Greece
Serbia
>Greece vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips – 16/11/2026
Greece welcome Serbia to close out their UEFA Nations League Group A2 campaign on 16 November 2026, with kickoff at 19:45 GMT. The stakes could hardly be more lopsided. Greece sit second on eight points, level with Germany, and a result here would secure a quarter-final berth. Serbia, by contrast, arrive already relegated to League B, pointless from five matches and in total disarray. For the hosts, this represents a golden opportunity to cap a memorable campaign; for Serbia, it is little more than a dead rubber played out under a cloud of crisis.
Match Analysis
Greece enter this decisive Nations League fixture as clear favorites at 1.44, sitting second in Group A2 with 8 points and a genuine quarter-final berth still within reach. Coach Jovanovic's side carry strong motivation after their 7-0 humiliation against the Netherlands.
- 8 points from 5 matches keeps Greece level with Germany for a quarter-final spot.
- 2-1 competitive win over Serbia in September 2026 establishes recent head-to-head dominance.
- 2 clean sheets in last 6 matches; Greece concede just 1.83 goals per game.
- Home crowd in Volos adds a structural advantage against a side with 0 points this campaign.
Serbia arrive at 7.00 as heavy underdogs, already relegated with zero points from five matches. Their squad is decimated: Vlahovic, Stankovic, Pavlovic, Lukic, Dragojevic, and Zivkovic are all absent, and coach Paunovic is suspended from the touchline.
- Serbia have conceded 2.67 goals per game this Nations League campaign with zero clean sheets.
- Seven key players unavailable through injury, suspension, or other circumstances, gutting their best XI.
- Finished the Germany match with nine men after two red cards, deepening a severe squad crisis.
Key point: With no odds available for totals markets, the double chance covering Greece or a draw offers a lower-risk entry point alongside 1.44 as the primary value play.
Form & Statistics: Greece vs Serbia
Greece
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Serbia
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Lineups: Greece vs Serbia
Greece
Starters
- 1 Konstantinos Tzolakis
- 2 Manolis Saliakas
- 3 Konstantinos Mavropanos
- 4 Konstantinos Koulierakis
- 5 Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 6 Dimitrios Kourbelis
- 7 Christos Zafeiris
- 8 Alexandros Kyziridis
- 9 Georgios Masouras
- 10 Fotis Ioannidis
- 11 Vangelis Pavlidis
Bench
- Odysseas Vlachodimos
- Christos Mandas
- Anastasios Douvikas
- Anastasios Bakasetas
- Ilias Koutsoupias
Serbia
Starters
- 1 Vanja Milinković-Savić
- 2 Kosta Nedeljkovic
- 3 Stefan Gudelj
- 4 Srdjan Babic
- 5 Erakovic
- 6 Petar Sukacev
- 7 Lazar Samardžić
- 8 Sergej Milinković-Savić
- 9 Dušan Tadić
- 10 Mihajlo Cvetkovic
- 11 Aleksandar Mitrovic
Bench
- Đorđe Petrović
- Stefan Bukinac
- Luka Jović
- Mijat Gaćinović
Absent
- Aleksandar Stankovic (Injury)
- Dušan Vlahović (Unavailable (unspecified circumstances, not medical))
- Aleksa Terzić (Health reasons)
- Strahinja Pavlović (Health reasons)
- Saša Lukić (Suspension)
- Nemanja Maksimović (Suspension)
- Andrej Ilić (Injury)
- Adem Avdić (Injury)
- Vanja Dragojevic (Red card (vs Germany, Nov 13, 2026))
- Andrija Zivkovic (Red card (vs Germany, Nov 13, 2026))
Low confidence
Greece's probable 4-2-3-1 faces a speculated Serbian 5-3-2, so the away formation carries less certainty than the home side's shape. Vangelis Pavlidis leads the line for the Greeks, with the double pivot behind him expected to provide the defensive foundation against a Serbian block built around width and physicality.
Serbia's structure, drawn largely from their recent XI against Germany and adjusted for several absentees, places Aleksandar Mitrović at the sharp end of a compact defensive shape. Whether that speculated back five holds up under Greece's attacking pressure in Athens will be central to how this Nations League fixture unfolds.
Our Verdict
Greece at 1.44 represents the standout selection here. Serbia arrive winless in five group matches, already relegated, missing suspended coach Paunović, and potentially short of personnel after two red cards against Germany. Greece, despite that chastening Netherlands defeat, remain level on eight points with Germany and know a victory secures their quarter-final place. That motivational gulf is enormous. Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 also appeals, given Serbia's depleted squad may sit deep to limit damage. Prediction: Greece win. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Greece vs Serbia?
Greece to win is the standout selection here. Serbia arrive decimated by suspensions, missing Vlahović and several others, with zero points from five Nations League matches. Greece, still chasing a quarter-final spot with 8 points, carry enormous motivation at home in Volos. The home win is available at 1.44, and at 78% confidence, this represents genuine value.
What time does Greece vs Serbia kick off?
The match kicks off at 19:45 UTC on 16 November 2026, which translates to 21:45 local time in Greece. The fixture takes place at the Panthessaliko Stadium in Volos, where a fervent home crowd is expected to drive Greece forward in what is a crucial Nations League group stage encounter.
Where can I watch Greece vs Serbia on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary by territory. Viewers in Greece should check ERT, while those in Serbia can look to RTS. Elsewhere, consult your local sports broadcaster or streaming provider for coverage details. Rights holders differ across markets, so checking official UEFA channels for your region is always advisable.
What is Greece's recent record against Serbia?
Greece hold the upper hand in recent competitive meetings. Most notably, they secured a 2-1 victory over Serbia in September 2026, a result that provides direct and encouraging precedent ahead of this fixture. That win demonstrated Greece's ability to overcome their Balkan rivals when the stakes are high, and it adds further weight to their advantage going into this match.