Venezia
Fiorentina
>Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips – 11/09/2026
Two sides rooted to the foot of the Serie A table meet at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on 11 September 2026 in a fixture already carrying the weight of early relegation anxiety. Venezia, 19th and winless from their opening matches, host a Fiorentina outfit propping up the entire division after a wretched start under Fabio Grosso. With seven goals conceded in just two outings, the Viola arrive in desperate need of a response. For both clubs, this basement clash feels like a must-not-lose occasion before the campaign slips further away.
Match Analysis
Venezia enter this basement clash as marginal home favourites at 2.80, backed by a superior early-season defensive record and an unbeaten run in their last two meetings against Fiorentina, including a 2-1 home win in May 2025.
- Venezia have conceded just 2 goals in two Serie A games, the best record of these two sides.
- Unbeaten in last 2 H2H meetings, including a 2-1 home victory over Fiorentina in May 2025.
- Stadio Penzo provides a compact, hostile environment that historically neutralises stronger visiting squads.
- Manager Giovanni Stroppa has maintained defensive shape despite limited attacking output so far this season.
Fiorentina arrive as narrow away favourites on paper at 2.40, yet their campaign has been alarming: seven goals conceded in two Serie A matches, no points earned, and a squad still mid-integration under Fabio Grosso after heavy summer transfer activity.
- Fiorentina have conceded 7 goals in just 2 Serie A games, the worst defensive record in this fixture.
- Manager Grosso has publicly admitted the squad lacks balance and cohesion after significant summer signings.
- Fabiano Parisi is out until late October, further disrupting an already unsettled defensive unit.
Key point: With both sides yet to score in 2026/27 and defences still fragile, the double chance covering home or draw complements a cautious approach to this low-confidence encounter.
Form & Statistics: Venezia vs Fiorentina
Venezia
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Fiorentina
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Venezia vs Fiorentina: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Our Verdict
The double chance 1X represents the value pick here. Venezia's home advantage and slightly sturdier defensive record give them the edge in a fixture between two struggling sides. Fiorentina have shipped seven goals in two matches, and Giovanni Stroppa's men hold a favourable recent head-to-head, winning two of the last four Serie A meetings. The home win at 2.80 anchors this selection, while the draw at 3.50 provides cover. With both defences looking porous, both teams to score at 1.62 merits consideration as a secondary pick.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Venezia vs Fiorentina?
The value play here is the double chance covering Venezia and the draw, available via 2.80. With both sides pointless and Fiorentina already conceding seven goals in two matches, Venezia's marginal defensive edge and recent unbeaten head-to-head record make backing the home side or a draw the most sensible wager in what is essentially a coin-flip fixture.
What time does Venezia vs Fiorentina kick off?
Venezia vs Fiorentina kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 11 September 2026. The match takes place at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia's compact and atmospheric home ground, which has historically proved a difficult venue for visiting sides to navigate.
Where can I watch Venezia vs Fiorentina on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, Serie A matches are typically shown live on Sky Sports. Supporters elsewhere should consult their local listings or official Serie A broadcast partners to confirm which channel or streaming platform will carry this particular fixture.
What is Venezia's recent record against Fiorentina?
Venezia's recent head-to-head record against Fiorentina makes for encouraging reading for the home faithful. They beat Fiorentina 2-1 at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in May 2025, and before that held them to a nil-nil draw in Florence in August 2024, giving Venezia an unbeaten run across their last two meetings with the Viola.