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Friendly International
Liberia
09 Jun 2026 17:00
Sierra Leone
Prediction:
Liberia to win 2.50
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Liberia vs Sierra Leone Prediction & Betting Tips – 09/06/2026

09 Jun 2026 Louis Hecq

The Mano River Derby resumes on 9 June 2026 as Liberia host Sierra Leone in the second leg of their international friendly series. Just days after suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat in the first encounter, Thomas Kojo's side will be desperate to restore pride on home soil. For Sierra Leone, newly appointed head coach Didier Gomes Da Rosa has an early chance to stamp his authority on the squad. Both nations view these fixtures as essential groundwork ahead of their AFCON 2027 qualifying campaigns, lending this friendly genuine competitive edge.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Sierra Leone
2.70 on William Hill · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 17 Jul 2026 at 16:23 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Sierra Leone arrive as the form side in this Mano River Derby, priced at 2.70 to claim back-to-back wins over Liberia. A first-leg 1-0 victory and a 2W 2D run from their last five outings underline their clear edge.

  • 3 wins in the last four H2H meetings, including back-to-back 1-0 victories in 2019, 2022, and June 2026.
  • 2W 2D from last five matches reflects consistent form heading into this second friendly leg.
  • 67% clean sheet rate in recent H2H fixtures highlights Sierra Leone's defensive solidity against Liberia.
  • New coach Didier Gomes Da Rosa, appointed June 5 2026, is expected to field a motivated, settled squad to build cohesion.

Liberia face a steep challenge at home, priced at 2.50, as coach Thomas Kojo signals heavy rotation ahead of AFCON 2027 qualifiers. An experimental lineup severely limits the hosts' ability to overturn their first-leg deficit.

  • Liberia's last three results read LDL, exposing a significant form gap versus the visitors.
  • Heavy squad rotation confirmed by coach Kojo disrupts home cohesion and reduces attacking threat.
  • Liberia have won only one of the last four H2H meetings, underlining a persistent structural disadvantage.

Key point: The historical low-scoring pattern, with only 17% of H2H games going Over 2.5 and a 1.73 average, makes N/A a compelling complementary angle to the X2 prediction.

Form & Statistics: Liberia vs Sierra Leone

Liberia

Recent form

LDL
Wins0/3 (0%)
Draws1/3 (33%)
Losses2/3 (67%)

Season statistics (3)

2.4Total goals
47%Both teams score
0.9Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded

Sierra Leone

Recent form

WD
Wins1/2 (50%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses0/2 (0%)

Season statistics (2)

2.7Total goals
58%Both teams score
0.9Goals scored
1.8Goals conceded

Liberia vs Sierra Leone: Head-to-Head

Liberia 33 % Draws 17 % Sierra Leone 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1.3Total goals
17%Both teams score
1Home goals
0.3Away goals
17%Over 2.5 goals
83%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Liberia vs Sierra Leone

Liberia

4-4-2
  1. 1 Eanae
  2. 2 Fully
  3. 3 Dwe
  4. 4 Balde
  5. 5 Tarnyou
  6. 6 Twe
  7. 7 Dorley
  8. 8 Tee
  9. 9 Andrews
  10. 10 Gono
  11. 11 Bah

Sierra Leone

4-3-3
  1. 1 Kamara
  2. 2 Kakei
  3. 3 Samadia
  4. 4 Jaryu
  5. 5 Ba
  6. 6 Tarawally
  7. 7 Fofana
  8. 8 Koroma
  9. 9 Toure
  10. 10 Bundu
  11. 11 Kargbo

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculative tag, drawn from a single source published the day before kickoff, so either side could yet look quite different come the final whistle. That caveat aside, the probable shape sets up a 4-4-2 versus 4-3-3 contest, with Liberia's flat midfield four tasked with containing Sierra Leone's wider attacking threat.

For the Leone Stars, Bundu operating in the front three offers the clearest danger on the flanks, while Liberia will look to their compact double-striker partnership to press high and unsettle a Sierra Leone backline that has little margin for error in a competitive friendly fixture.

Our Verdict

Our pick is the Draw or Away double chance (X2), backed by Sierra Leone's superior recent form and their first-leg victory. Liberia have managed just one draw from their last three outings, while Sierra Leone boast two wins and two draws from five. Heavy rotation from Thomas Kojo could further disrupt Liberia's cohesion. The away win at 2.70 offers decent value, and the draw at 3.00 provides a safety net. We also lean towards Under 2.5 Goals at N/A, given the tight nature of this rivalry. Odds and markets subject to change.

Competition: Friendly International
Stage: Friendlies 3
Date: 09 Jun 2026
Time: 17:00 BST

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Liberia vs Sierra Leone?

The double chance covering Sierra Leone or a draw represents the most compelling wager here. Sierra Leone arrive on the back of a first-leg 1-0 victory, carry superior recent form, and have won three of the last four meetings. With Liberia's Thomas Kojo expected to rotate heavily, the away side or a share of the spoils looks the likeliest outcome, covered by the away price at 2.70.

What time does Liberia vs Sierra Leone kick off?

This friendly international kicks off at 16:00 UTC on 9th June 2026. Local kickoff times will vary depending on your time zone. The match is part of the Friendlies 3 stage of the international calendar, with Liberia serving as the home side. Confirm the precise venue with your local listings, as no specific stadium has been officially confirmed.

Where can I watch Liberia vs Sierra Leone on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for this friendly international have not been officially confirmed at the time of writing. Supporters are advised to check their regional sports broadcasters and streaming platforms for any last-minute coverage announcements. African football fans may find the fixture available via confederation-affiliated channels or dedicated football streaming services operating in West Africa.

What is Liberia's recent record against Sierra Leone?

The recent head-to-head record favours Sierra Leone considerably. They have won three of the last four completed meetings, including back-to-back 1-0 victories in 2019 and 2022, and a further 1-0 triumph in the first leg of this very friendly series on 6th June 2026. Liberia's last three results read as a loss, draw, and loss, underlining a clear form gap between the two sides.

Louis Hecq

Louis has been working in the online gambling sector for 3 years. During this time, he has reviewed, compared and analysed many bookmakers in many different countries, and published several hundred betting articles for different sports and betting sites. 

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