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Serie A
Fiorentina
29 Aug 2026 17:30
Frosinone
Prediction:
Fiorentina to win 1.62
View Odds >
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Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction & Betting Tips – 29/08/2026

29 Aug 2026 Stadio Artemio Franchi Louis Hecq

Fiorentina welcome Frosinone to the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Friday evening for a Serie A fixture that carries real urgency for the hosts. Sitting rock bottom after a chastening 4-0 defeat to Roma on the opening weekend, Fabio Grosso's side desperately need a response, particularly given the club's lavish summer outlay. Frosinone, freshly promoted and buoyed by a spirited showing against Juventus, arrive in Florence with little to lose. For a Viola squad under intense scrutiny, this feels like a must-win occasion before the season slips further away.

Our prediction
1: Fiorentina to win
1.62 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 04 Sep 2026 at 06:11 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Fiorentina enter this fixture as clear home favourites at 1.62, backed by a 9-match competitive unbeaten run at the Franchi and a dominant H2H record that includes a 5-1 demolition of Frosinone in February 2024.

  • 9-match home unbeaten run (W4, D5) at the Franchi gives Fiorentina a strong structural base.
  • 5-1 H2H win over Frosinone in Feb 2024 underlines consistent dominance over this opponent.
  • €100m summer investment signals squad depth far superior to a newly promoted side.
  • Bounce-back motivation after the 4-0 Roma loss adds psychological urgency at home.

Frosinone arrive as heavy underdogs at 5.50, returning to Serie A after a narrow 1-0 opening defeat to Juventus. Manager Alvini praised defensive resilience, but facing a wounded Fiorentina side at the Franchi represents a sharply steeper test.

  • Newly promoted Frosinone have played just one Serie A game since 2024, limiting top-flight data.
  • 1-0 loss to Juventus showed defensive solidity but zero attacking output against elite opposition.
  • Sergio Kalaj remains out long-term, further weakening an already thin defensive squad.

Key point: With Kean suspended and De Gea doubtful, both attacks carry uncertainty; the double chance covering Fiorentina via 4.00 offers a cautious alternative to a straight home win.

Form & Statistics: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Fiorentina

Recent form

LWDLD
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3.1Total goals
55%Both teams score
1.7Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Frosinone

Recent form

LW
Wins1/2 (50%)
Draws0/2 (0%)
Losses1/2 (50%)

Season statistics (2)

2.8Total goals
57%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Fiorentina

4-3-2-1
  1. 1 David de Gea
  2. 2 Dodô
  3. 3 Radu Dragusin
  4. 4 Luca Ranieri
  5. 5 João Mário
  6. 6 Cher Ndour
  7. 7 Nicolò Fagioli
  8. 8 Marco Brescianini
  9. 9 Franco Mastantuono
  10. 10 Arthur Atta
  11. 11 Mateo Pellegrino
  • Fabiano Parisi (injury)
  • Moise Kean (Suspension)
  • Oliver Christensen (Hip/Thigh injury (indefinite))

Frosinone

4-3-3
  1. 1 Lorenzo Palmisani
  2. 2 Anthony Oyono
  3. 3 Gabriele Calvani
  4. 4 Ilario Monterisi
  5. 5 Giorgio Cittadini
  6. 6 Matteo Cichella
  7. 7 Giacomo Calò
  8. 8 Romano Schmid
  9. 9 Seydou Fini
  10. 10 Antonio Raimondo
  11. 11 Giorgi Kvernadze
  • Sergio Kalaj (Unknown injury (long-term, since Oct 2024))

Medium confidence

A 4-3-2-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes up as the tactical contest at the Artemio Franchi, with Fiorentina's narrow diamond behind Mateo Pellegrino designed to exploit the half-spaces Frosinone's wide forwards may vacate. The question of David de Gea's fitness adds a note of uncertainty to the Viola's probable XI, with sources divided on his availability.

Frosinone arrive organised and compact, Romano Schmid offering creative thrust from midfield in a side that will look to press high and transition quickly. Raffaele Palladino's men will need to manage the flanks carefully if they are to avoid being stretched by Frosinone's directness on the counter.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Fiorentina to win1.621.621.711.712.102.10
Draw4.003.904.204.202.372.37
Frosinone to win5.504.805.505.504.604.50
Under 2.5·2.00··2.001.95
BTTS Yes1.801.80·1.861.831.80

Odds recorded on 04 Sep 2026 at 06:11 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Fiorentina's home win at 1.62 represents the standout selection here. The Viola's nine-match unbeaten run at the Artemio Franchi, combined with a dominant head-to-head record that includes that 5-1 demolition in February 2024, provides solid grounding. Frosinone showed spirit against Juventus, but stepping into a ground where a squad worth over €100 million is desperate for redemption is a different proposition entirely. Back the home win, with over 2.5 goals at 1.75 offering additional value given Fiorentina's attacking firepower. Odds and markets subject to change.

Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 2
Date: 29 Aug 2026
Time: 17:30 BST
Stadium: Stadio Artemio Franchi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?

The home win is the standout selection here. Fiorentina carry a nine-match unbeaten run at the Franchi and hold a commanding head-to-head record over Frosinone, including a 5-1 demolition in February 2024. Backed by a £100m summer outlay and fierce bounce-back motivation, the Viola are clear favourites at 1.62.

What time does Fiorentina vs Frosinone kick off?

The match kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 29th August 2026. It will be played at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Fiorentina's historic home ground, where the Viola will be eager to put right the humiliation of their opening-day defeat to Roma.

Where can I watch Fiorentina vs Frosinone on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Serie A fixtures vary by territory. In the United Kingdom, matches are typically shown via TNT Sports or streamed through discovery+. Supporters are advised to check their local listings and official Serie A broadcast partners, as rights can differ depending on region and platform availability.

What is Fiorentina's recent record against Frosinone?

Fiorentina hold a dominant head-to-head record over Frosinone. The most notable recent meeting ended in a stunning 5-1 victory for the Viola in February 2024, and across all competitive meetings Fiorentina hold a 2-1 aggregate advantage. The two sides have produced an average of nearly three goals per match across their last six encounters.