UEFA Nations League

Moldova

13 Nov 2026 17:00

Kazakhstan

Prediction:

Moldova to win 2.50

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MoldovaDraw Kazakhstan

Moldova vs Kazakhstan Prediction & Betting Tips – 13/11/2026

Moldova welcome Kazakhstan to League C of the UEFA Nations League on 13 November 2026, with kickoff set for 17:00 GMT. The stakes could hardly be clearer. Kazakhstan need all three points to leapfrog their hosts in the standings and keep alive any hopes of promotion back to League B. For Moldova, a second successive defeat following that bruising 4-0 loss to Slovakia would deepen the gloom around Lilian Popescu's troubled tenure. October's reverse fixture produced a dramatic 2-1 Moldovan win, giving Kazakhstan every reason to seek revenge here.

Our prediction

X2: Double Chance Draw or Kazakhstan

2.75 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 11 Nov 2026 at 19:55 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Kazakhstan arrive as the value pick at 2.75, driven by a clear tactical imperative: only a win keeps their League B promotion hopes alive. Their superior attacking output and possession stats make them the more proactive side in Chisinau.

• 1.25 goals scored per game in UNL 2026/27, outpacing Moldova's 0.75 average significantly.
• 53.25% average possession per game signals Kazakhstan's structural dominance in buildup play.
• Moldova concedes 2.0 goals per game at home, offering Kazakhstan a vulnerable defensive target.
• 4 wins to 3 overall H2H advantage for Kazakhstan across all historical meetings with Moldova.

Moldova enter at 2.50 but offer little comfort to backers. Lilian Popescu's tenure has produced zero clean sheets across all venues, and a humiliating 4-0 loss to Slovakia in their last outing exposes deep structural fragility heading into this fixture.

• Eight consecutive home games without a win under Popescu (D2, L6) undermines any home advantage.
• Zero clean sheets in Popescu's entire tenure signals a chronically leaky defensive setup.
• Moldova's 0.75 goals scored per game in UNL 2026/27 is the lowest of the two sides.

Key point: With both defenses fragile and Kazakhstan needing to attack, the double chance covering draw or away win pairs well with 2.75 as the sharpest entry point in this fixture.

Our Verdict

Moldova's woeful home record under Popescu, with eight matches without a win, makes backing the hosts a losing proposition. Kazakhstan's away price at 2.75 offers genuine value, while the draw at 3.00 provides a safety net. Our pick is the double chance X2, covering both outcomes. Under 2.5 goals at 1.55 also appeals; Moldova averaged fewer than one goal per match in this campaign, and Kazakhstan's recent draws have been tight, low-quality affairs. Both sides struggle to keep clean sheets, so consider both teams to score at 2.00. Odds correct at time of publication.

Frequently Asked Questions

Martin Zubimendi has insisted he is happy at Arsenal and has no intention of leaving the club, despite speculation linking him with Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid ahead of the January transfer window.

The Spain international has found regular opportunities harder to come by this season, having played just 380 minutes and made three starts. However, the midfielder has played down suggestions of a return to LaLiga, making clear that his immediate priority is securing his place in Mikel Arteta’s side.

Speaking to Marca, Zubimendi said he remained settled in London and hoped to continue at Arsenal.

“I haven’t wasted any energy on it, nor have I got in touch with anyone,” he said, referring to reports of a possible move to Atletico. He added that his focus was on earning playing time and helping Arsenal compete for the Premier League title.

Zubimendi rules out Arsenal exit amid Real Madrid and Atletico links

Zubimendi enjoyed a prominent role during his first season at the Emirates after joining from Real Sociedad in 2025. He made 57 appearances in all competitions, scoring six goals and providing three assists, while also contributing defensively with 47 tackles and 51 interceptions.

His reduced involvement this season has nevertheless prompted questions about his future. The midfielder acknowledged that adapting to a different role has been a new experience, but said he was comfortable with the challenge.

He also explained that the heavy workload of last season had affected him physically towards its conclusion, suggesting that the change in his playing time could have its benefits.

Arteta had discussed the increased competition for places with Zubimendi before the campaign began. The midfielder recognised that Arsenal’s strengthened squad would make regular selection difficult, but said he understood the situation and was determined to compete.

