Serbia vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips – 24/09/2026
Serbia welcome Greece to open their UEFA Nations League 2026-27 campaign on 24 September, with both sides placed in a fiercely competitive Group 2 alongside Germany and the Netherlands. A strong start is essential; anything less than a positive result here could leave either side playing catch-up against two of Europe's heavyweights. This fixture carries added intrigue as the first competitive meeting between these nations, whose only previous encounters were friendlies over a decade ago. For Serbia, home advantage offers a platform, yet recent results suggest confidence is fragile on both sides.
Match Analysis
Greece enter this Nations League opener as the narrow favorite at 2.88, backed by a League B campaign that delivered 15 points from 18 and earned promotion. Vangelis Pavlidis provides a genuine elite attacking focal point.
- 15 points from 18 in League B last season secured Greece's promotion to League A.
- Pavlidis scored 17 goals in 13 club games this season, giving Greece a world-class striker.
- Serbia missing Vlahovic, Kostic and Milenkovic, gutting their attack and defensive width.
- Serbia averaged just 1.0 goals per match across their last 5 outings, signaling a blunt attack.
Serbia open at 2.40 but face serious doubts: Vlahovic, Kostic and Milenkovic are all absent, leaving Paunovic with a speculative, untested front line. Their Nations League pedigree is poor, with only 1 win in 6 group-stage games in 2024/25.
- Serbia finished 3rd in their Nations League group in 2024/25 with just 1 win from 6 games.
- No natural elite striker available after Vlahovic's injury rules out Serbia's primary goal threat.
- Greece's away record shows 0 wins in last 5 away matches, keeping a Serbia home win possible.
Key point: With Serbia's depleted attack averaging 1.0 goals per game and Greece's poor away scoring, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.70 offers a compelling low-scoring game angle.
Form & Statistics: Serbia vs Greece
Serbia
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Greece
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Lineups: Serbia vs Greece
Serbia
Starters
- 1 Filip Stankovic
- 2 Ognjen Mimović
- 3 Petar Petrović
- 4 Nikola Simić
- 5 Mirko Milikic
- 6 Njegos Petrović
- 7 Vanja Dragojević
- 8 Dejan Zukic
- 9 Aleksandar Stankovic
- 10 Andrija Maksimović
- 11 Veljko Birmančević
Bench
- Kosta Nedeljkovic
- Nikola Stulic
Absent
- Dusan Vlahovic (injury (suffered during club match))
- Nikola Milenković (muscle injury)
- Filip Kostic (Achilles tendon injury)
- Mihailo Ivanović (injury)
- Veljko Milosavljević (injury)
Greece
Starters
- 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos
- 2 Georgios Vagiannidis
- 3 Konstantinos Mavropanos
- 4 Konstantinos Koulierakis
- 5 Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 6 Christos Zafeiris
- 7 Christos Mouzakitis
- 8 Konstantinos Karetsas
- 9 Christos Tzolis
- 10 Vangelis Pavlidis
- 11 Charalampos Kostoulas
Bench
- Konstantinos Tzolakis
- Christos Mandas
- Panagiotis Retsos
- Lazaros Rota
- Georgios Kyriakopoulos
- Konstantinos Ntoi
- Tasos Douvikas
Absent
- Dimitrios Giannoulis (injury)
- Pantelis Chatzidiakos (injury)
Low confidence
Greece arrive in Belgrade with a well-sourced 4-3-3, built around the attacking threat of Vangelis Pavlidis and the industry of Christos Zafeiris in midfield. Serbia's shape is less certain, with their 4-2-3-1 drawn from a squad-based estimate rather than confirmed team news, so the home side's precise personnel carries a notable confidence gap.
Tactically, a 4-2-3-1 versus 4-3-3 contest invites a battle for the central zones, where Greece's three-man midfield could look to dominate possession and feed the wide channels. Should Serbia's speculated XI prove accurate, Aleksandar Stankovic in the number ten role will be central to any home threat on the counter.
Our Verdict
The value pick here sits with the double chance Draw or Away, backed by Greece's away odds at 2.88. Serbia's home form reads poorly, with three defeats in their last four outings, while their Nations League record yielded just one win across six group matches last term. Greece, despite five winless away fixtures, possess genuine attacking threat through Vangelis Pavlidis, whose 17 goals in 13 club appearances this season cannot be overlooked. Under 1.70 also appeals given both sides average modestly in front of goal.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Serbia vs Greece?
The draw or away double chance looks the most prudent wager here. Serbia are without Vlahovic, Kostic, and Milenkovic, leaving their attack severely depleted, while Greece retain the dangerous Vangelis Pavlidis up front. With Serbia winning just once in six Nations League group-stage matches in 2024/25, backing the away side or a draw at 2.88 carries genuine appeal.
What time does Serbia vs Greece kick off?
This UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off at 18:45 UTC on 24 September 2026. The match will be played in Serbia, with the hosts welcoming Greece for the opening fixture of Group A2. Be sure to adjust for your local time zone before making your way to the ground or settling in to watch.
Where can I watch Serbia vs Greece on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for this UEFA Nations League fixture will vary depending on your territory. In most markets, rights are held by dedicated sports broadcasters or streaming platforms. We recommend checking your local listings, as well as the official UEFA website, to confirm which channel or service will be carrying live coverage of this match.
What is Serbia's recent record against Greece?
Precise recent head-to-head data between Serbia and Greece is limited in our records for this preview. What is clear is that this fixture represents the opening match of a fresh UEFA Nations League campaign for both sides, with Greece having earned promotion to League A, setting the stage for a compelling renewal of rivalry between these two nations.
>