having conceded 14 goals in just three Nations League matches this campaign. An 18-match winless run and zero goals ever scored against Albania historically underline the scale of the challenge facing the visitors.

  • San Marino concede an average of 4.67 goals per game in this Nations League campaign.
  • A 7-0 thrashing by Finland and a 4-0 loss to Belarus expose catastrophic defensive fragility.
  • Zero goals scored against Albania across all five previous meetings in history.

Key point: With odds unavailable for totals markets, the double chance covering Albania or draw is essentially redundant; the real value lies in backing Albania to win by a wide margin, reflecting their 16-goal haul across five previous meetings.

Form & Statistics: Albania vs San Marino

Albania

Recent form

LL
Wins0/2 (0%)
Draws0/2 (0%)
Losses2/2 (100%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

San Marino

Recent form

LL
Wins0/2 (0%)
Draws0/2 (0%)
Losses2/2 (100%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Albania vs San Marino

Albania

4-3-3
  1. 1 Simon Simoni
  2. 2 Elseid Hysaj
  3. 3 Berat Djimsiti
  4. 4 Ardian Ismajli
  5. 5 Mario Mitaj
  6. 6 Kristjan Asllani
  7. 7 Ylber Ramadani
  8. 8 Ernest Muci
  9. 9 Myrto Uzuni
  10. 10 Rey Manaj
  11. 11 Arber Hoxha
  • Stavros Pilios
  • Anis Mehmeti
  • Marash Kumbulla
  • Juljan Shehu
  • Mirlind Daku
  • Mirlind Daku
  • Etrit Berisha (Suspension (red card vs Finland))
  • Ivan Balliu (Ankle injury)
  • Qazim Laci (Injury)
  • Amir Abrashi (Ruptured cruciate ligament (long-term injury))
  • Luis Hasa (Injury)

San Marino

4-1-4-1
  1. 1 Edoardo Colombo
  2. 2 Giacomo Benvenuti
  3. 3 Michele Cevoli
  4. 4 Dante Rossi
  5. 5 Marco Pasolini
  6. 6 Lorenzo Capicchioni
  7. 7 Marcello Mularoni
  8. 8 Lorenzo Lazzari
  9. 9 Samuel Pancotti
  10. 10 Gabriel Capicchioni
  11. 11 Nicolas Giacopetti
  • Mirco De Angelis
  • Enea Della Balda
  • Cristian Meloni
  • Samuele Zannoni
  • Filippo Fabbri
  • Alessandro Tosi

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 4-1-4-1 sets up an intriguing contest of width versus defensive compactness. Kristjan Asllani will be central to Albania's rhythm in midfield, with Myrto Uzuni and Rey Manaj offering pace and directness to stretch San Marino's disciplined low block.

San Marino's solitary striker Nicolas Giacopetti will be isolated for long spells, with Lorenzo Capicchioni tasked with shielding a back four that will face sustained pressure. Albania's home advantage and superior quality make them heavy favourites, though San Marino's organisation could keep the scoreline respectable.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillBetVictor
Albania to win1.021.031.02
Draw13.0019.0011.00
San Marino to win34.0051.0041.00
BTTS Yes3.253.00·

Odds recorded on 05 Oct 2026 at 06:56 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Albania's dominance in this fixture is beyond dispute: five wins from five, sixteen goals scored, none conceded. Even after their setback against Finland, the quality gap remains vast. San Marino have shipped eleven goals across their two League C outings so far and offer precious little going forward. The home win at 1.02 requires no second thought. Over 2.5 goals at 1.17 looks a strong supplementary pick given the historical scorelines, while both teams to score: no at 1.33 reflects San Marino's chronic inability to find the net. Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League C, 4
Date: 06 Oct 2026
Time: 18:45 UTC

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Albania vs San Marino?

The standout selection here is an Albania home win at 1.02. Albania have beaten San Marino in all five previous meetings without conceding once, and San Marino have shipped 14 goals in three Nations League fixtures this campaign. Even with several absentees, the Albanians retain Asllani, Uzuni, and Manaj, making any other result essentially theoretical.

What time does Albania vs San Marino kick off?

This UEFA Nations League League C fixture kicks off at 18:45 UTC on 6 October 2026. The match will be held in Albania, with the hosts looking to return to winning ways following their 2-1 defeat to Finland. Check your local time zone to avoid missing the opening whistle.

Where can I watch Albania vs San Marino on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary considerably by territory. We recommend checking your national sports broadcaster's schedule or the official UEFA platform for confirmed live coverage details. Streaming services holding regional rights may also carry the match, so consulting your local listings ahead of kickoff is strongly advised.

What is Albania's recent record against San Marino?

Albania's record against San Marino is one of complete dominance. Across five previous meetings, Albania have won every single encounter, scoring 16 goals in the process while conceding none. San Marino have never once found the net against their opponents, making this one of the most one-sided head-to-head records in UEFA Nations League C competition.