Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
>Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips – 05/09/2026
St. James' Park plays host to an intriguing early-season encounter on 9 May 2026, as Newcastle United welcome AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League. Both sides are separated by just two places in the table, with the Magpies sitting 10th and the Cherries 14th, each searching for the consistency needed to push into the upper half. Eddie Howe's men carry mixed recent form into this fixture, while Bournemouth arrive on Tyneside buoyed by back-to-back victories. Three points here could prove significant in shaping either club's trajectory for the campaign ahead.
Match Analysis
AFC Bournemouth arrive at St. James' Park as the analytical favourite, priced at 3.00, backed by a remarkable H2H record and an intact first-choice squad under Andoni Iraola heading into this Premier League Round 3 clash.
- 2 wins and 1 draw in the last five meetings at St. James' Park, with zero Newcastle victories.
- Back-to-back wins close Bournemouth's recent five-game run (LDDWW), showing strong momentum.
- 4.0 chances created per game this season, outpacing Newcastle's 3.0 in the attacking phase.
- Absentees Adli, Araujo, Kroupi and Akinmboni are fringe or developmental players; Iraola's core XI remains intact.
Newcastle United, priced at 2.20, face a daunting task at St. James' Park, with four confirmed first-team absentees and Bruno Guimaraes only doubtful, severely undermining Eddie Howe's midfield and defensive structure from the outset.
- Joelinton, Dan Burn, William Osula and Sven Botman all absent simultaneously, gutting midfield and defensive depth.
- Bruno Guimaraes doubtful; losing their primary creative and defensive midfield hub would be a critical blow.
- Newcastle's xG per game sits at just 0.8 this season, exposing a worrying lack of attacking output.
Key point: With Newcastle's depleted attack and Bournemouth's disciplined defensive shape, the draw double chance covering 3.75 and 3.00 offers a complementary low-scoring game angle worth considering.
Form & Statistics: Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
AFC Bournemouth
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Our Verdict
The X2 double chance stands out as the value pick here. Bournemouth have won two of the last five visits to St. James' Park, including a remarkable 4-1 demolition in January 2025, and remain unbeaten in this fixture across that span. Newcastle's home form reads inconsistently, and the confirmed absences of Joelinton and Dan Burn weaken their midfield and defensive spine considerably. The away win at 3.00 offers standalone appeal, while the draw at 3.75 provides a safety net. Bournemouth's recent two-match winning run adds further conviction.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
The draw or away double chance appeals strongly here. Newcastle are severely weakened by injuries to Joelinton, Dan Burn, William Osula and Sven Botman, while Bruno Guimarães remains doubtful. Bournemouth arrive in fine fettle after back-to-back wins. With the visitors holding an unbeaten record at St. James' Park across the last five meetings, backing the away side at 3.00 offers genuine value.
What time does Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
This Premier League fixture kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 5th September 2026. The match takes place at St. James' Park, Newcastle's iconic home ground in the north-east of England, which regularly provides one of the most atmospheric settings in the top flight.
Where can I watch Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Premier League fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, matches are typically shared across Sky Sports, TNT Sports and Amazon Prime Video. Supporters are advised to consult their local listings or the Premier League's official website to confirm which broadcaster holds the rights for this particular fixture.
What is Newcastle United's recent record against AFC Bournemouth?
The recent head-to-head record makes for uncomfortable reading for Newcastle supporters. Across the last five meetings at St. James' Park, the home side have yet to record a single victory. Bournemouth claimed a 1-2 win in April 2026 and a remarkable 1-4 triumph in January 2025, demonstrating a striking resilience and clinical edge on Tyneside.