For now, his comments offer a clear response to the transfer speculation: despite interest being attributed to Spanish clubs, Zubimendi remains focused on establishing himself at Arsenal rather than pursuing a January departure.

Read more – ‘It wasn’t my best financial decision!’: Nigel Martyn reveals reason he turned down 2003 Chelsea transfer

See also – Liverpool denied penalty against Arsenal in VAR error, panel rules

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Nigel Martyn has revealed the reason he turned down a transfer to Chelsea from Leeds United in 2003.

Martyn was subject of interest from Chelsea during the 2003 summer transfer window, with the West Londoners recently taken over by Russian billionaire Roman Abramovich. Chelsea were seeking an experienced goalkeeper to compete with Carlo Cudicini, in a transfer window that saw the Blues spend massive money on a host of new names.

Damien Duff, Joe Cole, Juan Sebastián Verón, Hernán Crespo, and Claude Makélélé were among the new arrivals, though Martyn rejected the ambitious project in favour of a move to Everton.

The former England international was named Everton’s Player of the Season in 2003/04, and helped the club to Champions League qualification the following season. Chelsea, meanwhile, reached the Champions League semi-finals in 2004, before winning a first Premier League title under Jose Mourinho a year later.

Asked about the decision, Martyn told ToffeeWeb’s Once a Blue podcast that family reasons and a more regular role convinced him to turn down a Chelsea team spending huge sums.

“I think, given the age I was, we made the decision that we didn’t want to uproot the children from school,” he said.

“They were very settled. My son was probably coming up to his GCSEs, probably going into A-levels, and my daughter was pushing through into that sort of time. So we felt it was very important to try and keep them based and not uproot them again.

“Financially, it would have obviously been a lot better for me to have gone to Chelsea at the time, they would have put me on more than I was earning at Leeds. But I went to go to play for Everton because David Moyes had hinted there was a strong chance of me actually playing some games. And I didn’t want to finish my career sitting on the bench. 

“I wanted to finish playing football. It wasn’t my best financial decision, shall we say, but it was the best decision for my family and for me as a professional footballer, wanting to actually be on the pitch and finish my career playing on the pitch and giving my all, which is all I’d ever tried to do.”

Read – Premier League Sack Race: Pierre Sage, Carrick, Jaissle on the brink

See Also – Five of the best Premier League away kits in 2026/27

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Liverpool were wrongly denied a penalty during their 1-0 defeat to Arsenal at Anfield, according to the Premier League’s independent Key Match Incidents (KMI) Panel.

The incident involved Alexander Isak and Arsenal defender Jurrien Timber, who pulled the Liverpool forward’s shirt as he attempted to reach a cross from Bradley Barcola. Referee Andy Madley allowed play to continue, with VAR Stuart Attwell subsequently deciding against recommending an on-field review.

The panel has now ruled that the decision was incorrect. Four of its five members voted that Liverpool should have been awarded a penalty, concluding that Timber’s shirt-pull constituted an offence.

There was also a majority verdict that VAR should have intervened. Three members considered the incident a clear and obvious error that warranted sending Madley to the pitchside monitor, while the other two felt the subjective nature of the contact meant it did not meet the required threshold for intervention.

Liverpool should have had penalty against Arsenal, Premier League panel rules

The Premier League‘s review emphasised that officials should penalise holding when it has a clear material impact on play. Factors include whether a defender is focused on an opponent rather than the ball, makes an attempt to challenge for it, uses both arms to hold and maintains contact that affects the opponent’s movement.

The panel concluded that Timber’s challenge met that threshold and should have resulted in a spot-kick.

Liverpool manager Andoni Iraola had questioned the decision immediately after the match, describing the incident as a clear shirt-pull. He also suggested that players might feel compelled to go to ground to ensure such offences are recognised by officials.

Arsenal ultimately held on to their lead, with Kai Havertz’s first-half goal securing a 1-0 victory and the club’s first league win at Anfield since 2012.

The KMI Panel’s verdict provides official backing for Liverpool’s penalty appeal, although it does not change the result.

Read more – Arsenal draw up winger shortlist ahead of January window

See also – Manchester United consider double Premier League swoop in January

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Arsenal are assessing several attacking options ahead of the January transfer window as Mikel Arteta looks to add pace and creativity to his forward line.

