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Friendly International
Tajikistan
09 Jun 2026 16:00
India
Prediction:
Tajikistan to win 1.73
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Tajikistan vs India Prediction & Betting Tips – 09/06/2026

09 Jun 2026 Astana Arena Louis Hecq

Tajikistan welcome India to the Astana Arena on 9 June 2026 for the second of two friendly internationals between the sides. The hosts claimed a convincing 3-1 victory in the opening fixture just days earlier, and they will be keen to complete a clean sweep. For India, this represents a chance at redemption after three consecutive defeats, though significant squad availability issues and wholesale changes to the starting lineup raise questions about their ability to mount a meaningful response. The stakes may be informal, but pride is very much on the line.

Our prediction
1: Tajikistan to win
1.73 on William Hill · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 17 Jul 2026 at 16:23 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Tajikistan enter this second friendly as clear favorites at 1.73, backed by a perfect head-to-head record against India and a convincing 3-1 win just days ago. Their superior ranking, form, and attacking output make them the structured pick.

  • 3 goals scored in each of both all-time meetings against India, including the first friendly.
  • 4W 1D in their last 5 matches reflects dominant recent form and strong squad cohesion.
  • World ranking 103 vs 137 highlights a clear structural quality gap over the opposition.
  • 2.3 goals scored per game average exploits India's defensive fragility of 1.3 conceded per match.

India arrive at 4.20 facing a steep challenge, weakened by the recall of several Mohun Bagan Super Giant players. Coach Khalid Jamil has made six changes, handing first starts to multiple debutants, signalling a squad-building exercise rather than a genuine result pursuit.

  • 1W 4L in their last 5 matches reflects a side critically low on confidence.
  • Six changes to the lineup include multiple first-time starters with no international rhythm.
  • India conceded 3 goals in the first friendly, exposing defensive vulnerabilities Tajikistan will target again.

Key point: With over 2.5 goals recorded in 5 of 7 head-to-head meetings and India's porous defense, the over market offers a compelling complementary angle alongside the home win.

Form & Statistics: Tajikistan vs India

Tajikistan

Recent form

W
Wins1/1 (100%)
Draws0/1 (0%)
Losses0/1 (0%)

Season statistics (1)

2.9Total goals
46%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

India

Recent form

LLL
Wins0/3 (0%)
Draws0/3 (0%)
Losses3/3 (100%)

Season statistics (3)

2.7Total goals
46%Both teams score
1.2Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded

Tajikistan vs India: Head-to-Head

Tajikistan 100 % Draws 0 % India 0 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3.5Total goals
50%Both teams score
3Home goals
0.5Away goals
100%Over 2.5 goals
0%Under 2.5 goals
Official lineup

Lineups: Tajikistan vs India

Tajikistan

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Rustam Yatimov
  2. 2 Zoir Dzhuraboev
  3. 3 Alidzhon Karomatullozoda
  4. 4 Mekhrubon Karimov
  5. 5 Tabrez Islomov
  6. 6 Amirbek Dzhuraboev
  7. 7 Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
  8. 8 Alisher Dzhalilov
  9. 9 Ehsoni Panshanbe
  10. 10 Mukhammadzhon Rakhimov
  11. 11 Shahrom Samiev
  • Shervoni Mabatshoev
  • Salokhiddin Irgashev
  • Vakhdat Khanonov
  • Furkon Rakhimzoda
  • Akhtam Nazarov
  • Sheriddin Boboev
  • Alisher Shukurov

India

4-4-2
  1. 1 Gurpreet Singh Sandhu
  2. 2 Pramveer
  3. 3 Sandesh Jhingan
  4. 4 Bijoy Varghese
  5. 5 Akash Mishra
  6. 6 Nikhil Barla
  7. 7 Ricky Shabong
  8. 8 Mohammed Sanan
  9. 9 Farukh Choudhary
  10. 10 Vikram Partap Singh
  11. 11 Rahim Ali
  • Roshan Singh Naorem
  • Rahul Bheke
  • Edmund Lalrindika
  • Nikhil Poojary
  • Lallianzuala Chhangte
  • Macarton Nickson
  • H. Tiwari
  • A. Gomes
  • Jeakson Singh
  • Noufal P.N.
  • Parthib Gogoi
  • Several Mohun Bagan Super Giant players (Recalled by club, leading to squad availability issues)

Both sides line up with confirmed XIs, setting up a 4-2-3-1 versus 4-4-2 contest in Dushanbe. Tajikistan's double pivot provides a compact defensive base from which their attacking trio can operate, while India's flat midfield four will look to press high and restrict space behind the ball.

Gurpreet Singh Sandhu anchors a back four that must contend with Tajikistan's fluid movement in behind the double pivot. For the visitors, Farukh Choudhary and Vikram Partap Singh form an attacking partnership that will need to hold the ball effectively if India are to threaten on the counter.

Our Verdict

Tajikistan's home win at 1.73 stands out as the strongest selection here. The hosts have won both previous meetings against India by commanding margins, and their 3-1 victory just days earlier in the first friendly underlines their superiority. India's three consecutive defeats paint a bleak picture, and wholesale changes to their lineup only add uncertainty. Backing under 2.5 goals at N/A offers secondary value, given the heavy rotation on both sides could stifle fluency. Odds and markets subject to change.

Competition: Friendly International
Stage: Friendlies 2
Date: 09 Jun 2026
Time: 16:00 BST
Stadium: Astana Arena

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Tajikistan vs India?

Tajikistan to win is the standout selection here, available at 1.73. The hosts hold a dominant head-to-head record, have superior recent form across their last five matches, and just defeated this same India side 3-1 days earlier. With India handing first caps to multiple debutants and missing key club players, Tajikistan's structural quality should prove decisive once more.

What time does Tajikistan vs India kick off?

Tajikistan vs India kicks off at 15:00 UTC on 9th June 2026. The match takes place at the Astana Arena, with both sides contesting the second of their friendly fixtures in what has been a revealing series for India's coaching staff ahead of forthcoming competitive commitments.

Where can I watch Tajikistan vs India on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this friendly have not been confirmed in our available data. Supporters are advised to check their domestic sports broadcasters and streaming platforms for coverage details. Indian football fans may find updates via the All India Football Federation's official channels, whilst general listings services should carry any confirmed broadcast information closer to kickoff.

What is Tajikistan's recent record against India?

Tajikistan's recent record against India is commanding. They have won both previous meetings, triumphing 3-1 and 3-0 respectively, and then added a further 3-1 victory in the first match of this very friendly series just days ago. Three wins from three, with ten goals scored and just one conceded, tells its own story of clear and consistent superiority.

Louis Hecq

Louis has been working in the online gambling sector for 3 years. During this time, he has reviewed, compared and analysed many bookmakers in many different countries, and published several hundred betting articles for different sports and betting sites. 

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