Borussia Dortmund
Paderborn
>Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Prediction & Betting Tips – 12/09/2026
Borussia Dortmund welcome newly-promoted Paderborn to the Signal Iduna Park on Saturday 12 September for a Bundesliga fixture that pits two sides at very different stages of their campaign. Dortmund, sitting third after a blistering start of four straight wins across all competitions, will be eager to maintain momentum in a congested top-six race. For Paderborn, still searching for a first Bundesliga goal this term, survival is already the priority. The short turnaround following Dortmund's midweek Champions League duties adds an intriguing layer to proceedings.
Match Analysis
Borussia Dortmund enter this fixture as overwhelming favorites at 1.22, riding four consecutive wins across all competitions and averaging 2.5 Bundesliga goals per game. Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini are back, reinforcing a side that looks formidable at Signal Iduna Park.
- 4 consecutive wins across all competitions, including two Bundesliga victories and a Champions League result.
- 2.5 goals scored per game in the Bundesliga this season, showcasing a lethal and varied attacking unit.
- Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini both returned to training and are confirmed available, stabilising the backline.
- Attack features Guirassy, Beier, and Nwaneri, giving Kovac multiple match-winning options despite rotation needs.
Paderborn arrive as heavy underdogs at 12.00, a newly-promoted side that has yet to register a single Bundesliga goal across two outings. Facing Dortmund's crowd and attack at Signal Iduna Park represents an enormous step up in quality.
- 0 goals scored in two Bundesliga matches, with results of 0-0 vs Mainz and 0-1 vs Freiburg.
- 4 key absentees including Sven Michel and Timur Gayret, severely limiting attacking and midfield options.
- Yet to face a top-half Bundesliga attack of Dortmund's calibre as a newly-promoted side.
Key point: With Paderborn yet to score and Dortmund's midfield stretched by injuries, backing a dominant but controlled home win via the draw no bet on Dortmund at 1.22 offers a cleaner risk-adjusted angle.
Form & Statistics: Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
Borussia Dortmund
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Paderborn
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Lineups: Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
Borussia Dortmund
Starters
- 1 Gregor Kobel
- 2 Joane Gadou
- 3 Waldemar Anton
- 4 Daniel Svensson
- 5 Julian Ryerson
- 6 Jobe Bellingham
- 7 Joey Veerman
- 8 Maximilian Beier
- 9 Ethan Nwaneri
- 10 Fabio Silva
- 11 Serhou Guirassy
Bench
- Alexander Meyer
- Marcel Sabitzer
- Carney Chukwuemeka
- Luca Reggiani
- Kauã Prates
Absent
- Enzo dos Santos (injury)
- Ramy Bensebaini (injury)
- Emre Can (injury)
- Justin Lerma (suspended)
- Giannis Konstantelias (injury)
- Filippo Mane (injury)
- Samuele Inácio (suspended)
- Mussa Kaba (injury)
- Nico Schlotterbeck (injury)
- Konstantinos Karetsas (Circulatory problems (hospitalized after Villarreal match))
Paderborn
Starters
- 1 Nahuel Noll
- 2 Luca ter Horst
- 3 Tjark Scheller
- 4 Mattes Hansen
- 5 Laurin Curda
- 6 Laurin Ulrich
- 7 Santiago Castañeda
- 8 Gabriel Vidović
- 9 Raphael Obermair
- 10 Rayan Philippe
- 11 Marvin Pieringer
Bench
- Marcus Schubert
- Jonah Sticker
- Tom Baack
- Oliver Meier
- Luka Đurić
- Niklas Mohr
- Steffen Tigges
- Clemens Lippmann
- Stefano Marino
- Felix Götze
Absent
- Sven Michel (injury)
- Lasse Eickel (injury)
- Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (injury)
- Deniz Zeitler (injury)
- Timur Gayret (injury)
Medium confidence
Dortmund's probable 3-4-2-1 sets up an intriguing tactical contest against Paderborn's 3-5-2, with both sides deploying three-man defensive lines. Serhou Guirassy leads the attack for the hosts, supported by the creative pairing of Ethan Nwaneri and Fabio Silva operating in the channels behind him.
For Paderborn, the wing-back corridors will be central to their approach, with Gabriel Vidović expected to carry much of the creative burden through midfield. Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, sourced from the same outlets on the same dates, so the confidence level is broadly equal across both sides.
Our Verdict
Dortmund's home win at 1.22 is the standout selection here. Four consecutive victories, an average of 2.5 goals per match, and the return of Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini all point towards a comfortable afternoon for Kovac's side. Paderborn have yet to find the net in the Bundesliga, which makes over 2.5 goals at 1.35 and both teams to score: no at 2.00 appealing supplementary picks. Back the hosts with confidence. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn?
Borussia Dortmund to win is the standout selection here. Dortmund arrive on a four-match winning run, averaging 2.5 goals per fixture, whilst Paderborn are yet to score in the Bundesliga this season. The home win, available at 1.22, carries an implied probability north of 78%, making it the overwhelmingly logical wager at Signal Iduna Park.
What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn kick off?
This Bundesliga fixture kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 12th September 2026. The match takes place at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany, one of European football's most iconic and atmospheric venues, where Dortmund's passionate support will provide a formidable backdrop for the newly-promoted visitors.
Where can I watch Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn on TV?
Broadcast arrangements for Bundesliga fixtures vary depending on your territory. In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports and TNT Sports typically share rights to Bundesliga coverage. Supporters are advised to consult their local listings or the official Bundesliga website to confirm which channel will carry live coverage of this particular fixture.
What is Borussia Dortmund's recent record against Paderborn?
Precise historical head-to-head data for this fixture is not available within our current scouting information. What is clear, however, is that Paderborn are a newly-promoted Bundesliga side, suggesting their top-flight meetings with Dortmund have been infrequent. Dortmund's considerable pedigree and current form make them strong favourites regardless of historical context.