According to The Independent, Atletico Madrid’s Alex Baena, Real Madrid forward Endrick and RB Leipzig winger Antonio Nusa are among the players being considered by the Gunners. Bournemouth youngster Eli Junior Kroupi is also on their radar, although a January deal for him is regarded as unlikely.

Arteta wants to recruit a forward capable of carrying the ball quickly through attacking transitions while also possessing the technical ability to operate in tight spaces. Arsenal’s summer business has left the manager looking for further attacking depth, but any incoming transfer could depend on player departures.

Arsenal consider four attacking targets ahead of January

Kroupi is understood to be Arteta’s preferred option. However, Bournemouth are reluctant to sanction his departure midway through the season, potentially forcing Arsenal to consider alternatives.

Baena could be an attractive option given his creativity and experience in Spanish football, while Nusa offers the direct running and pace Arsenal are seeking. Endrick, meanwhile, has struggled for regular opportunities at Real Madrid and could represent a different profile of attacking reinforcement.

The situation could also be influenced by Martin Zubimendi’s future. The midfielder has reportedly attracted interest from Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Chelsea, with Arsenal potentially considering a sale if a suitable offer arrives.

A departure could provide additional funds for attacking recruitment, while also creating scope for a possible arrangement involving one of the interested clubs.

For now, Arsenal appear to be surveying the market rather than pursuing a specific deal. Their January priorities will depend on departures, Bournemouth’s position on Kroupi and the availability of alternative targets.

Read more – Manchester United consider double Premier League swoop in January

See also – Arsenal eye January move for Real Madrid forward Endrick

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Manchester United are considering Brentford defender Nathan Collins and Fulham centre-back Calvin Bassey as potential January transfer targets as they assess options to strengthen their defence.

According to the Daily Mail, both players have been added to United’s list of possible reinforcements ahead of the winter transfer window. Collins, 25, represents the Republic of Ireland, while Bassey, 26, is a Nigeria international who has established himself at Fulham.

United are expected to explore defensive additions as they look to improve their options at centre-back. Collins and Bassey offer Premier League experience, potentially reducing the adjustment period associated with recruiting from overseas.

Manchester United add Nathan Collins and Calvin Bassey to January shortlist

Collins joined Brentford from Wolverhampton Wanderers in 2023 and has become an important figure in their defence. His experience in English football, combined with his international background, makes him an established option in the market.

Bassey, meanwhile, has developed into a regular presence at Fulham since arriving from Ajax in 2023. The Nigerian defender offers physical strength and versatility, having also featured at left-back during his career.

However, being included on United’s shortlist does not necessarily indicate that either player is close to a move. The report identifies them as possible targets, with no formal bids or negotiations mentioned.

United’s January recruitment plans are likely to depend on their assessment of the squad and the financial conditions of any potential deals. Both Brentford and Fulham would also need to be convinced to part with established defenders midway through the season.

Read more – Arsenal eye January move for Real Madrid forward Endrick

See also – Man Utd open talks with Pochettino as Carrick faces sack

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Arsenal are considering a January move for Real Madrid forward Endrick as Mikel Arteta looks to strengthen his attacking options during the winter transfer window.

The Brazilian has struggled for regular first-team opportunities at the Bernabéu, with just 114 minutes of action this season, according to talkSPORT. Arsenal are monitoring the situation as they assess potential reinforcements following Bukayo Saka’s injury lay-off.

The Gunners could have a useful connection in negotiations through sporting director Andrea Berta, who reportedly has a good relationship with the agency representing Endrick. The same agency also represents Real Madrid forward Vinicius Junior, whom Arsenal were linked with during the summer.

Arsenal eye January move for Real Madrid star Endrick

Endrick, 20, is among several attacking options being considered by Arsenal. Arteta is understood to favour Bournemouth forward Eli Junior Kroupi, but the Cherries have made clear that they are unwilling to sell the highly-rated youngster in January.

That could lead Arsenal to explore alternatives, with Endrick’s versatility offering the possibility of strengthening more than one position in the forward line.

However, a move is far from straightforward. Real Madrid are reluctant to lose the Brazilian, and manager Jose Mourinho has publicly indicated that the club do not intend to let him leave in January. Other clubs, including Roma and Sporting, have also been linked with a loan move.

