Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips – 18/09/2026
Monza welcome Sassuolo to the U-Power Stadium on Friday evening for a Serie A fixture that carries vastly different stakes for each side. The hosts sit 18th, marooned in the relegation zone with a single point from four matches and still without a league victory this term. Sassuolo, by contrast, arrive ninth on seven points, buoyed by a thrilling win over Juventus last time out. For Ivan Juric's struggling side, this feels like a must-win occasion; for the visitors, it represents a chance to sustain early-season momentum and keep European ambitions alive.
Match Analysis
Sassuolo arrive as the logical pick at 2.30, backed by a 3-2 win over Juventus and seven points from four Serie A outings. A team rating of 7.49 versus Monza's 7.03 underlines a clear quality gap.
- 7 points from 4 games puts Sassuolo ninth in Serie A with genuine upward momentum.
- 3-2 win over Juventus last round confirms Sassuolo can perform against quality opposition.
- Sassuolo average 2.0 goals per game this season, with Berardi and Laurienté leading a dangerous attack.
- Team rating advantage of 7.49 vs 7.03 reflects a measurable structural edge over Monza.
Monza sit in the relegation zone with a single point from four matches, facing this fixture at 2.88. Captain Pessina is out for four months, and a crippling injury list leaves manager Juric severely short of options across the squad.
- Monza have conceded 11 goals in 4 games, the worst defensive record in the division.
- Pessina, Ziolkowski, Ciurria and Touré are all unavailable, gutting Juric's midfield and attacking depth.
- Monza have collected just 1 point this season, with no win registered in any of their four league outings.
Key point: Sassuolo's eight-game away winless run keeps a draw firmly in play; the double chance covering draw or Sassuolo win aligns with the 2.30 value and the X2 prediction at 62% confidence.
Form & Statistics: Monza vs Sassuolo
Monza
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Sassuolo
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Monza vs Sassuolo: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Lineups: Monza vs Sassuolo
Monza
Starters
- 1 Demba Thiam
- 2 Eddy Kouadio
- 3 Lorenzo Lucchesi
- 4 Andrea Carboni
- 5 Samuele Birindelli
- 6 Michael Folorunsho
- 7 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
- 8 Amankwah Forson
- 9 Andrea Colpani
- 10 Jay Robinson
- 11 Exequiel Zeballos
Absent
- Matteo Pessina (injury)
- Cyril Ngonge (injury)
- Jan Ziolkowski (injury)
- Pedro Obiang (suspended)
- Danilo D'Ambrosio (injury)
- Alessio Cragno (injury)
- Warren Bondo (injury)
- Patrick Ciurria (injury)
- Idrissa Touré (Contusion / Knee injury)
Sassuolo
Starters
- 1 Vanja Murić
- 2 Niccolò Cinquegrano
- 3 Duje Ćaleta-Car
- 4 Fedde Leysen
- 5 Josh Doig
- 6 Luca Lipani
- 7 Nemanja Matić
- 8 Kristian Thorstvedt
- 9 Domenico Berardi
- 10 Sebastiano Esposito
- 11 Armand Laurienté
Absent
- Cristian Volpato (injury)
- Jay Idzes (injury)
- Ismaël Koné (injury)
- Sebastian Walukiewicz (Muscle injury)
- Daniel Boloca (Knee injury / Arthroscopy)
- Fali Candé (Knee injury / Cruciate ligament tear)
- Edoardo Pieragnolo (Knee injury / Cruciate ligament injury)
Medium confidence
A 3-4-2-1 against a 4-3-3 sets up an intriguing tactical contest at the U-Power Stadium. Monza's narrow midfield diamond will look to press high and funnel play through Folorunsho, while Sassuolo's wider shape offers Berardi and Laurienté the freedom to stretch the home side's back three on the flanks.
Nemanja Matić anchors Sassuolo's midfield with considerable experience, and his ability to screen the defence could prove decisive against Monza's two attacking midfielders operating in the pockets behind Zeballos. Both probable lineups carry reasonable confidence, sourced across multiple credible outlets from the past 48 hours.
Our Verdict
Sassuolo's superior form and team rating make the draw or away double chance (X2) our selection. Monza have managed a solitary point from four outings, conceding eleven goals, while Sassuolo sit on seven points and carry genuine momentum after toppling Juventus. The away win at 2.30 offers value, though Sassuolo's eight-match winless streak on the road tempers expectations. The draw at 3.50 provides a safety net. Monza's historical dominance in this fixture adds a note of caution, but current form and defensive frailty point firmly towards the visitors. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Monza vs Sassuolo?
The draw or away double chance is the most compelling option here. Sassuolo arrive with seven points from four matches and a superior team rating, yet their eight-game winless streak in away Serie A fixtures tempers confidence in a straight away win. With Monza's defence leaking 2.75 goals per match, backing Sassuolo not to lose at 2.30 represents sound value.
What time does Monza vs Sassuolo kick off?
This Serie A fixture kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 18th September 2026, which corresponds to 19:45 British Summer Time. The match is staged at the U-Power Stadium in Monza, Italy, the home ground of AC Monza.
Where can I watch Monza vs Sassuolo on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, Serie A matches are typically shown live on TNT Sports and streamed via the discovery+ platform. Supporters are advised to check their local listings and official broadcaster schedules to confirm coverage of this particular fixture.
What is Monza's recent record against Sassuolo?
Monza hold a respectable head-to-head record against Sassuolo in recent meetings, claiming three wins and two draws from the last five encounters between the sides. That sequence includes a 2-2 draw last August, which underlines Monza's capacity to trouble Sassuolo despite their current difficulties. Nonetheless, their present form makes replicating such results a considerable challenge.
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