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DFB Pokal
Rot-Weiss Essen
23 Aug 2026 17:00
St. Pauli
Prediction:
St. Pauli to win 2.10
View Odds >
Pick your prediction

Rot-Weiss Essen vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips – 23/08/2026

23 Aug 2026 Stadion Essen Louis Hecq

Stadion Essen plays host to a fascinating DFB Pokal first-round tie on 23 August 2026, as Rot-Weiss Essen welcome St. Pauli in a clash loaded with contrasting fortunes. The hosts finished third in the 3. Liga last season and carry genuine cup pedigree, having lifted the trophy back in 1953. St. Pauli, freshly relegated from the Bundesliga and undergoing a wholesale rebuild under new manager Marcel Rapp, arrive in desperate need of a result to halt a wretched run of form. Early-season cup ties rarely lack for drama.

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Rot-Weiss Essen or Draw
2.88 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 04 Sep 2026 at 11:37 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen enter this DFB Pokal first-round tie as the home side to back at 2.88, boasting an undefeated record in 92% of their last 12 home matches and averaging 1.97 goals per game at Stadion Essen.

  • 92% undefeated rate in last 12 home matches makes Essen a fortress side.
  • 1.97 goals per game scored at Stadion Essen highlights consistent home attacking output.
  • St. Pauli concede in 40% of away trips, shipping more than two goals regularly on the road.
  • St. Pauli carry an 86% DFB Pokal winless rate across their last seven cup ties.

St. Pauli arrive at 2.10 having endured 12 consecutive games without a win across all competitions, freshly relegated from the Bundesliga, under a new manager, and with four confirmed absentees disrupting an already unsettled squad.

  • St. Pauli average just 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 away matches, an anemic output.
  • Four confirmed injuries including Ceesay, Pereira Lage, Thórdarson and Metcalfe thin the squad further.
  • A 12-game winless streak across all competitions signals deep structural and confidence issues.

Key point: With both attacks limited and St. Pauli averaging under one away goal, the double chance home or draw paired with 2.35 offers a compact low-scoring angle.

Form & Statistics: Rot-Weiss Essen vs St. Pauli

Rot-Weiss Essen

Season statistics

4.7Total goals
33%Both teams score
3.1Goals scored
1.6Goals conceded

St. Pauli

Recent form

LLLDL
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses4/5 (80%)

Season statistics (5)

2.9Total goals
61%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
1.8Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Rot-Weiss Essen vs St. Pauli

Rot-Weiss Essen

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Jakob Golz
  2. 2 RB Name
  3. 3 CB Name
  4. 4 CB Name
  5. 5 LB Name
  6. 6 CM Name
  7. 7 CM Name
  8. 8 CAM Name
  9. 9 RW Name
  10. 10 ST Name
  11. 11 LW Name
  • Dominik Martinovic (injury)
  • Torben Müsel (injury)
  • Matías Biscay (injury)
  • Jannik Mause (injury)
  • Manuel Wintzheimer (injury)
  • Lucas Brumme (injury)

St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 1 Ben Voll
  2. 2 David Nemeth
  3. 3 Marcus Mathisen
  4. 4 Tomoya Ando
  5. 5 Arkadiusz Pyrka
  6. 6 Mathias Rasmussen
  7. 7 Joel Chima Fujita
  8. 8 Louis Oppie
  9. 9 Branimir Hrgota
  10. 10 Martijn Kaars
  11. 11 Taichi Hara
  • Lars Ritzka
  • Erik Ahlstrand
  • James Sands (injury)
  • Christopher Avevor (injury)
  • Abdoulie Ceesay (injury)
  • Connor Metcalfe (injury)
  • Gísli Thórdarson (injury)
  • Mathias Pereira Lage (injury)

Low confidence

St. Pauli arrive at this first-round tie with their shape well established across multiple credible sources, lining up in a 3-4-1-2 with Martijn Kaars and Taichi Hara leading the line. Rot-Weiss Essen's 4-2-3-1 is based on a single speculative source, so their precise personnel carries considerably less certainty at this stage.

The structural contrast is intriguing regardless: St. Pauli's three-man defence and wing-backs will look to dominate the wide channels against a home side whose double pivot should offer some protection. Branimir Hrgota operating in the number ten role gives the visitors a creative threat between the lines that Essen's midfield pair will need to manage carefully.

Odds comparison

BetfredVirgin BetLiveScore BetGrosvenorbetmgm.se
Rot-Weiss Essen to win2.882.952.953.003.15
Draw3.753.503.503.603.75
St. Pauli to win2.101.981.982.022.10
Under 2.5·2.352.35··
BTTS Yes1.501.451.45··

Odds recorded on 04 Sep 2026 at 11:37 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

The double chance on Rot-Weiss Essen, covering a home win or draw, is our pick. Essen have lost just once in their last twelve at Stadion Essen, a formidable platform against a St. Pauli side winless in twelve consecutive matches across all competitions. The visitors' recent relegation and wholesale squad rebuild only deepen the uncertainty surrounding their early-season cohesion. Backing the hosts at 2.88 offers the foundation for this selection, with Essen's defensive solidity and cup pedigree tilting the balance firmly in their favour.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Competition: DFB Pokal
Stage: 1st Round
Date: 23 Aug 2026
Time: 17:00 BST
Stadium: Stadion Essen

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Rot-Weiss Essen vs St. Pauli?

The double chance covering Rot-Weiss Essen or a draw is the standout selection here. Essen are undefeated in 92% of their last 12 home fixtures, whilst St. Pauli arrive on a 12-match winless run and average just 0.8 goals per game away from home. With six confirmed absentees disrupting the visitors, backing the home side at 2.88 offers measured value.

What time does Rot-Weiss Essen vs St. Pauli kick off?

This DFB Pokal first-round fixture kicks off at 17:00 BST on Sunday, 23rd August 2026. The match takes place at Stadion Essen, the home ground of Rot-Weiss Essen, where the hosts have established a formidable record and will be keen to exploit their familiar surroundings against a St. Pauli side in considerable disarray.

Where can I watch Rot-Weiss Essen vs St. Pauli on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this DFB Pokal first-round tie have not been confirmed in our data at present. Supporters are advised to check with their domestic television providers and streaming platforms for the latest scheduling information, as rights for DFB Pokal fixtures can vary considerably depending on territory and broadcaster agreements.

What is Rot-Weiss Essen's recent record against St. Pauli?

Detailed head-to-head records between Rot-Weiss Essen and St. Pauli are not available in our current data. What is clear, however, is that St. Pauli's recent form across all competitions has been deeply troubling, with the visitors winless in 86% of their last seven DFB Pokal ties, suggesting Essen hold a meaningful psychological advantage heading into this fixture.