Endrick’s own future remains unresolved. The forward has left the door open to a possible January departure, while making clear that he is not looking to force an exit from Madrid.

Arsenal have not been reported to have made a formal offer to Real Madrid. Their interest therefore remains at an exploratory stage, with the coming weeks likely to clarify whether Endrick becomes a realistic option for Arteta.

Read more – Man Utd open talks with Pochettino as Carrick faces sack

See also – Pochettino ‘keen’ on Man Utd job with Carrick sack imminent

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Manchester United have reportedly opened talks with Mauricio Pochettino over becoming their next head coach, with Michael Carrick facing an increasingly uncertain future at Old Trafford.

United’s senior leadership is expected to discuss Carrick’s position at a meeting in Monaco on Wednesday, involving co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe, chief executive Omar Berrada and director of football Jason Wilcox. The latter two are expected to recommend a change in the dugout following the club’s disappointing start to the season.

Pochettino has emerged as the leading candidate to replace Carrick, with reports indicating that United have held discussions with the former Tottenham and Chelsea manager. The Times reports that the club are negotiating personal terms, although United have yet to formally approach the United States Soccer Federation over his release.

Man Utd open talks with Mauricio Pochettino as Michael Carrick faces sack

The 54-year-old only extended his contract as USA head coach in August, committing his future to the national team until 2030. His agreement reportedly includes a release clause worth around $10 million (£7.5m), which could facilitate a return to club management.

Pochettino is no stranger to United’s managerial search. The club previously considered appointing him following Jose Mourinho’s departure in 2018, before choosing Erik ten Hag in 2022 and again after the Dutchman’s dismissal in 2024.

His Premier League experience includes spells at Southampton and Tottenham, where he guided Spurs to the 2019 Champions League final. He subsequently managed Paris Saint-Germain before taking charge of Chelsea for the 2023-24 campaign.

Carrick’s position has deteriorated sharply after United slipped into 18th place in the Premier League table. The club have managed just one league victory in their opening 10 matches and have not won since August, marking their worst start to a top-flight season at this stage since 1986-87.

However, United have not officially confirmed Carrick’s departure, and the Monaco meeting is expected to determine the next step. The club must also consider the implications of attempting to prise Pochettino away from his international commitments.

Read more – Sage says Palace need January signings as job hangs in the balance

See also – Premier League Sack Race: Sage, Carrick, Jaissle on the brink

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UEFA Nations League

San Marino

12 Nov 2026 19:45

Belarus

Prediction:

Belarus to win 1.12

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San MarinoDraw Belarus

San Marino vs Belarus Prediction & Betting Tips – 12/11/2026

San Marino host Belarus on 12 November 2026 in a UEFA Nations League League C, Group 1 fixture with contrasting stakes for each side. The hosts are already confirmed as bottom of the group, winless across all four matches, while Belarus sit second on seven points and need a result to secure a potential promotion play-off berth. The head-to-head record tells its own story: three previous meetings, three Belarusian victories, eleven goals scored to nil. This is a match where one side plays for pride and the other for tangible reward.

Our prediction

2: Belarus to win

1.12 on Betfred · Confidence High

Odds recorded on 11 Nov 2026 at 19:55 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Belarus arrive as commanding favourites at 1.12, backed by a formidable defensive record of just two goals conceded across four Nations League C1 matches and three consecutive clean sheets. Promotion play-off ambitions sharpen their focus further.

• 3 consecutive clean sheets in Nations League C1, conceding only twice in four matches.
• 11-0 aggregate across all three previous H2H meetings, zero competitive losses to San Marino.
• 7 points and second place in Group C1, with a promotion play-off spot still firmly in reach.
• Lisakovich leads an intact attacking unit despite Shumanskiy and Barkovskiy absent through suspension.

San Marino face this fixture at 15.00, already confirmed bottom of Group C1 with zero points and a catastrophic defensive record. Key absences further erode any slim hope of a competitive showing against Belarus.

• 16 goals conceded in just four Nations League matches, averaging 3.75 per game.
• Giacopetti suspended, Cevoli and Riccardi injured, stripping out the entire first-choice attacking core.
• 0 points from four group games, eliminating any competitive or motivational stakes for San Marino.

