Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
>Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok Prediction & Betting Tips – 05/11/2026
Levski Sofia welcome Jagiellonia Białystok to the Vivacom Arena on 5 November 2026 in a Europa League league stage fixture where both sides desperately need points. Neither club sits comfortably in the standings, with Levski 17th and Jagiellonia down in 27th, making this a match that could define their European campaigns. A defeat for either side would leave qualification hopes hanging by a thread, lending real cup-tie intensity to proceedings in Sofia.
Match Analysis
Levski Sofia enter this Europa League Round 4 fixture as bookmaker favourites at 2.00, hosting Jagiellonia at Vivacom Arena where home advantage carries genuine weight. The market respects the venue factor despite Levski sitting 17th in the league stage.
- Home venue at Vivacom Arena provides a tangible psychological and crowd advantage.
- Jagiellonia's xG Against of 1.03 per match shows defensive vulnerability on the road.
- Jagiellonia's doubtful pair Sow and Stojinovič (muscle injuries) could blunt the visitors' attack.
- Bookmaker pricing implies a ~46.5% probability for Levski, validating the home-edge narrative.
Jagiellonia Białystok arrive as slight outsiders at 3.60, yet their Europa League credentials are stronger on paper. The Polish side boast a 57% win rate in the competition and average 1.86 goals scored per match, posing a real threat.
- Levski missing four first-teamers (Kirilov, Sangaré, Kamdem suspended; Mitkov injured) weakens midfield depth.
- Levski's Europa League win rate stands at just 33% versus Jagiellonia's 57% in the competition.
- Levski average only 1.00 goal per match in the Europa League, limiting their attacking threat.
Key point: Both sides carry BTTS rates above 67% in Europe and Levski have kept zero clean sheets; a both-teams-to-score outcome is a compelling complementary angle to the double chance.
Form & Statistics: Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Levski Sofia
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Jagiellonia Białystok
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Levski Sofia
Starters
- 1 S. Vutsov
- 2 Aldair
- 3 N. Serafimov
- 4 K. Dimitrov
- 5 Álex Centelles
- 6 Mehdi Moubarik
- 7 Maicon
- 8 Reinaldo
- 9 Serginho
- 10 A. Oko-Flex
- 11 Everton Bala
Absent
- Radoslav Kirilov (suspended)
- Mustapha Sangaré (suspended)
- Oliver Kamdem (suspended)
- Asen Mitkov (injury)
Jagiellonia Białystok
Starters
- 1 S. Abramowicz
- 2 Norbert Wojtuszek
- 3 Y. Kobayashi
- 4 Bernardo Vital
- 5 Guilherme Montóia
- 6 Anders Klynge
- 7 T. Romanczuk
- 8 K. Szmyt
- 9 J. Agbonifo
- 10 Jesús Imaz
- 11 Nik Prelec
Low confidence
Both sides line up in a mirrored 4-2-3-1 shape, which should produce a structured, tactically disciplined contest in Sofia. It is worth stressing that these XIs come from a single source dated over a week ago, so both sets of selections carry a degree of uncertainty ahead of kickoff.
For Levski, Everton Bala leads the attack with support from a creative trio behind him, while Jagiellonia's threat is likely to flow through Jesús Imaz operating in the attacking midfield role. The symmetry of formations means the battle in the central double pivot could prove decisive.
Our Verdict
Our pick is the double chance 1X, backing Levski Sofia to avoid defeat at the Vivacom Arena. The hosts' home advantage is reflected in the market, with the home win priced at 2.00 and the draw at 3.60, offering solid coverage across both outcomes. Jagiellonia's away form has been inconsistent, and their position of 27th in the league stage suggests vulnerability on the road. Levski's recent results have been mixed, yet they remain competitive on home soil, making this a sensible value selection.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
The double chance covering Levski Sofia or a draw represents the most measured wager here. Home advantage at Vivacom Arena is genuine, and Jagiellonia's doubtful pair of Sow and Stojinovič could blunt their attacking threat. With Levski the bookmakers' slight favourite at 2.00, backing them not to lose offers a sensible margin of safety given the squad depletions on both sides.
What time does Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok kick off?
This Europa League fixture kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5th November 2026. The match takes place at the Vivacom Arena – Georgi Asparuhov in Sofia, Bulgaria, where Levski will enjoy the benefit of a familiar home setting as they look to improve upon their modest position in the league stage standings.
Where can I watch Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for this Europa League fixture will vary depending on your territory. In most European markets, Europa League matches are carried by rights holders such as TNT Sports, DAZN, or local subscription broadcasters. We recommend checking your regional television listings or streaming platform schedules to confirm where this particular match will be shown live.
What is Levski Sofia's recent record against Jagiellonia Białystok?
There is no recorded head-to-head history between Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia Białystok to draw upon. This Europa League encounter represents a first competitive meeting between the two clubs, meaning neither side can take confidence from past results, and analysts must rely entirely on current form and squad data to assess the likely outcome.