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Serie A
AC Milan
28 Oct 2026 17:30
Bologna
Prediction:
AC Milan to win 1.62
View Odds >
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AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/10/2026

28 Oct 2026 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Louis Hecq

San Siro plays host to a compelling Serie A fixture on Wednesday evening as AC Milan welcome Bologna in a match that underlines the growing gulf between these two sides. The Rossoneri, fourth in the table on 15 points, are locked in a fierce battle for the upper reaches of the division. Bologna, languishing in 15th with just five points from seven outings, arrive in Milan with relegation whispers beginning to circle. The historical record between these clubs only deepens the visitors' unease heading into this one.

Our prediction
1: AC Milan to win
1.62 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 19:00 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

AC Milan enter this Round 9 fixture as clear favorites at 1.62, sitting 4th in Serie A with 15 points, a full ten above Bologna. Their 3-0 demolition of this same opponent in February 2026 underlines the class gap.

  • 2.00 goals scored per match makes Milan one of Serie A's most productive attacks this term.
  • 3 wins in last 5 H2H meetings, including a 3-0 and a 1-0 at San Siro.
  • 10-point gap over Bologna in the standings signals a significant quality differential.
  • 1.00 goals conceded per match reflects a defensive solidity Bologna cannot match this season.

Bologna arrive at San Siro in serious difficulty, priced at 5.50 and sitting 15th with just 5 points from seven games. An away record of LWDLD and the absences of Orsolini and Piccoli leave their attack critically undermanned.

  • 0.86 goals scored per game, the lowest attacking output in this fixture's context.
  • 1.43 goals conceded per match away from home exposes a fragile defensive structure.
  • 14% win rate against Milan historically, with 26 Milan victories from 39 meetings since 2003.

Key point: With Bologna's depleted attack averaging under one goal per game, the under 2.5 goals market at 2.02 offers a complementary angle if Milan control tempo without overextending.

Form & Statistics: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan

Recent form

WWDWD
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

2.9Total goals
63%Both teams score
2Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded

Bologna

Recent form

WLWDL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.3Total goals
50%Both teams score
1Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

AC Milan vs Bologna: Head-to-Head

AC Milan 60 % Draws 0 % Bologna 40 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2.4Total goals
40%Both teams score
1.2Home goals
1.2Away goals
60%Over 2.5 goals
40%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 M. Maignan
  2. 2 Gila
  3. 3 Pavlović
  4. 4 Chukwueze
  5. 5 Musah
  6. 6 Rabiot
  7. 7 Estupiñán
  8. 8 Pulisic
  9. 9 Moreira
  10. 10 Ramos
  • De Winter
  • Loftus-Cheek
  • Diawara
  • Modrić
  • Hutchinson
  • Tomori
  • Comotto
  • Jashari
  • Bartesaghi
  • Paul Bouyer
  • Cissè
  • Camarda
  • Torriani
  • Matteo Gabbia (injury)
  • Alexis Saelemaekers (injury)
  • Filippo Terracciano (suspended)
  • Warren Bondo (suspended)

Bologna

3-4-3
  1. 1 Ł. Skorupski
  2. 2 M. Darmian
  3. 3 N. Casale
  4. 4 A. Theate
  5. 5 N. Zortea
  6. 6 L. Ferguson
  7. 7 T. Pobega
  8. 8 Juan Miranda
  9. 9 F. Bernardeschi
  10. 10 N. Cambiaghi
  11. 11 R. Piccoli
  • Pessina
  • Helland
  • Moro
  • Amondarain
  • Dovbyk
  • El Azzouzi
  • Libra
  • Vitík
  • De Silvestri
  • Alhassane
  • Happonen
  • Franceschelli
  • Giacomone
  • Krasniqi
  • Kusic
  • Enem
  • Mbangula
  • Castaldo
  • Roberto Piccoli (injury)
  • Riccardo Orsolini (injury)
  • Emil Holm (injury)

Low confidence

Both sets of lineups carry a speculated status here, drawn from fixtures played nearly a fortnight ago, so supporters should treat the formations with appropriate caution. That said, a 3-4-2-1 against a 3-4-3 promises a fascinating contest of width and verticality across the San Siro turf.

For Milan, Christian Pulisic operating in the second line will be central to any creative threat, whilst Bologna's compact three-man defence, marshalled by Theate and Casale, will look to absorb pressure before releasing their forwards on the counter.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
AC Milan to win1.621.621.651.662.102.10
Draw4.003.754.104.102.302.30
Bologna to win5.505.005.905.905.004.80
Under 2.5·2.00·2.021.951.95
BTTS Yes1.831.85·1.911.831.80

Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 19:00 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Milan's fourth-place standing, a ten-point cushion over Bologna, and a head-to-head record of 26 wins from 39 meetings since 2003 all point firmly towards a home victory at 1.62. Bologna have collected just five points from seven outings, winning only once on the road in their last five away fixtures. The hosts' home form, three results from five without defeat, further supports the selection. With previous encounters averaging over 2.6 goals per match, over 2.5 goals at 1.90 offers additional value alongside the straight home win.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 9
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 17:30 GMT
Stadium: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for AC Milan vs Bologna?

AC Milan to win is the standout selection here. Fourth in Serie A with 15 points, Milan have outscored and out-defended Bologna at every turn this season, and their 57% win rate against Bologna's 14% underlines the gulf in class. The home win is available at 1.62, a price that looks fair to slightly generous given the underlying evidence.

What time does AC Milan vs Bologna kick off?

AC Milan vs Bologna kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28th October 2026. The fixture takes place at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, one of the most iconic venues in Italian football. Be sure to check your local time zone when planning to follow the match.

Where can I watch AC Milan vs Bologna on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, Serie A matches are typically shown on TNT Sports, whilst Italian viewers can follow coverage via DAZN. Supporters elsewhere should consult their local listings, as rights holders differ across regions. Streaming options may also be available through official broadcaster apps.

What is AC Milan's recent record against Bologna?

AC Milan's recent head-to-head record against Bologna makes for impressive reading. In the last five meetings between the two sides, Milan have claimed three victories, including a commanding 3-0 demolition in February 2026. That historical dominance lends further weight to the draw odds at 4.00 looking unattractive, with Milan firmly established as the superior force in this fixture.