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Championship
Derby County
06 Nov 2026 20:00
Bolton Wanderers
Prediction:
Derby County to win 2.30
View Odds >

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction & Betting Tips – 06/11/2026

06 Nov 2026 Pride Park Stadium Louis Hecq

Pride Park Stadium hosts a Friday night Championship fixture on 6 November as Derby County welcome Bolton Wanderers in a match laden with consequence at opposite ends of the table. The Rams, rooted to 23rd and seven points from safety after 14 fixtures, are in desperate need of a result to arrest a catastrophic run of form. Bolton, sitting comfortably in 16th following their midweek victory over Charlton, arrive with genuine ambitions of climbing towards the top half. For John Eustace, the pressure could scarcely be greater.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Bolton Wanderers
2.62 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 04 Nov 2026 at 21:34 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Bolton Wanderers arrive as the value pick at 2.62, sitting 10 points above Derby in the table and backed by a solid away record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses on the road this Championship season.

  • 3 away wins from 7 road trips this season, averaging 1.43 goals scored per away game.
  • Bolton ended a three-match winless run with a 1-0 victory over Charlton on Tuesday, carrying fresh momentum.
  • 10-point gap separates the sides in the table, reflecting a clear structural quality advantage for Bolton.
  • Injury absentees limited to 4 confirmed players out, preserving enough squad depth to field a competitive XI.

Derby County face this fixture in crisis: rooted in 23rd place with just 7 points from 14 games, priced at 2.30 that flatters a side winless in 11 league matches and stripped of key personnel by a mounting injury list.

  • Derby's home record reads 0 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses, conceding 2.00 goals per game at Pride Park.
  • Top scorer Sammie Szmodics is sidelined with a knee injury, joining at least 4 other confirmed absentees including Cashin and Taylor.
  • An 11-match winless run and a 4-0 home defeat to Norwich signal deep structural problems beyond a single team talk.

Key point: With Derby's depleted attack and Bolton's cautious away approach, the draw double chance covering 3.60 or 2.62 offers a complementary low-risk angle on this fixture.

Form & Statistics: Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers

Derby County

Recent form

LLDLL
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses4/5 (80%)

Season statistics (5)

2.9Total goals
57%Both teams score
0.8Goals scored
2.1Goals conceded

Bolton Wanderers

Recent form

WLLDW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3.3Total goals
57%Both teams score
1.4Goals scored
1.9Goals conceded

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Derby County to win2.302.302.462.482.702.70
Draw3.603.403.703.802.372.37
Bolton Wanderers to win2.622.802.902.863.103.10
Under 2.5·2.05·1.262.102.10
BTTS Yes1.531.57·1.631.571.57

Odds recorded on 04 Nov 2026 at 21:34 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

The double chance on Bolton or the draw represents the standout selection here. Derby sit 23rd, winless in 11 league matches, with zero home victories from seven attempts this season, conceding at a rate of two goals per match. Bolton, freshly boosted by their midweek win over Charlton, have collected ten points from six away fixtures. The away win at 2.62 offers genuine value, while the draw at 3.60 provides a safety net. Back X2 as the primary pick, with under 2.5 goals at 2.10 a solid secondary selection. Odds correct at time of publication.

Competition: Championship
Stage: Regular Season, 15
Date: 06 Nov 2026
Time: 20:00 GMT
Stadium: Pride Park Stadium

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?

The draw or away double chance looks the most compelling option here. Derby are winless in 11 league matches, have yet to win at Pride Park this season, and are ravaged by injuries including top scorer Sammie Szmodics. Bolton arrive in considerably better shape. The away side at 2.62 represents solid value for the bold, whilst the draw at 3.60 suits the cautious.

What time does Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers kick off?

This Championship fixture kicks off at 20:00 GMT on Friday, 7th November 2026, at Pride Park Stadium in Derby. The ground, which holds just over 33,000 supporters, will host what promises to be a tense evening for the home faithful, with Derby desperately seeking a first league victory of the campaign.

Where can I watch Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for Championship fixtures vary depending on your territory and subscription package. In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports and the EFL's own streaming platform, iFollow, typically share coverage of midweek fixtures. It is advisable to check your local listings or the official club websites for confirmed broadcast details closer to kickoff.

What is Derby County's recent record against Bolton Wanderers?

The historical head-to-head at Pride Park has favoured Derby considerably, with the Rams winning all six meetings between the two sides since 2015. However, that record must be viewed with considerable caution given the vast gulf in current form and fitness. Derby's present plight bears little resemblance to the sides that accumulated those victories.