Celta de Vigo
Union Saint-Gilloise
>Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction & Betting Tips – 05/11/2026
Celta de Vigo welcome Union Saint-Gilloise to the Abanca-Balaídos on 5 November 2026 for a Europa League league-stage fixture that carries real urgency for the hosts. Claudio Giráldez's side sit 25th in the standings without a single point from their opening two European outings, while the Belgian visitors occupy a comfortable sixth place. This is a rematch of Matchday 1, where Union claimed victory, and Celta desperately need a result here to keep any hope of progression alive. For USG, another positive evening in Vigo would all but confirm a top-eight berth.
Match Analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise arrive as the value pick at 3.10, having already beaten Celta on Matchday 1 and sitting 19 places above them in the Europa League standings. Their European efficiency, conceding just 0.34 goals per game, sets them apart.
- 6th in the Europa League table versus Celta's 25th, a 19-place gap in standings.
- 2.67 goals scored per EL match for USG, nearly three times Celta's 1.0 average.
- 0.34 goals conceded per EL game, the tightest defensive record between these two sides.
- Won the Matchday 1 reverse fixture against Celta, confirming direct head-to-head superiority.
Celta de Vigo face a steep climb at 2.15, still pointless in Europe after defeats to Omonia and Juventus. Five outfield players are sidelined, including Borja Iglesias and Carl Starfelt, severely limiting Claudio Giráldez's options against a well-organised Belgian side.
- Zero Europa League points from two matches, with losses to Omonia and Juventus.
- Five key absences, including Borja Iglesias, Starfelt, El-Abdellaoui and Álvaro Núñez, gutting the squad depth.
- 1.34 EL goals conceded per game, the worst defensive record of the two sides by a clear margin.
Key point: With USG conceding under 0.5 per game in Europe and Celta averaging just 1.0 goal scored, the 2.26 market offers a compelling complementary angle to the away double chance.
Form & Statistics: Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise
Celta de Vigo
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Union Saint-Gilloise
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Lineups: Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise
Celta de Vigo
Starters
- 1 Radu
- 2 Javi Rodríguez
- 3 Yoel Lago
- 4 Marcos Alonso
- 5 Javi Rueda
- 6 Moriba
- 7 Febas
- 8 Carreira
- 9 Hugo Álvarez
- 10 Jutglà
- 11 Swedberg
Bench
- Iago Aspas
Absent
- Borja Iglesias (injury)
- Carl Starfelt (injury)
- Miguel Román (injury)
- Álvaro Núñez (Thigh injury, expected out until late November 2026)
- Jones El-Abdellaoui (Knee injury, expected out until mid-January 2027)
- Pablo Durán (Thigh/Calf injury, expected out until early November 2026)
Union Saint-Gilloise
Starters
- 1 Koffi
- 2 Chibani
- 3 Sylla
- 4 Havenaar
- 5 Patris
- 6 Zeneli
- 7 van de Perre
- 8 Smith
- 9 Mofokeng
- 10 Aquino
- 11 Florucz
Absent
- Ilan Hurtevent (injury)
- Rob Schoofs (injury)
- Kevin Mac Allister (injury)
- Ondřej Kričfaluši (injury)
- Ivan Pavlić (suspended)
- Mateo Biondic (injury)
- Anouar Ait El Hadj (suspended)
Medium confidence
A 3-4-3 against a 3-4-2-1 sets up an intriguing battle of width in Vigo, with both sides deploying three-man defensive blocks and trusting their wing-backs to stretch play. Jutglà leads the Celta attack in a system that should press high and look to exploit the channels behind Union's back three.
It is worth flagging that Union Saint-Gilloise's probable XI is drawn from a recent Belgian Pro League fixture rather than a European outing, so Sébastien Pocognoli may yet rotate. Mofokeng and Aquino operating in the half-spaces behind Florucz will be the key tactical thread to follow for the visitors.
Our Verdict
The draw or away double chance represents the strongest angle here. Union Saint-Gilloise sit sixth in the Europa League standings, nineteen places above Celta, and already claimed victory in the reverse fixture on Matchday 1. The Belgian side's recent form reads impressively, with three wins and a draw from their last five outings across all competitions. Celta remain pointless in Europe after two defeats. At 3.10, the visitors offer genuine value, while the draw at 3.75 provides a safety net. Back the X2 outcome with confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
The draw or away double chance favours Union Saint-Gilloise, reflected in the away price at 3.10. USG beat Celta on Matchday 1, average 2.67 Europa League goals per match, and concede a remarkable 0.34 per fixture. With Celta's squad depleted and their European form poor, backing the Belgian side not to lose carries sound logic at a confidence level of 58%.
What time does Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise kick off?
Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise kicks off at 20:00 UTC on 5 November 2026. The match takes place at the Abanca-Balaídos stadium in Vigo, Spain, a compact and atmospheric venue that Celta will hope provides some advantage, though their home form in this Europa League campaign has been far from convincing.
Where can I watch Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Europa League fixtures vary by territory and are subject to change. Viewers in the UK should check TNT Sports and discovery+ as primary rights holders for the competition, whilst those elsewhere should consult their local listings. Streaming options may also be available through official club channels or UEFA's own platforms depending on your region.
What is Celta de Vigo's recent record against Union Saint-Gilloise?
These two sides have limited head-to-head history, but the most pertinent meeting is recent and telling: Union Saint-Gilloise defeated Celta de Vigo on Matchday 1 of the current Europa League campaign. That result leaves Celta seeking revenge and their first points in the competition, whilst USG arrive in Vigo with the psychological edge of that earlier victory firmly in their favour.