Key point: With San Marino shipping nearly four goals per game and Belarus keeping three straight clean sheets, backing Belarus to win to nil complements the away win prediction strongly.

San Marino line up in a compact 4-3-1-2, looking to funnel play through the midfield before releasing Samuel Pancotti and Fausto Salicioni in attack. Belarus counter with a more orthodox 4-4-2, a shape that offers width and defensive solidity against a side that rarely concedes lightly at home.

The tactical contrast is clear: Belarus will seek to exploit the flanks through Maks Ebong and Aleksandr Selyava, whilst San Marino's narrow structure is designed to absorb pressure and threaten on the break. Both lineups carry similar confidence levels from multiple credible sources, making this a reasonably settled picture ahead of kickoff.

Our Verdict

Belarus at 1.12 represents the standout selection here. San Marino have lost every group match, conceding at an alarming rate, while Belarus boast three consecutive clean sheets and a flawless head-to-head record of three wins with eleven goals scored and none conceded. That defensive solidity makes both teams to score: no at 1.40 a strong supplementary pick. Given the visitors' control of transitions and San Marino's compact but porous low block, an away win to nil looks the likeliest outcome. Odds correct at time of publication.

Frequently Asked Questions

UEFA Nations League

Montenegro

12 Nov 2026 19:45

Latvia

Prediction:

Montenegro to win 1.29

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MontenegroDraw Latvia

Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips – 12/11/2026

Montenegro welcome Latvia to close out their League C, Group C2 campaign on 12 November 2026, with the hosts needing just three points to rubber-stamp promotion to League B. Sitting pretty on ten points from four outings, Mirko Vučinić's side have been the standout performers in this section. Latvia, by contrast, arrive with a solitary point to their name and nothing but pride left to play for. The reverse fixture in Riga ended in a 2-1 Montenegro victory, and the Balkan side will fancy their chances of completing the double here.

Our prediction

1: Montenegro to win

1.29 on Betfred · Confidence High

Odds recorded on 11 Nov 2026 at 19:55 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Montenegro top Group C2 with 10 points from three wins and one draw, and a home victory here seals promotion to League B. Priced at 1.29, they carry maximum motivation and genuine attacking quality through Krstović and Jovetić.

• 10 points from 4 matches (3W-1D-0L) puts Montenegro top of Group C2 unbeaten.
• 2-1 win in Riga last month; H2H reads 2 wins and 1 draw for Montenegro across last 3 meetings.
• Krstović, Jovetić and Adžić lead a 4-3-3 with clear superiority over Latvia's defensive 5-4-1 setup.
• Stefan Savić returns to the backline and Adam Marušić rejoins the squad, boosting defensive solidity.

Latvia sit bottom of Group C2 with just 1 point from four matches, and their road record is alarming. At 9.00, they arrive having scored only 2 goals all campaign, with key attacker Varslavāns ruled out until the New Year.

• 13 matches winless away from home across their last 16 away fixtures, a damning travel record.
• Only 3 shots on target across their last two matches, exposing chronic attacking impotence on the road.
• Varslavāns absent with a serious knee injury, further thinning a squad that has scored just 2 Nations League goals.

Key point: With Latvia averaging under one goal per game away and Montenegro's defence unbreached at home, 2.00 offers a complementary angle to the home win prediction.

A 4-3-3 against a 5-4-1 sets up a familiar tension between ambition and pragmatism. Montenegro will look to Nikola Krstović and Stevan Jovetić to stretch Latvia's back five, but finding pockets of space behind that compact defensive line will require patience and precision in the final third.

Latvia arrive content to absorb pressure and threaten on the counter, with Vladislavs Gutkovskis isolated up front as the focal point of their narrow structure. For Montenegro, the width offered by their full-backs and the movement of Vasilije Adžić through midfield could prove decisive in unlocking a disciplined visiting side.

Our Verdict

Montenegro's dominant group record, three wins and a draw from four outings, makes the home win at 1.29 a solid selection. Mirko Vučinić's side already beat Latvia 2-1 in Riga last month and carry genuine promotion incentive into this fixture. Latvia, bottom of the group with a solitary point, simply lack the quality to trouble a well-organised home side. The return of Adam Marušić bolsters Montenegro's options further. Backing Montenegro to win represents the standout value pick here.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Frequently Asked Questions