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UEFA Nations League
Switzerland
16 Nov 2026 19:45
Scotland
Prediction:
Switzerland to win 1.62
View Odds >
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Switzerland vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips – 16/11/2026

16 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Switzerland host Scotland in their final UEFA Nations League League B Group B1 fixture on 16th November 2026, with kickoff at 19:45 GMT. The Swiss have already wrapped up promotion to League A, rendering this something of a dead rubber for Murat Yakin's side. Scotland, however, arrive with everything to play for. Sébastien Pocognoli's men need all three points and favourable results elsewhere to keep their slim promotion playoff hopes alive, adding genuine desperation to what promises to be a fascinating contest.

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Switzerland or Draw
1.62 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 14 Nov 2026 at 20:09 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Switzerland arrive at 1.62 having already secured promotion, unbeaten across five Nations League matches and conceding just one goal all campaign. Despite confirmed rotation from Yakin, the structural spine of Kobel, Akanji, Elvedi and Freuler remains intact.

  • 13 points from 5 games confirms Switzerland as the dominant force in Group B1.
  • Only 1 goal conceded in five Nations League matches, a 0.2 average per game.
  • 3-0 win in the reverse fixture underlines Switzerland's clear tactical superiority over Scotland.
  • 2.2 goals per game scored in this competition, even with rotation expected tonight.

Scotland arrive at 5.00 in a must-win scenario but face severe obstacles: top scorer Lawrence Shankland is out with a thigh injury, Scott McKenna is doubtful, and they require both a win and a North Macedonia result to reach the playoffs.

  • Shankland absent (thigh), removing Scotland's primary striker in a match they must win.
  • 6 goals conceded in five Nations League games, a 1.2 average, exposing defensive fragility.
  • 28-place ranking gap separates the sides, with Scotland averaging just 1.0 goal per game.

Key point: With Xhaka absent and Swiss rotation confirmed, a low-scoring contest is plausible; the 1.75 market offers an alternative angle worth considering.

Form & Statistics: Switzerland vs Scotland

Switzerland

Recent form

LDWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Scotland

Recent form

LLWWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Switzerland vs Scotland

Switzerland

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Gregor Kobel
  2. 2 Zachary Athekame
  3. 3 Nico Elvedi
  4. 4 Manuel Akanji
  5. 5 Isaac Schmidt
  6. 6 Ardon Jashari
  7. 7 Remo Freuler
  8. 8 Dan Ndoye
  9. 9 Fabian Rieder
  10. 10 Michel Aebischer
  11. 11 Zeki Amdouni
  • Yvon Mvogo
  • Eray Comert
  • Denis Zakaria
  • Djibril Sow
  • Breel Embolo
  • Ruben Vargas
  • Granit Xhaka (calf injury)
  • Johan Manzambi (calf issue)
  • Ricardo Rodríguez (tendon rupture)

Scotland

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Angus Gunn
  2. 2 Ryan Porteous
  3. 3 Luke Graham
  4. 4 Kieran Tierney
  5. 5 Aaron Hickey
  6. 6 Billy Gilmour
  7. 7 Lewis Ferguson
  8. 8 Andy Robertson
  9. 9 John McGinn
  10. 10 Scott McTominay
  11. 11 Ché Adams
  • Liam Kelly
  • David Bates
  • Nathan Patterson
  • Ryan Christie
  • Josh McPake
  • Oliver McBurnie
  • Stephen Welsh (withdrew from squad (muscle injury))
  • Lewis Binks (withdrew from squad)
  • Lawrence Shankland (thigh injury)

Medium confidence

Switzerland's probable 4-2-3-1 meets Scotland's 3-4-2-1 in what shapes up as a tactically layered contest. Ardon Jashari and Remo Freuler form a disciplined double pivot for the hosts, tasked with disrupting the Scottish midfield engine room built around Billy Gilmour and Lewis Ferguson.

Scotland's wing-backs will be central to their ambitions, with Andy Robertson pushing high on the left to stretch Switzerland's defensive shape. Both lineups carry similar confidence levels from multiple credible sources, so the tactical picture is as clear as it is likely to get before kickoff in Geneva.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillCoralLadbrokesVirgin BetLiveScore Bet
Switzerland to win1.621.622.202.151.581.58
Draw3.603.502.202.203.703.70
Scotland to win5.004.805.005.005.755.75
Under 2.5·1.751.731.701.721.68
BTTS Yes2.002.002.002.002.002.00

Odds recorded on 14 Nov 2026 at 20:09 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Switzerland's double chance at 1.62 represents the standout selection here. The hosts have conceded a remarkable single goal across five Nations League outings, and even with Murat Yakin rotating his squad, the defensive structure should hold firm. Scotland need a win and results elsewhere to go their way, which could leave them exposed on the counter. Three consecutive victories have lifted Scottish spirits, but that 3-0 reverse fixture defeat underlines the gulf between these sides. Back the 1X double chance, covered by the home price at 1.62.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League B, 6
Date: 16 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Switzerland vs Scotland?

The 1X double chance, backing Switzerland or a draw, represents the most compelling wager here, covered by the home side at 1.62. Switzerland remain unbeaten across this Nations League campaign, conceding just once in five fixtures, and even with Murat Yakin rotating his squad, Scotland's key absences and a 28-place ranking deficit make a Swiss victory or draw the most logical outcome.

What time does Switzerland vs Scotland kick off?

Switzerland vs Scotland kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Monday, 16 November 2026. The match will be played in Switzerland, with the hosts already assured of promotion to League A and therefore approaching this fixture with considerably less urgency than their Scottish opponents, who require a positive result to preserve any hope of reaching the promotion playoffs.

Where can I watch Switzerland vs Scotland on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this UEFA Nations League fixture will vary depending on your location. In the United Kingdom, Channel 4 and S4C typically hold rights to Scotland matches, while coverage may also be available via streaming platforms. It is advisable to check your local listings ahead of the 19:45 GMT kickoff to confirm which broadcaster is showing the match live.

What is Switzerland's recent record against Scotland?

Switzerland hold a commanding recent record over Scotland, most notably winning the reverse fixture 3-0 earlier in this Nations League campaign. That result underlined the considerable gap in quality between the two sides. Scotland, under Sébastien Pocognoli, have shown improvement since that defeat, but history firmly favours the Swiss heading into this closing fixture.