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Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
19 Sep 2026 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
Prediction:
VfB Stuttgart to win 2.30
View Odds >

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips – 19/09/2026

19 Sep 2026 MHPArena Louis Hecq

Stuttgart welcome Borussia Dortmund to the MHPArena on Saturday 19 September in a Bundesliga fixture carrying significant weight at both ends of the table. The hosts, sitting tenth, need points to haul themselves back into European contention, while Dortmund arrive third and eight clear of their opponents. A fascinating subplot colours this encounter: Stuttgart have claimed three of the last five head-to-head meetings, offering genuine cause for optimism despite the visitors' recent surge. With Champions League qualification and top-four ambitions firmly in play, the stakes could hardly be higher.

Our prediction
2: Borussia Dortmund to win
2.75 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 17 Sep 2026 at 19:34 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund arrive as the away favorite at 2.75, sitting third in the Bundesliga with a four-game winning streak and a defensive record of just 1.00 goals conceded per game this season, underscoring Niko Kovač's well-organized backline.

  • 4 consecutive wins for Dortmund since their only league defeat, showing strong momentum.
  • 1.00 goals conceded per game in Bundesliga 2026/27, the best defensive rate in this fixture.
  • 20 wins in 38 H2H meetings, including a 2-0 away victory at Stuttgart in April 2026.
  • Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini confirmed fit by Kovač, reinforcing an already solid defensive unit.

VfB Stuttgart face this fixture at 2.30 with their squad severely depleted: Zagadou, Jaquez, Tomás, and Nartey are all sidelined, leaving the hosts critically short in defense and attack ahead of a crucial Bundesliga home test.

  • Stuttgart concede 3.00 goals per game this season, a deeply alarming defensive average.
  • 4 confirmed absentees including key defender Zagadou, stripping Stuttgart of backline depth.
  • Stuttgart sit 8 points below Dortmund in the table, reflecting a significant quality gap.

Key point: With Stuttgart's porous defense and Dortmund's clinical attack in form, the double chance covering an away win or draw pairs well with 2.75 as the primary angle.

Form & Statistics: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.7Total goals
67%Both teams score
3.4Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Borussia Dortmund

Recent form

WWWWW
Wins5/5 (100%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

3.5Total goals
58%Both teams score
2.3Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 50 % Draws 25 % Borussia Dortmund 25 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4.3Total goals
75%Both teams score
2.3Home goals
2Away goals
75%Over 2.5 goals
25%Under 2.5 goals

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
VfB Stuttgart to win2.302.302.462.462.602.50
Draw4.003.603.953.952.602.60
Borussia Dortmund to win2.752.702.862.862.902.90
Under 2.5·3.00··2.902.90
BTTS Yes1.361.36·1.411.331.33

Odds recorded on 17 Sep 2026 at 19:34 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Dortmund's four-match winning streak, combined with a miserly defensive record of just one goal conceded per match, makes the away win at 2.75 the standout selection. Stuttgart's recent form reads well, yet three of their last five head-to-head meetings have gone the hosts' way, so this is no foregone conclusion. The return of Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini strengthens Dortmund's backline considerably. Both teams to score at 1.36 offers secondary value given Stuttgart's five-goal haul against Augsburg. Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Competition: Bundesliga
Stage: Regular Season, 4
Date: 19 Sep 2026
Time: 17:30 BST
Stadium: MHPArena

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund to win is the standout selection here, available at 2.75. Dortmund arrive on a four-match winning run, boast a far superior defensive record, and Stuttgart are severely undermanned at the back. The most recent meeting ended 2-0 to BVB, and the overall head-to-head record heavily favours Dortmund. Our model backs an away win with 62% confidence.

What time does VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?

This Bundesliga fixture kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 19th September 2026. The match takes place at the MHPArena in Stuttgart, the home ground of VfB Stuttgart. Be sure to account for your local time difference when planning to watch or follow the action.

Where can I watch VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Bundesliga fixtures vary by territory. In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports typically holds rights to selected Bundesliga matches, whilst TNT Sports may also carry coverage. Supporters are advised to check their local listings or streaming platforms for confirmation of whether this particular fixture will be shown live.

What is VfB Stuttgart's recent record against Borussia Dortmund?

The overall 38-match head-to-head record heavily favours Borussia Dortmund, who have claimed 20 victories to Stuttgart's 10. Stuttgart did enjoy notable wins during the 2024-25 campaign, yet the most recent encounter, played in April 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for Dortmund, underlining BVB's recent dominance in this fixture.