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Championship
Portsmouth
07 Nov 2026 12:30
Stoke City
Prediction:
Portsmouth to win 2.38
View Odds >
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Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips – 07/11/2026

07 Nov 2026 Fratton Park Louis Hecq

Fratton Park hosts a compelling Championship fixture on 7 November 2026, as Portsmouth welcome Stoke City in a lunchtime kickoff with plenty at stake for both sides. Pompey sit tenth and harbour genuine playoff ambitions, buoyed by a superb run of home form. Stoke, perched in fourth, arrive on the south coast chasing a remarkable fifth consecutive away league victory that would equal a club record. With promotion places and top-six positioning on the line, this clash carries real weight heading into the season's second quarter.

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Portsmouth or Draw
2.38 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 05 Nov 2026 at 13:05 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Portsmouth enter this Championship clash at Fratton Park priced at 2.38, backed by an unbeaten run of six league games and three consecutive home victories. Thomas Waddingham's stoppage-time heroics against Swansea underline their attacking resilience on home soil.

  • 6-game unbeaten run in the league gives Portsmouth a solid defensive foundation at home.
  • 3 consecutive home wins at Fratton Park demonstrate consistent control of their own ground.
  • Thomas Waddingham starts after a stoppage-time winner, providing a proven match-winning threat.
  • Most recent H2H meeting ended 3-1 to Portsmouth, showing they can dominate this fixture.

Stoke City arrive priced at 2.80, sitting 4th with 26 points and chasing a fifth successive away league win that would set a new club record. Galbraith returns from suspension, restoring their preferred midfield structure for this pivotal test.

  • Stoke's 4th-place standing, four points clear of Portsmouth, reflects superior squad quality and depth.
  • Four consecutive away victories signal Stoke's comfort and confidence in hostile environments.
  • Galbraith's suspension lifted restores Stoke's preferred midfield axis, sharpening their creative output.

Key point: With Portsmouth carrying four confirmed absentees and H2H averaging over three goals per game, the double chance covering home or draw at 2.38 offers the most measured value here.

Form & Statistics: Portsmouth vs Stoke City

Portsmouth

Recent form

WDWDW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

2.5Total goals
57%Both teams score
1.4Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Stoke City

Recent form

WWDWL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.8Total goals
64%Both teams score
1.6Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

Portsmouth vs Stoke City: Head-to-Head

Portsmouth 50 % Draws 0 % Stoke City 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4Total goals
75%Both teams score
2.5Home goals
1.5Away goals
75%Over 2.5 goals
25%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Portsmouth vs Stoke City

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Schmid
  2. 2 Devlin
  3. 3 Poole
  4. 4 Dia
  5. 5 Meghoma
  6. 6 Adams
  7. 7 Mohamed
  8. 8 Shade
  9. 9 Bailey
  10. 10 Segečić
  11. 11 Waddingham
  • Franco Umeh (injury)
  • Joe Morrell (injury)
  • Marko Milovanović (Quad problem)
  • Colby Bishop (Knee injury (until December))
  • John Swift (Knee injury)
  • Keshi Anderson (Hamstring/Overload)
  • Connor Ogilvie (Knee injury)
  • Luke Brooke-Smith (Ankle injury)
  • Benjy Arthur (Back injury)

Stoke City

3-4-3
  1. 1 Johansson
  2. 2 Wilmot
  3. 3 Talovierov
  4. 4 Graham
  5. 5 Johnson
  6. 6 Galbraith
  7. 7 Soumaré
  8. 8 Bombino
  9. 9 McGlynn
  10. 10 Boženík
  11. 11 Manhoef
  • Eric-Junior Bocat (injury)
  • Junior Tchamadeu (injury)
  • Ato Ampah (Long-term injury)
  • Lamine Cisse (Ankle injury)

Medium confidence

A 4-2-3-1 against a 3-4-3 shapes up as an intriguing tactical contest at Fratton Park, with Portsmouth's double pivot asked to contain Stoke's wing-backs and deny the visitors the wide corridors their formation craves. Manhoef in particular will test Pompey's defensive discipline on the flanks.

Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, so a degree of caution is warranted before kickoff. Portsmouth's source notes that Marlon Pack could yet slot into midfield, which would alter the texture of their build-up play considerably and shift the balance of the central battle.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Portsmouth to win2.382.402.382.422.872.87
Draw3.103.003.303.402.102.10
Stoke City to win2.803.003.253.303.403.40
Under 2.5·1.67·1.721.701.70
BTTS Yes1.831.85·1.861.801.80

Odds recorded on 05 Nov 2026 at 13:05 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Portsmouth's six-match unbeaten streak and three straight home victories make them difficult to oppose at Fratton Park. Stoke's form is strong, but their sole defeat in the last five came away from home, and a record-equalling fifth consecutive away win is a tall order against this resolute Pompey side. The double chance 1X captures both realistic outcomes here, with the home win priced at 2.38 and the draw at 3.10 offering solid coverage. Marko Milovanović's absence could limit Portsmouth's attacking depth, yet Waddingham's recent heroics provide a timely lift. Confidence sits at 58%.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: Championship
Stage: Regular Season, 15
Date: 07 Nov 2026
Time: 12:30 GMT
Stadium: Fratton Park

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?

The double chance on Portsmouth appeals most here. Unbeaten in six league matches and victorious in their last three at Fratton Park, Pompey carry genuine home fortress credentials. Stoke are formidable in fourth, but backing Portsmouth not to lose at 2.38 reflects their unbeaten run whilst acknowledging the visitors' promotion-push quality and superior league standing.

What time does Portsmouth vs Stoke City kick off?

This Championship fixture kicks off at 12:30 GMT on Saturday, 7th November 2026. The match takes place at Fratton Park, Portsmouth's historic ground on the south coast of England, which has proven something of a fortress for the home side in recent weeks.

Where can I watch Portsmouth vs Stoke City on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Championship fixtures vary depending on your territory and subscription package. In the United Kingdom, matches are typically shared across Sky Sports and the EFL's streaming platform. We recommend checking your local listings and official broadcaster schedules to confirm coverage details for this particular fixture.

What is Portsmouth's recent record against Stoke City?

The head-to-head record between these two sides is decidedly volatile. Portsmouth claimed a convincing 3-1 victory in the most recent meeting in April 2026, suggesting genuine home capability. However, Stoke inflicted a brutal 6-1 defeat on Pompey in October 2024, underlining just how unpredictable this fixture can be across recent seasons.