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Bundesliga
Paderborn
20 Sep 2026 18:30
TSG Hoffenheim
Prediction:
TSG Hoffenheim to win 1.70
View Odds >
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Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips – 20/09/2026

20 Sep 2026 Home Deluxe Arena Louis Hecq

Paderborn welcome TSG Hoffenheim to the Home Deluxe Arena on Saturday 20 September for a Bundesliga fixture that carries real weight for both sides. Sitting fifteenth in the early standings, the hosts are desperate to turn a wretched run of form into something tangible on home soil. Hoffenheim, two places above them at thirteenth, arrive in considerably better nick and will fancy their chances of extending a head-to-head record that has never seen Paderborn triumph. With both clubs scrapping in the bottom half, the points on offer here feel enormous.

Our prediction
2: TSG Hoffenheim to win
1.70 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 18 Sep 2026 at 21:46 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

TSG Hoffenheim arrive as clear favorites at 1.70, backed by a WLLWW run and an unbeaten H2H record against Paderborn across four Bundesliga meetings. Kramaric and Hlozek lead an attacking core that retains genuine goal threat despite squad absences.

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in H2H vs Paderborn, with a 5-1 aggregate goals advantage.
  • Hoffenheim have won their last 2 consecutive matches, arriving in strong momentum with WLLWW form.
  • 5 goals scored across four H2H meetings; Paderborn have never beaten Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga.
  • Paderborn missing 4 confirmed players including Michel and Gayret, thinning a 15th-placed struggling squad.

Paderborn face a steep challenge at 4.33, sitting 15th with a LLDW home run and four confirmed absentees including Sven Michel and Timur Gayret. Their winless H2H record against Hoffenheim adds further pressure on a side already battling relegation concerns.

  • Paderborn's home form reads LLDW, with only one win in their last four home fixtures.
  • 4 key players absent including Michel and Götze, severely limiting attacking and midfield options.
  • Paderborn have conceded 5 goals across four H2H meetings while failing to record a single win.

Key point: With Hoffenheim also missing four players including Lemperle and Prass, a tight, low-scoring contest is plausible; the double chance covering an away win or draw suits cautious backers.

Form & Statistics: Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim

Paderborn

Recent form

LLDW
Wins1/4 (25%)
Draws1/4 (25%)
Losses2/4 (50%)

Season statistics (4)

2.9Total goals
61%Both teams score
1.6Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

TSG Hoffenheim

Recent form

LWLLW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.6Total goals
64%Both teams score
2Goals scored
1.6Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim

Paderborn

3-3-2-2
  1. 1 Noll
  2. 2 ter Horst
  3. 3 Scheller
  4. 4 Hansen
  5. 5 Curda
  6. 6 Castañeda
  7. 7 Ulrich
  8. 8 Djuric
  9. 9 Vidovic
  10. 10 Pieringer
  11. 11 Philippe
  • Schubert
  • Sticker
  • Baack
  • Batista Meier
  • Mohr
  • Tigges
  • Lippmann
  • Marino
  • Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (injury)
  • Lasse Eickel (injury)
  • Sven Michel (injury)
  • Timur Gayret (injury)
  • Felix Götze (Injury)

TSG Hoffenheim

4-4-2
  1. 1 Baumann
  2. 2 Coufal
  3. 3 Hajdari
  4. 4 Rots
  5. 5 Avdullahu
  6. 6 Burger
  7. 7 Daghim
  8. 8 Hlozek
  9. 9 Kramaric
  10. 10 Moerstedt
  • Hranác
  • Bernardo
  • Gendrey
  • De Cat
  • Conté
  • Lenz
  • Philipp
  • Grischa Prömel (injury)
  • Ihlas Bebou (injury)
  • Fisnik Asllani (injury)
  • Luis Engelns (suspended)
  • Alexander Prass (injury)
  • Ozan Kabak (injury)
  • Dennis Geiger (injury)
  • Tim Lemperle (Red card suspension)
  • Patrick Wimmer (Muscle injury)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculated tag, drawn from the same pair of sources a fortnight before kickoff, so treat the shape of this fixture with appropriate caution. That said, Paderborn's compact 3-3-2-2 against Hoffenheim's more orthodox 4-4-2 promises an intriguing structural contest at the Benteler-Arena.

For the hosts, Pieringer and Philippe form the forward partnership in a system designed to press aggressively and overload central areas. Hoffenheim will look to Kramaric to provide the creative spark in behind, though the reliability of these selections remains unconfirmed at this stage.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Paderborn to win4.334.204.604.604.004.00
Draw4.334.004.504.502.702.70
TSG Hoffenheim to win1.701.671.711.722.052.05
Under 2.5·2.88··2.752.75
BTTS Yes1.441.44·1.521.441.44

Odds recorded on 18 Sep 2026 at 21:46 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Hoffenheim's head-to-head record against Paderborn is flawless: two wins, two draws, nil defeats, and a commanding 5-1 aggregate goals advantage across four Bundesliga meetings. Paderborn have never beaten Hoffenheim in the top flight. Combined with the visitors' recent surge of three wins from their last five, the away win at 1.70 represents our pick. Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 also appeals, given Hoffenheim's attacking output in recent weeks. Prediction: Hoffenheim to claim all three points.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Competition: Bundesliga
Stage: Regular Season, 4
Date: 20 Sep 2026
Time: 18:30 BST
Stadium: Home Deluxe Arena

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Hoffenheim to win is the standout selection here. Their recent form of WLLWW, a commanding 5-1 aggregate advantage over Paderborn in head-to-head fixtures, and Paderborn's wretched home run of LLDW all point firmly towards an away victory. Despite a lengthy injury list, Kramaric and Hlozek remain available, preserving Hoffenheim's attacking threat. The 1.70 represents solid value.

What time does Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim kick off?

This Bundesliga fixture kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026. The match takes place at the Home Deluxe Arena in Paderborn, Germany, which serves as the home ground for SC Paderborn.

Where can I watch Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim on TV?

Specific broadcast details for this fixture have not yet been confirmed. As a Bundesliga match, coverage is typically available via DAZN and Sky Sport in Germany, with international rights distributed across various regional broadcasters. We recommend checking your local listings closer to kickoff for confirmed broadcast information.

What is Paderborn's recent record against TSG Hoffenheim?

The head-to-head record between these two sides strongly favours Hoffenheim. Across their recent meetings, Hoffenheim have claimed two wins and two draws, suffering no defeats, whilst accumulating a 5-1 aggregate goals advantage. Paderborn are yet to beat Hoffenheim in this sequence, a record that underlines the considerable quality gap between the sides.