Netherlands
Greece
>Netherlands vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips – 13/11/2026
The Netherlands welcome Greece to what promises to be a decisive fixture in UEFA Nations League A, Group A2 on 13 November 2026, with kickoff at 19:45 GMT. Both sides are locked on eight points, making this a straight shootout for top spot and a place in the quarter-finals. Their previous meeting ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, and the Dutch will be desperate to settle that score on home soil. The stakes could hardly be higher, with qualification hanging in the balance for both nations.
Match Analysis
Netherlands enter this group-deciding clash as clear favourites at 1.50, backed by a DWWDW Nations League form run, 71% average possession, and a dominant 9-1 all-time head-to-head record against Greece.
- 71% average possession in the Nations League underlines Dutch structural dominance over opponents.
- Frenkie de Jong returns to the squad for the first time since the World Cup, boosting midfield creativity.
- 17.8 shots per game versus Greece's 10.3 in their last meeting shows persistent attacking superiority.
- 9-1 all-time H2H record in the Netherlands' favour reflects a deep historical edge over Greece.
Greece arrive at 6.00, level on 8 points but facing a hostile Amsterdam crowd. Tzolis remains doubtful with a hamstring issue and Pelkas is out, thinning a 4-4-2 that averages just 1.3 goals scored per game.
- Only 40% average possession in the Nations League leaves Greece consistently defending deep.
- 1.3 goals scored per game exposes limited attacking output, especially without Tzolis and Pelkas.
- Georgios Vagiannidis also absent, further reducing Greece's defensive and wide-option depth.
Key point: With Greece conceding just 0.8 goals per game and the Dutch missing several attackers, the double chance 1X paired with 2.42 offers a cautious complementary angle.
Form & Statistics: Netherlands vs Greece
Netherlands
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Greece
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Lineups: Netherlands vs Greece
Netherlands
Starters
- 1 Bart Verbruggen
- 2 Denzel Dumfries
- 3 Virgil van Dijk
- 4 Jurrien Timber
- 5 Ian Maatsen
- 6 Frenkie de Jong
- 7 Teun Koopmeiners
- 8 Tijjani Reijnders
- 9 Crysencio Summerville
- 10 Donyell Malen
- 11 Cody Gakpo
Bench
- Mark Flekken
- Robin Roefs
- Lutsharel Geertruida
- Micky van de Ven
- Jan Paul van Hecke
- Quinten Timber
- Joey Veerman
- Guus Til
- Gjivai Zechiel
- Justin Kluivert
- Ruben van Bommel
- Brian Brobbey
- Mexx Meerdink
- Noa Lang
Absent
- Nathan Aké (Hamstring injury, expected out until mid-November 2026.)
- Jeremie Frimpong (Hamstring injury, expected out until mid-November 2026.)
- Jorrel Hato (Knock, expected out until mid-November 2026.)
- Xavi Simons (Severe knee injury, not expected to return until 2027.)
- Matthijs de Ligt (Back operation, out for almost a year; last appearance in November 2025.)
Greece
Starters
- 1 Konstantinos Tzolakis
- 2 Manolis Saliakas
- 3 Panagiotis Retsos
- 4 Konstantinos Mavropanos
- 5 Kostas Tsimikas
- 6 Konstantinos Karetsas
- 7 Thanasis Androutsos
- 8 Dimitrios Kourbelis
- 9 Giorgos Masouras
- 10 Vangelis Pavlidis
- 11 Fotis Ioannidis
Bench
- Triantafyllos Tsapras
- Christos Mandas
- Andrews Tetteh
- Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Christos Mouzakitis
- Charalampos Kostoulas
- Christos Zafeiris
- Giannis Michailidis
- Tasos Douvikas
- Odysseas Vlachodimos
- Georgios Kyriakopoulos
Absent
- Dimitrios Pelkas (Injury.)
- Georgios Vagiannidis (Unknown injury.)
Medium confidence
A 4-3-3 against a 4-4-2 sets up an intriguing midfield contest, with Frenkie de Jong expected to dictate tempo from the centre as the Netherlands look to control possession in Amsterdam. Greece will look to compress space and hit on the counter, leaning on the threat of Vangelis Pavlidis up front.
Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, though the Dutch selection is drawn from a broader range of credible sources, lending it slightly greater certainty. Greece's shape is largely informed by their previous encounter, suggesting Ivan Jovanović will prioritise defensive solidity and discipline over the ninety minutes.
Our Verdict
The Netherlands at 1.50 represent solid value given their impressive recent run of four wins from five Nations League outings and a commanding possession average of 71% against Greece's 40%. With Frenkie de Jong back in the fold and Donyell Malen firing for Roma, the Dutch carry genuine attacking threat. Greece, missing the injured Christos Tzolis, have managed just one win from their last two fixtures. A home victory looks the standout pick, while over 2.5 goals at 1.62 appeals given the 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Netherlands vs Greece?
The Netherlands home win stands out as the strongest selection here. The Dutch hold a 9-1 all-time head-to-head advantage, dominate possession at 71% against Greece's 40%, and welcome back Frenkie de Jong to midfield. With Greece missing Tzolis and Pelkas, the Dutch should have enough to secure three points at 1.50.
What time does Netherlands vs Greece kick off?
Netherlands vs Greece kicks off at 19:45 UTC on 13 November 2026. The match will be held in the Netherlands, with the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam the expected venue for this UEFA Nations League League A fixture. Check your local time zone to avoid missing the kickoff.
Where can I watch Netherlands vs Greece on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary by territory. In the Netherlands, Ziggo Sport typically holds rights, whilst Greek viewers can follow proceedings via ERT. Supporters elsewhere should consult their local sports broadcasters or streaming platforms to confirm live coverage availability for this match.
What is Netherlands' recent record against Greece?
The all-time head-to-head record stands firmly in the Netherlands' favour at 9-1. The most recent encounter, on 1 October 2026, ended 2-2, with the Dutch generating 17.8 shots to Greece's 10.3, suggesting the Netherlands were the more threatening side despite being held to a draw.