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UEFA Nations League
Croatia
15 Nov 2026 19:45
Czech Republic
Prediction:
Croatia to win 1.50
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Croatia vs Czech Republic Prediction & Betting Tips – 15/11/2026

15 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Croatia welcome the Czech Republic to a venue yet to be confirmed on 15 November 2026 in a Nations League League A Group A3 fixture with significant consequences for both sides. The hosts, stung by a humiliating seven-nil defeat to England, are desperate to restore pride and keep faint quarter-final hopes flickering. For the Czechs, the situation is bleaker still: bottom of the group without a single point, they face automatic relegation to League B unless results shift dramatically. With both squads hampered by injuries, this is a match shaped by necessity rather than comfort.

Our prediction
1: Croatia to win
1.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 13 Nov 2026 at 20:02 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Croatia enter as commanding home favourites at 1.50, driven by fierce motivation after the 7-0 humiliation against England. Captain Modrić publicly expressed shame, and coach Bilić has demanded a strong reaction from his side.

  • 62% model confidence backs Croatia, who hold 3 points in Group A3 versus the Czechs' zero.
  • Czech Republic concede 2.5 goals per game in Nations League, keeping zero clean sheets in 11 attempts.
  • Modrić and Bilić both publicly committed to a bounce-back response after the England embarrassment.
  • Czech squad crisis forces emergency call-ups of uncapped players Gabriel and Hopi, weakening their structure further.

Czech Republic arrive at 6.50 as heavy outsiders, winless in all four Nations League matches and bottom of Group A3 with zero points. Five key absences, including Hranáč and Šulc, leave coach Santi Denia relying on fringe players.

  • Lost six of last seven games across all competitions, the worst form profile in the group.
  • Hranáč, Karabec, Šulc, Lingr, and Sadílek all absent, stripping the squad of its core quality.
  • Zero clean sheets in 11 consecutive matches exposes a structural defensive fragility unlikely to improve here.

Key point: With Croatia also missing Kramarić and Perišić, a tight scoreline is plausible; the double chance covering Croatia or draw pairs well with cautious staking on 1.50.

Form & Statistics: Croatia vs Czech Republic

Croatia

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Czech Republic

Recent form

LDLWW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
Probable lineup

Lineups: Croatia vs Czech Republic

Croatia

4-3-3
  1. 1 Dominik Livaković
  2. 2 Josip Stanišić
  3. 3 Duje Ćaleta-Car
  4. 4 Joško Gvardiol
  5. 5 Borna Barišić
  6. 6 Luka Modrić
  7. 7 Mateo Kovačić
  8. 8 Luka Sučić
  9. 9 Mario Pašalić
  10. 10 Ante Budimir
  11. 11 Marco Pašalić
  • Ivor Pandur
  • Josip Mišić
  • Nikola Vlašić
  • Dion Beljo
  • Lovro Majer
  • Josip Šutalo (hamstring injury)
  • Kristijan Jakić (knee injury)
  • Andrej Kramarić (ongoing physical problems / knee injury)
  • Marin Pongračić (right leg injury)
  • Franjo Ivanović (minor concussion)
  • Ivan Perišić (suspension (two yellow cards))

Czech Republic

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Antonín Kinský
  2. 2 Adam Gabriel
  3. 3 Martin Vitík
  4. 4 Ladislav Krejčí
  5. 5 Jiří Sláma
  6. 6 Tomáš Souček
  7. 7 Alex Král
  8. 8 Lukáš Červ
  9. 9 Lukáš Ambros
  10. 10 Idris Hopi
  11. 11 Adam Hložek
  • Matěj Kovář
  • Ondřej Zmrzlý
  • David Kozel
  • Václav Sejk
  • Pavel Bucha
  • Robin Hranáč (knee injury (late November 2026))
  • Adam Karabec (ankle injury / knock (early November 2026))
  • Ondřej Lingr (head injury)
  • Pavel Šulc (meniscus injury (early January 2027))
  • Štěpán Chaloupek (muscle injury (until November 22, 2026))
  • Michal Sadílek (suspension)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a strong speculative caveat, drawn from squad patterns rather than confirmed team news, so treat the formations with appropriate caution. That said, a 4-3-3 versus 4-2-3-1 contest is the working picture, with Luka Modrić expected to orchestrate Croatia's midfield against a Czech double pivot.

For the visitors, Adam Hložek is anticipated to provide the creative spark behind the lone striker, though the absence of firm confirmation from either camp means these shapes could shift considerably before kickoff in Zagreb.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillMatchbookCoralLadbrokesBetVictor
Croatia to win1.501.441.511.911.911.44
Draw4.504.004.502.602.504.20
Czech Republic to win6.505.505.805.005.005.40
Under 2.5·2.152.182.102.10·
BTTS Yes1.801.751.891.831.80·

Odds recorded on 13 Nov 2026 at 20:02 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Croatia's home win at 1.50 looks the strongest selection here. The Czechs have lost all four group matches, sit bottom on zero points, and have failed to keep a clean sheet in eleven consecutive outings. Five fresh injuries have forced coach Santi Denia into emergency call-ups, further weakening an already struggling side. Croatia's recent form reads three wins from five, and Slaven Bilić will demand a fierce response after that England humiliation. Back the hosts to prevail. The under 2.5 goals line at 2.18 also merits consideration given both squads' injury concerns.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 6
Date: 15 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Croatia vs Czech Republic?

The standout selection here is a Croatia win, available at 1.50. The Czechs are bottom of Group A3 without a point, having conceded ten goals in four Nations League outings, and arrive further weakened by suspensions and injuries. Despite Croatia's own absentees, the motivational drive following their 7-0 defeat to England makes Bilić's side difficult to oppose.

What time does Croatia vs Czech Republic kick off?

This UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off at 19:45 UTC on 15 November 2026. The match is scheduled to be played in Croatia, with the exact venue confirmed by the Croatian Football Federation closer to the date. Supporters travelling from abroad are advised to check local kickoff times, as the UTC time may differ from their own time zone.

Where can I watch Croatia vs Czech Republic on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for UEFA Nations League fixtures vary by territory and are subject to change. Viewers in the United Kingdom should check with broadcasters such as Channel 4 or Sky Sports, while those elsewhere in Europe are advised to consult their local sports broadcasters. Streaming options may also be available through official UEFA platforms depending on your region.

What is Croatia's recent record against Czech Republic?

Precise recent head-to-head data for this fixture is limited in the available records; however, Croatia have historically held the upper hand in meetings with the Czech Republic across competitive and friendly fixtures. Given Croatia's pedigree as a nation that reached the 2018 World Cup final, they enter this encounter as the more decorated and experienced side at international level.